Mapping Prediction of Surface Solar Radiation with Linear Regression Models: Case Study over Reunion Island

This paper presents a novel mapping prediction method for surface solar radiation with linear regression models. The dataset for surface solar radiation prediction is the daily surface incoming shortwave radiation (SIS) product from CM SAF SARAH-E. The spatial resolution is 0.05° × 0.05° and the tem...

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Main Authors: Qi Li, Miloud Bessafi, Peng Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-08-01
Series:Atmosphere
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/14/9/1331
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author Qi Li
Miloud Bessafi
Peng Li
author_facet Qi Li
Miloud Bessafi
Peng Li
author_sort Qi Li
collection DOAJ
description This paper presents a novel mapping prediction method for surface solar radiation with linear regression models. The dataset for surface solar radiation prediction is the daily surface incoming shortwave radiation (SIS) product from CM SAF SARAH-E. The spatial resolution is 0.05° × 0.05° and the temporal coverage is from 2007 to 2016. The first five years (2007–2011) are used as training data, and the remaining five years (2012–2016) are used as test data in the prediction model. Datasets were detrended, de-seasonalized, and normalized before being applied to multiple linear regression (MLR), principal component regression (PCR), stepwise regression (SR), and partial least squares regression (PLSR), which are used to perform prediction mapping. The statistical analysis using MAE, MSE, and RMSE shows that the PCR model had the smallest MAE, MSE, and RMSE as compared to the other three models. The PCR model seems better for SSR mapping prediction over Reunion Island. Although the PCR model provides better prediction results, its MAE, MSE, and RMSE are quite large.
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spelling doaj.art-6578993dff7247f39fa3e5ec08ec7d572023-11-19T09:29:49ZengMDPI AGAtmosphere2073-44332023-08-01149133110.3390/atmos14091331Mapping Prediction of Surface Solar Radiation with Linear Regression Models: Case Study over Reunion IslandQi Li0Miloud Bessafi1Peng Li2Guangxi University of Science and Technology, 2 Avenue Wenchang, Chengzhong District, Liuzhou 545006, ChinaENERGY-Lab, University of La Réunion, 15, Avenue René Cassin CS 92003, CEDEX 9, 97744 Saint-Denis, FranceGuangxi University of Science and Technology, 2 Avenue Wenchang, Chengzhong District, Liuzhou 545006, ChinaThis paper presents a novel mapping prediction method for surface solar radiation with linear regression models. The dataset for surface solar radiation prediction is the daily surface incoming shortwave radiation (SIS) product from CM SAF SARAH-E. The spatial resolution is 0.05° × 0.05° and the temporal coverage is from 2007 to 2016. The first five years (2007–2011) are used as training data, and the remaining five years (2012–2016) are used as test data in the prediction model. Datasets were detrended, de-seasonalized, and normalized before being applied to multiple linear regression (MLR), principal component regression (PCR), stepwise regression (SR), and partial least squares regression (PLSR), which are used to perform prediction mapping. The statistical analysis using MAE, MSE, and RMSE shows that the PCR model had the smallest MAE, MSE, and RMSE as compared to the other three models. The PCR model seems better for SSR mapping prediction over Reunion Island. Although the PCR model provides better prediction results, its MAE, MSE, and RMSE are quite large.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/14/9/1331surface solar radiationlinear regression modelprincipal component analysismapping prediction
spellingShingle Qi Li
Miloud Bessafi
Peng Li
Mapping Prediction of Surface Solar Radiation with Linear Regression Models: Case Study over Reunion Island
Atmosphere
surface solar radiation
linear regression model
principal component analysis
mapping prediction
title Mapping Prediction of Surface Solar Radiation with Linear Regression Models: Case Study over Reunion Island
title_full Mapping Prediction of Surface Solar Radiation with Linear Regression Models: Case Study over Reunion Island
title_fullStr Mapping Prediction of Surface Solar Radiation with Linear Regression Models: Case Study over Reunion Island
title_full_unstemmed Mapping Prediction of Surface Solar Radiation with Linear Regression Models: Case Study over Reunion Island
title_short Mapping Prediction of Surface Solar Radiation with Linear Regression Models: Case Study over Reunion Island
title_sort mapping prediction of surface solar radiation with linear regression models case study over reunion island
topic surface solar radiation
linear regression model
principal component analysis
mapping prediction
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/14/9/1331
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AT miloudbessafi mappingpredictionofsurfacesolarradiationwithlinearregressionmodelscasestudyoverreunionisland
AT pengli mappingpredictionofsurfacesolarradiationwithlinearregressionmodelscasestudyoverreunionisland