Analyse de sensibilité du modèle mathématique

Sensitivity analysis of the mathematical model “Erosion Productivity Impact calculator” (EPIC) by approach One-Factor-At-A-Time (OAT). Nowadays, mathematical models are very complex and have many input parameters. Moreover, all do not have the same level of influence on the outputs. In order to iden...

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Main Authors: Xanthoulis D., Felix R.
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Presses Agronomiques de Gembloux 2005-01-01
Series:Biotechnologie, Agronomie, Société et Environnement
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.pressesagro.be/base/text/v9n3/179.pdf
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author Xanthoulis D.
Felix R.
author_facet Xanthoulis D.
Felix R.
author_sort Xanthoulis D.
collection DOAJ
description Sensitivity analysis of the mathematical model “Erosion Productivity Impact calculator” (EPIC) by approach One-Factor-At-A-Time (OAT). Nowadays, mathematical models are very complex and have many input parameters. Moreover, all do not have the same level of influence on the outputs. In order to identify the most significant parameters of EPIC that will guide the user on the field and in the process of calibration of the model, a sensitivity analysis by the approach One- Factor-At-A-Time was carried out on two data files: one coming from the Programme-Action-Hesbaye” (PAH, 1996) a n d the other of the INCO project (2000). The method used consists in modifying each input parameter of the model by -10% and +10% around its initial value. The effect of each operated modification is analysed on 6 outputs of the model (nitrate leached, water percolation, water consumption, biomass, yield and mineralised humus) of which their sensitivity was quantified by calculation of an index called “Sensitivity Index” and by a percentage of variation. The outputs considered showed particularly sensitive to the parameters “Potential Heat Units” (PHU), “Fraction of nitrogen in plant at 50% of maturity” (BN2) but especially to the “Second point of the evolution of the LAI curve” (DLAP2). A variation of 10% of this parameter causes average changes of approximately 14% and 85% in the six outputs, respectively for the data files of the PAH and the Inco project.
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spelling doaj.art-663cfe857da64184b38a27be26be1e0d2022-12-22T01:02:38ZengPresses Agronomiques de GemblouxBiotechnologie, Agronomie, Société et Environnement1370-62331780-45072005-01-0193179190Analyse de sensibilité du modèle mathématiqueXanthoulis D.Felix R.Sensitivity analysis of the mathematical model “Erosion Productivity Impact calculator” (EPIC) by approach One-Factor-At-A-Time (OAT). Nowadays, mathematical models are very complex and have many input parameters. Moreover, all do not have the same level of influence on the outputs. In order to identify the most significant parameters of EPIC that will guide the user on the field and in the process of calibration of the model, a sensitivity analysis by the approach One- Factor-At-A-Time was carried out on two data files: one coming from the Programme-Action-Hesbaye” (PAH, 1996) a n d the other of the INCO project (2000). The method used consists in modifying each input parameter of the model by -10% and +10% around its initial value. The effect of each operated modification is analysed on 6 outputs of the model (nitrate leached, water percolation, water consumption, biomass, yield and mineralised humus) of which their sensitivity was quantified by calculation of an index called “Sensitivity Index” and by a percentage of variation. The outputs considered showed particularly sensitive to the parameters “Potential Heat Units” (PHU), “Fraction of nitrogen in plant at 50% of maturity” (BN2) but especially to the “Second point of the evolution of the LAI curve” (DLAP2). A variation of 10% of this parameter causes average changes of approximately 14% and 85% in the six outputs, respectively for the data files of the PAH and the Inco project.http://www.pressesagro.be/base/text/v9n3/179.pdfOne-Factor-At-A-Timesensivity analysissensivity indexpercentage of variationerosionproductivity
spellingShingle Xanthoulis D.
Felix R.
Analyse de sensibilité du modèle mathématique
Biotechnologie, Agronomie, Société et Environnement
One-Factor-At-A-Time
sensivity analysis
sensivity index
percentage of variation
erosion
productivity
title Analyse de sensibilité du modèle mathématique
title_full Analyse de sensibilité du modèle mathématique
title_fullStr Analyse de sensibilité du modèle mathématique
title_full_unstemmed Analyse de sensibilité du modèle mathématique
title_short Analyse de sensibilité du modèle mathématique
title_sort analyse de sensibilite du modele mathematique
topic One-Factor-At-A-Time
sensivity analysis
sensivity index
percentage of variation
erosion
productivity
url http://www.pressesagro.be/base/text/v9n3/179.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT xanthoulisd analysedesensibilitedumodelemathematique
AT felixr analysedesensibilitedumodelemathematique