Extending the breeder’s equation to take aim at the target population of environments

A major focus for genomic prediction has been on improving trait prediction accuracy using combinations of algorithms and the training data sets available from plant breeding multi-environment trials (METs). Any improvements in prediction accuracy are viewed as pathways to improve traits in the refe...

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Main Authors: Mark Cooper, Owen Powell, Carla Gho, Tom Tang, Carlos Messina
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-02-01
Series:Frontiers in Plant Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpls.2023.1129591/full
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author Mark Cooper
Mark Cooper
Owen Powell
Owen Powell
Carla Gho
Tom Tang
Carlos Messina
author_facet Mark Cooper
Mark Cooper
Owen Powell
Owen Powell
Carla Gho
Tom Tang
Carlos Messina
author_sort Mark Cooper
collection DOAJ
description A major focus for genomic prediction has been on improving trait prediction accuracy using combinations of algorithms and the training data sets available from plant breeding multi-environment trials (METs). Any improvements in prediction accuracy are viewed as pathways to improve traits in the reference population of genotypes and product performance in the target population of environments (TPE). To realize these breeding outcomes there must be a positive MET-TPE relationship that provides consistency between the trait variation expressed within the MET data sets that are used to train the genome-to-phenome (G2P) model for applications of genomic prediction and the realized trait and performance differences in the TPE for the genotypes that are the prediction targets. The strength of this MET-TPE relationship is usually assumed to be high, however it is rarely quantified. To date investigations of genomic prediction methods have focused on improving prediction accuracy within MET training data sets, with less attention to quantifying the structure of the TPE and the MET-TPE relationship and their potential impact on training the G2P model for applications of genomic prediction to accelerate breeding outcomes for the on-farm TPE. We extend the breeder’s equation and use an example to demonstrate the importance of the MET-TPE relationship as a key component for the design of genomic prediction methods to realize improved rates of genetic gain for the target yield, quality, stress tolerance and yield stability traits in the on-farm TPE.
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spelling doaj.art-658b512b6b114aacbc1d55c08cddb52e2023-02-21T11:23:14ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Plant Science1664-462X2023-02-011410.3389/fpls.2023.11295911129591Extending the breeder’s equation to take aim at the target population of environmentsMark Cooper0Mark Cooper1Owen Powell2Owen Powell3Carla Gho4Tom Tang5Carlos Messina6Queensland Alliance for Agriculture and Food Innovation (QAAFI), The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, AustraliaAustralian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Plant Success in Nature and Agriculture, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, AustraliaQueensland Alliance for Agriculture and Food Innovation (QAAFI), The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, AustraliaAustralian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Plant Success in Nature and Agriculture, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, AustraliaSchool of Agriculture & Food Sciences, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, AustraliaCorteva Agriscience, Johnston, IA, United StatesHorticultural Sciences Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, United StatesA major focus for genomic prediction has been on improving trait prediction accuracy using combinations of algorithms and the training data sets available from plant breeding multi-environment trials (METs). Any improvements in prediction accuracy are viewed as pathways to improve traits in the reference population of genotypes and product performance in the target population of environments (TPE). To realize these breeding outcomes there must be a positive MET-TPE relationship that provides consistency between the trait variation expressed within the MET data sets that are used to train the genome-to-phenome (G2P) model for applications of genomic prediction and the realized trait and performance differences in the TPE for the genotypes that are the prediction targets. The strength of this MET-TPE relationship is usually assumed to be high, however it is rarely quantified. To date investigations of genomic prediction methods have focused on improving prediction accuracy within MET training data sets, with less attention to quantifying the structure of the TPE and the MET-TPE relationship and their potential impact on training the G2P model for applications of genomic prediction to accelerate breeding outcomes for the on-farm TPE. We extend the breeder’s equation and use an example to demonstrate the importance of the MET-TPE relationship as a key component for the design of genomic prediction methods to realize improved rates of genetic gain for the target yield, quality, stress tolerance and yield stability traits in the on-farm TPE.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpls.2023.1129591/fullgenotype x environment (G x E) interactionsgenotypingphenotypingenvirotypinggenomic prediction
spellingShingle Mark Cooper
Mark Cooper
Owen Powell
Owen Powell
Carla Gho
Tom Tang
Carlos Messina
Extending the breeder’s equation to take aim at the target population of environments
Frontiers in Plant Science
genotype x environment (G x E) interactions
genotyping
phenotyping
envirotyping
genomic prediction
title Extending the breeder’s equation to take aim at the target population of environments
title_full Extending the breeder’s equation to take aim at the target population of environments
title_fullStr Extending the breeder’s equation to take aim at the target population of environments
title_full_unstemmed Extending the breeder’s equation to take aim at the target population of environments
title_short Extending the breeder’s equation to take aim at the target population of environments
title_sort extending the breeder s equation to take aim at the target population of environments
topic genotype x environment (G x E) interactions
genotyping
phenotyping
envirotyping
genomic prediction
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpls.2023.1129591/full
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