Renal and brain failure predict mortality of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure admitted to the intensive care unit

Introduction and Objectives: Acute on Chronic Liver Failure (ACLF) is characterized by organ failure and high 28-day mortality. Identifying clinical predictors associated with early mortality could have implications for the treatment of patients with ACLF. Patients and methods: Patients diagnosed wi...

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Main Authors: Osvely Méndez-Guerrero, Daniel A. Calle-Rodas, Eduardo Cervantes-Alvarez, Elisa Alatorre-Arenas, Juanita Pérez-Escobar, Nalu Navarro-Alvarez, Aldo Torre
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2021-05-01
Series:Annals of Hepatology
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S166526812030185X
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author Osvely Méndez-Guerrero
Daniel A. Calle-Rodas
Eduardo Cervantes-Alvarez
Elisa Alatorre-Arenas
Juanita Pérez-Escobar
Nalu Navarro-Alvarez
Aldo Torre
author_facet Osvely Méndez-Guerrero
Daniel A. Calle-Rodas
Eduardo Cervantes-Alvarez
Elisa Alatorre-Arenas
Juanita Pérez-Escobar
Nalu Navarro-Alvarez
Aldo Torre
author_sort Osvely Méndez-Guerrero
collection DOAJ
description Introduction and Objectives: Acute on Chronic Liver Failure (ACLF) is characterized by organ failure and high 28-day mortality. Identifying clinical predictors associated with early mortality could have implications for the treatment of patients with ACLF. Patients and methods: Patients diagnosed with chronic liver failure that developed ACLF based on the EASL-CLIF Consortium definition admitted to the Intensive care unit of a tertiary hospital between 2012–2018 were included. Bivariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to identify factors associated with mortality. Results: 148 patients (55% female) were diagnosed with ACLF of which 55% (n = 82) had ACLF grade 3, 28% (n = 41) grade 2 and 17% (n = 25) grade 1. The median age was 54 years (41-63). Hepatitis C virus (HCV) was the most frequent etiology in 29.8% (n = 44) of the patients with bacterial infection being the most predominant precipitant factor in 58.1% (n = 86). Ninety-day global cumulative survival was only 18%. When divided by grade, mortality reached to 10% in ACLF 3. Moreover, in the multivariate Cox regression analysis, renal failure (HR 3.26, 95% CI (2.13–4.99), brain failure (HR 1.37, 95% CI 1.09–2.04) and male sex (HR 1.62, 95% CI 1.10–2.40) were independent predictors of 28- and 90-day mortality. Conclusions: ACLF is a frequent syndrome among chronic liver disease patients. Brain and renal failure are significantly associated with higher mortality and are independent predictors of 28 and 90-day mortality.
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spelling doaj.art-66703e816c284a1c83511133b4d2bf822022-12-21T22:44:36ZengElsevierAnnals of Hepatology1665-26812021-05-0122100270Renal and brain failure predict mortality of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure admitted to the intensive care unitOsvely Méndez-Guerrero0Daniel A. Calle-Rodas1Eduardo Cervantes-Alvarez2Elisa Alatorre-Arenas3Juanita Pérez-Escobar4Nalu Navarro-Alvarez5Aldo Torre6Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán, Department of Gastroenterology, Mexico City, MexicoInstituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán, Department of Gastroenterology, Mexico City, MexicoInstituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán, Department of Gastroenterology, Mexico City, Mexico; PECEM, Facultad de Medicina, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico City, MexicoInstituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán, Department of Gastroenterology, Mexico City, MexicoInstituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán, Department of Gastroenterology, Mexico City, MexicoInstituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán, Department of Gastroenterology, Mexico City, Mexico; Universidad Panamericana School of Medicine, Campus México, Mexico City, Mexico; Department of Surgery, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Denver, CO, United States; Corresponding authors.Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán, Department of Gastroenterology, Mexico City, Mexico; Corresponding authors.Introduction and Objectives: Acute on Chronic Liver Failure (ACLF) is characterized by organ failure and high 28-day mortality. Identifying clinical predictors associated with early mortality could have implications for the treatment of patients with ACLF. Patients and methods: Patients diagnosed with chronic liver failure that developed ACLF based on the EASL-CLIF Consortium definition admitted to the Intensive care unit of a tertiary hospital between 2012–2018 were included. Bivariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to identify factors associated with mortality. Results: 148 patients (55% female) were diagnosed with ACLF of which 55% (n = 82) had ACLF grade 3, 28% (n = 41) grade 2 and 17% (n = 25) grade 1. The median age was 54 years (41-63). Hepatitis C virus (HCV) was the most frequent etiology in 29.8% (n = 44) of the patients with bacterial infection being the most predominant precipitant factor in 58.1% (n = 86). Ninety-day global cumulative survival was only 18%. When divided by grade, mortality reached to 10% in ACLF 3. Moreover, in the multivariate Cox regression analysis, renal failure (HR 3.26, 95% CI (2.13–4.99), brain failure (HR 1.37, 95% CI 1.09–2.04) and male sex (HR 1.62, 95% CI 1.10–2.40) were independent predictors of 28- and 90-day mortality. Conclusions: ACLF is a frequent syndrome among chronic liver disease patients. Brain and renal failure are significantly associated with higher mortality and are independent predictors of 28 and 90-day mortality.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S166526812030185XACLFMortality predictorsBrain failureRenal failureMexico
spellingShingle Osvely Méndez-Guerrero
Daniel A. Calle-Rodas
Eduardo Cervantes-Alvarez
Elisa Alatorre-Arenas
Juanita Pérez-Escobar
Nalu Navarro-Alvarez
Aldo Torre
Renal and brain failure predict mortality of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure admitted to the intensive care unit
Annals of Hepatology
ACLF
Mortality predictors
Brain failure
Renal failure
Mexico
title Renal and brain failure predict mortality of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure admitted to the intensive care unit
title_full Renal and brain failure predict mortality of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure admitted to the intensive care unit
title_fullStr Renal and brain failure predict mortality of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure admitted to the intensive care unit
title_full_unstemmed Renal and brain failure predict mortality of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure admitted to the intensive care unit
title_short Renal and brain failure predict mortality of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure admitted to the intensive care unit
title_sort renal and brain failure predict mortality of patients with acute on chronic liver failure admitted to the intensive care unit
topic ACLF
Mortality predictors
Brain failure
Renal failure
Mexico
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S166526812030185X
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