Coral reef island shoreline change and the dynamic response of the freshwater lens, Huvadhoo Atoll, Maldives

Low-lying coral reef islands have been projected to become uninhabitable by the end of the century due to sea level rise, but such projections of vulnerability assume that reef islands are static landforms that flood incrementally with sea level rise. In fact, GIS-based reef island shoreline analyse...

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Main Authors: Lucy Carruthers, Holly East, Vasile Ersek, Andrew Suggitt, Millie Campbell, Kara Lee, Victoria Naylor, Dominic Scurrah, Liam Taylor
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-06-01
Series:Frontiers in Marine Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2023.1070217/full
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author Lucy Carruthers
Holly East
Vasile Ersek
Andrew Suggitt
Millie Campbell
Kara Lee
Victoria Naylor
Dominic Scurrah
Liam Taylor
Liam Taylor
author_facet Lucy Carruthers
Holly East
Vasile Ersek
Andrew Suggitt
Millie Campbell
Kara Lee
Victoria Naylor
Dominic Scurrah
Liam Taylor
Liam Taylor
author_sort Lucy Carruthers
collection DOAJ
description Low-lying coral reef islands have been projected to become uninhabitable by the end of the century due to sea level rise, but such projections of vulnerability assume that reef islands are static landforms that flood incrementally with sea level rise. In fact, GIS-based reef island shoreline analyses have demonstrated that reef islands are highly dynamic landforms that may adjust their shorelines in response to changing environmental conditions. However, the vast majority of reef island shoreline analyses have been undertaken in the Pacific Ocean, leaving our understanding of changes in the Indian Ocean more limited. Further, our knowledge of how island dynamics can impact groundwater resources is restricted due to the assumption that islands will exhibit purely erosional responses to sea level rise. Here, we analyse shoreline evolution on 49 reef islands over a 50-year timeframe in Huvadhoo Atoll, Maldives. Additionally, rates of shoreline change were used to undertake numerical modelling of shifts in freshwater lens volume in 2030, 2050 and 2100 in response to changes in recharge. Despite sea level rising at 4.24 mm/year (1969-2019), accretion was prevalent on 53% of islands, with the remaining islands eroding (25%) or remaining stable (22%). Average net shoreline movement was 4.13 m, ranging from -17.51 to 65.73 m; and the average rate of shoreline change (weighted linear regression) was 0.13 m/year, ranging from -0.07 to 2.65 m/year. The magnitudes and rates of reef island evolution were found to be highly site-specific, with island type found to be the only significant predictor of either net shoreline movement or weighted linear regression. Results suggest that freshwater lens volume was substantially impacted by shoreline change compared to changes in recharge whereby accretion and erosion led to large increases (up to 65.05%) decreases (up to -50.4%) in les volume, respectively. We suggest that the capacity of reef islands to both (1) adjust their shorelines, and even accrete, under conditions of sea level rise; and (2) increase their storage of groundwater over the coming decades represents highly valuable geomorphic ecosystem services.
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spelling doaj.art-66104baedd0c4a3f86bc2255e8981f682023-06-19T14:56:42ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Marine Science2296-77452023-06-011010.3389/fmars.2023.10702171070217Coral reef island shoreline change and the dynamic response of the freshwater lens, Huvadhoo Atoll, MaldivesLucy Carruthers0Holly East1Vasile Ersek2Andrew Suggitt3Millie Campbell4Kara Lee5Victoria Naylor6Dominic Scurrah7Liam Taylor8Liam Taylor9Northumbria University, Faculty of Engineering and Environment, Newcastle upon Tyne, United KingdomNorthumbria University, Faculty of Engineering and Environment, Newcastle upon Tyne, United KingdomNorthumbria University, Faculty of Engineering and Environment, Newcastle upon Tyne, United KingdomNorthumbria University, Faculty of Engineering and Environment, Newcastle upon Tyne, United KingdomNorthumbria University, Faculty of Engineering and Environment, Newcastle upon Tyne, United KingdomNorthumbria University, Faculty of Engineering and Environment, Newcastle upon Tyne, United KingdomGeography, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, United KingdomNorthumbria University, Faculty of Engineering and Environment, Newcastle upon Tyne, United KingdomGeography, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, United KingdomSchool of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, United KingdomLow-lying coral reef islands have been projected to become uninhabitable by the end of the century due to sea level rise, but such projections of vulnerability assume that reef islands are static landforms that flood incrementally with sea level rise. In fact, GIS-based reef island shoreline analyses have demonstrated that reef islands are highly dynamic landforms that may adjust their shorelines in response to changing environmental conditions. However, the vast majority of reef island shoreline analyses have been undertaken in the Pacific Ocean, leaving our understanding of changes in the Indian Ocean more limited. Further, our knowledge of how island dynamics can impact groundwater resources is restricted due to the assumption that islands will exhibit purely erosional responses to sea level rise. Here, we analyse shoreline evolution on 49 reef islands over a 50-year timeframe in Huvadhoo Atoll, Maldives. Additionally, rates of shoreline change were used to undertake numerical modelling of shifts in freshwater lens volume in 2030, 2050 and 2100 in response to changes in recharge. Despite sea level rising at 4.24 mm/year (1969-2019), accretion was prevalent on 53% of islands, with the remaining islands eroding (25%) or remaining stable (22%). Average net shoreline movement was 4.13 m, ranging from -17.51 to 65.73 m; and the average rate of shoreline change (weighted linear regression) was 0.13 m/year, ranging from -0.07 to 2.65 m/year. The magnitudes and rates of reef island evolution were found to be highly site-specific, with island type found to be the only significant predictor of either net shoreline movement or weighted linear regression. Results suggest that freshwater lens volume was substantially impacted by shoreline change compared to changes in recharge whereby accretion and erosion led to large increases (up to 65.05%) decreases (up to -50.4%) in les volume, respectively. We suggest that the capacity of reef islands to both (1) adjust their shorelines, and even accrete, under conditions of sea level rise; and (2) increase their storage of groundwater over the coming decades represents highly valuable geomorphic ecosystem services.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2023.1070217/fullshoreline changecoral reef islandsatollgeomorphic ecosystem serviceIndian Oceanfreshwater lens
spellingShingle Lucy Carruthers
Holly East
Vasile Ersek
Andrew Suggitt
Millie Campbell
Kara Lee
Victoria Naylor
Dominic Scurrah
Liam Taylor
Liam Taylor
Coral reef island shoreline change and the dynamic response of the freshwater lens, Huvadhoo Atoll, Maldives
Frontiers in Marine Science
shoreline change
coral reef islands
atoll
geomorphic ecosystem service
Indian Ocean
freshwater lens
title Coral reef island shoreline change and the dynamic response of the freshwater lens, Huvadhoo Atoll, Maldives
title_full Coral reef island shoreline change and the dynamic response of the freshwater lens, Huvadhoo Atoll, Maldives
title_fullStr Coral reef island shoreline change and the dynamic response of the freshwater lens, Huvadhoo Atoll, Maldives
title_full_unstemmed Coral reef island shoreline change and the dynamic response of the freshwater lens, Huvadhoo Atoll, Maldives
title_short Coral reef island shoreline change and the dynamic response of the freshwater lens, Huvadhoo Atoll, Maldives
title_sort coral reef island shoreline change and the dynamic response of the freshwater lens huvadhoo atoll maldives
topic shoreline change
coral reef islands
atoll
geomorphic ecosystem service
Indian Ocean
freshwater lens
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2023.1070217/full
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