Reaction of African stocks markets to disequilibrium episodes of the COVID-19 infection: Evidence from the top hit African countries

The continued COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on the global economy, with countries battling to contain the infection’s spread as it continues to affect nearly every country in the globe. We test for possible explosive behavior (excessive disequilibrium) in COVID-19 infection in the t...

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Main Authors: Suleiman O. Mamman, Jamilu Iliyasu, Aliyu Rafindadi Sanusi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Peoples’ Friendship University of Russia (RUDN University) 2022-12-01
Series:RUDN Journal of Economics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journals.rudn.ru/economics/article/viewFile/32147/21191
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author Suleiman O. Mamman
Jamilu Iliyasu
Aliyu Rafindadi Sanusi
author_facet Suleiman O. Mamman
Jamilu Iliyasu
Aliyu Rafindadi Sanusi
author_sort Suleiman O. Mamman
collection DOAJ
description The continued COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on the global economy, with countries battling to contain the infection’s spread as it continues to affect nearly every country in the globe. We test for possible explosive behavior (excessive disequilibrium) in COVID-19 infection in the top African impacted economies, given the sensitivity and fragility of stock markets to shocks. The study identifies two (2) separate explosive occurrences in Algeria and Egypt using the Generalized Sup Augmented DickeyFuller (GSADF) test. Furthermore, the study examines the influence of the COVID-19 infection’s explosive behavior on the stock markets of the countries, taking into consideration the disequilibrium occurrences. The COVID-19 infection’s explosive behavior had a negative but insignificant effect on stock returns, leading to an increase in riskiness. This outcome could be explained by the fact that the explosive incidents were transitory and could only have had a momentary impact on stock market returns absorbable overtime. More so, it suggests that investors may have adjusted to the shock of the COVID-19 infection prior to the two explosive occurrences, and that the development of the COVID-19 vaccine reassures for a near halt to the pandemic.
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spelling doaj.art-66531037e1d84c8481fb1fbee5d0e6eb2022-12-22T03:53:13ZengPeoples’ Friendship University of Russia (RUDN University)RUDN Journal of Economics2313-23292408-89862022-12-0130332934210.22363/2313-2329-2022-30-3-329-34220966Reaction of African stocks markets to disequilibrium episodes of the COVID-19 infection: Evidence from the top hit African countriesSuleiman O. Mamman0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3204-0595Jamilu Iliyasu1Aliyu Rafindadi Sanusi2Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal UniversityABU, Business School, Ahmadu Bello UniversityABU, Business School, Ahmadu Bello UniversityThe continued COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on the global economy, with countries battling to contain the infection’s spread as it continues to affect nearly every country in the globe. We test for possible explosive behavior (excessive disequilibrium) in COVID-19 infection in the top African impacted economies, given the sensitivity and fragility of stock markets to shocks. The study identifies two (2) separate explosive occurrences in Algeria and Egypt using the Generalized Sup Augmented DickeyFuller (GSADF) test. Furthermore, the study examines the influence of the COVID-19 infection’s explosive behavior on the stock markets of the countries, taking into consideration the disequilibrium occurrences. The COVID-19 infection’s explosive behavior had a negative but insignificant effect on stock returns, leading to an increase in riskiness. This outcome could be explained by the fact that the explosive incidents were transitory and could only have had a momentary impact on stock market returns absorbable overtime. More so, it suggests that investors may have adjusted to the shock of the COVID-19 infection prior to the two explosive occurrences, and that the development of the COVID-19 vaccine reassures for a near halt to the pandemic.https://journals.rudn.ru/economics/article/viewFile/32147/21191covid-19stock marketexplosive episodesgsadfafricacovid-19gsadf
spellingShingle Suleiman O. Mamman
Jamilu Iliyasu
Aliyu Rafindadi Sanusi
Reaction of African stocks markets to disequilibrium episodes of the COVID-19 infection: Evidence from the top hit African countries
RUDN Journal of Economics
covid-19
stock market
explosive episodes
gsadf
africa
covid-19
gsadf
title Reaction of African stocks markets to disequilibrium episodes of the COVID-19 infection: Evidence from the top hit African countries
title_full Reaction of African stocks markets to disequilibrium episodes of the COVID-19 infection: Evidence from the top hit African countries
title_fullStr Reaction of African stocks markets to disequilibrium episodes of the COVID-19 infection: Evidence from the top hit African countries
title_full_unstemmed Reaction of African stocks markets to disequilibrium episodes of the COVID-19 infection: Evidence from the top hit African countries
title_short Reaction of African stocks markets to disequilibrium episodes of the COVID-19 infection: Evidence from the top hit African countries
title_sort reaction of african stocks markets to disequilibrium episodes of the covid 19 infection evidence from the top hit african countries
topic covid-19
stock market
explosive episodes
gsadf
africa
covid-19
gsadf
url https://journals.rudn.ru/economics/article/viewFile/32147/21191
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AT jamiluiliyasu reactionofafricanstocksmarketstodisequilibriumepisodesofthecovid19infectionevidencefromthetophitafricancountries
AT aliyurafindadisanusi reactionofafricanstocksmarketstodisequilibriumepisodesofthecovid19infectionevidencefromthetophitafricancountries