The contributions of stochastic demography and social inequality to lifespan variability

BACKGROUND: Individual lifespans differ. Some of those differences are due to heterogeneity, some to stochasticity. Some of the heterogeneity is due to socioeconomic, physiological, or environmental differences; some to unobserved latent factors. All of these are, from time to time, called inequalit...

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Main Author: Hal Caswell
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research 2023-08-01
Series:Demographic Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.demographic-research.org/articles/volume/49/13
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author Hal Caswell
author_facet Hal Caswell
author_sort Hal Caswell
collection DOAJ
description BACKGROUND: Individual lifespans differ. Some of those differences are due to heterogeneity, some to stochasticity. Some of the heterogeneity is due to socioeconomic, physiological, or environmental differences; some to unobserved latent factors. All of these are, from time to time, called inequality. OBJECTIVE: This paper aims to clarify the relations between heterogeneity, stochasticity, inequality of opportunity, and inequality of outcome in a wider context than has yet been attempted. METHODS: A population is divided into groups differing in their demographic rates. Markov chain or life table methods provide the moments of longevity for each group. A mixing distribution describes the relative abundance of groups. The variance in longevity is partitioned into within-group and between-group components. The approach applies to longevity, healthy longevity, lifetime reproductive output, and other outcomes. RESULTS: Important socioeconomic factors make only a small contribution to the variance in longevity, most of which is due to individual stochasticity. Some exceptions, in laboratory studies of insect populations and interspecies comparisons in biodemography, are explored. CONCLUSIONS: Important socioeconomic factors make only a small contribution to the variance in longevity, most of which is due to individual stochasticity. Some exceptions, in laboratory studies of insect populations and interspecies comparisons in biodemography, are explored. CONTRIBUTION: Recognizing the role of stochasticity clarifies the source and the implications of this important source of variance.
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spelling doaj.art-65fcea3e644c4c73aafbe78cdd3e88882023-08-23T14:13:24ZengMax Planck Institute for Demographic ResearchDemographic Research1435-98712023-08-01491330935410.4054/DemRes.2023.49.136174The contributions of stochastic demography and social inequality to lifespan variabilityHal Caswell0Universiteit van AmsterdamBACKGROUND: Individual lifespans differ. Some of those differences are due to heterogeneity, some to stochasticity. Some of the heterogeneity is due to socioeconomic, physiological, or environmental differences; some to unobserved latent factors. All of these are, from time to time, called inequality. OBJECTIVE: This paper aims to clarify the relations between heterogeneity, stochasticity, inequality of opportunity, and inequality of outcome in a wider context than has yet been attempted. METHODS: A population is divided into groups differing in their demographic rates. Markov chain or life table methods provide the moments of longevity for each group. A mixing distribution describes the relative abundance of groups. The variance in longevity is partitioned into within-group and between-group components. The approach applies to longevity, healthy longevity, lifetime reproductive output, and other outcomes. RESULTS: Important socioeconomic factors make only a small contribution to the variance in longevity, most of which is due to individual stochasticity. Some exceptions, in laboratory studies of insect populations and interspecies comparisons in biodemography, are explored. CONCLUSIONS: Important socioeconomic factors make only a small contribution to the variance in longevity, most of which is due to individual stochasticity. Some exceptions, in laboratory studies of insect populations and interspecies comparisons in biodemography, are explored. CONTRIBUTION: Recognizing the role of stochasticity clarifies the source and the implications of this important source of variance. https://www.demographic-research.org/articles/volume/49/13heterogeneityinequalitylifetime reproductionlongevitystochasticityvariance decomposition
spellingShingle Hal Caswell
The contributions of stochastic demography and social inequality to lifespan variability
Demographic Research
heterogeneity
inequality
lifetime reproduction
longevity
stochasticity
variance decomposition
title The contributions of stochastic demography and social inequality to lifespan variability
title_full The contributions of stochastic demography and social inequality to lifespan variability
title_fullStr The contributions of stochastic demography and social inequality to lifespan variability
title_full_unstemmed The contributions of stochastic demography and social inequality to lifespan variability
title_short The contributions of stochastic demography and social inequality to lifespan variability
title_sort contributions of stochastic demography and social inequality to lifespan variability
topic heterogeneity
inequality
lifetime reproduction
longevity
stochasticity
variance decomposition
url https://www.demographic-research.org/articles/volume/49/13
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