Comparing methods to predict baseline mortality for excess mortality calculations

Comparing methods to predict baseline mortality for excess mortality calculations

Abstract Background The World Health Organization (WHO)’s excess mortality estimates presented in May 2022 stirred controversy, due in part to the high estimate provided for Germany, which was later attributed to the spline model used. This paper aims to reproduce the problem using synthetic dataset...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Tamás Ferenci
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2023-10-01
Series:BMC Medical Research Methodology
Subjects:
Excess mortality
Spline regression
Prediction
Robustness
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12874-023-02061-w

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