Financial markets’ deterministic aspects modeled by a low-dimensional equation

Abstract We ask whether empirical finance market data (Financial Stress Index, swap and equity, emerging and developed, corporate and government, short and long maturity), with their recently observed alternations between calm periods and financial turmoil, could be described by a low-dimensional de...

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Main Authors: Giuseppe Orlando, Michele Bufalo, Ruedi Stoop
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2022-02-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-05765-z
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author Giuseppe Orlando
Michele Bufalo
Ruedi Stoop
author_facet Giuseppe Orlando
Michele Bufalo
Ruedi Stoop
author_sort Giuseppe Orlando
collection DOAJ
description Abstract We ask whether empirical finance market data (Financial Stress Index, swap and equity, emerging and developed, corporate and government, short and long maturity), with their recently observed alternations between calm periods and financial turmoil, could be described by a low-dimensional deterministic model, or whether this requests a stochastic approach. We find that a deterministic model performs at least as well as one of the best stochastic models, but may offer additional insight into the essential mechanisms that drive financial markets.
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spelling doaj.art-66894d01c6ce4f2aaff4976b99a01ee52022-12-22T04:10:57ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222022-02-0112111310.1038/s41598-022-05765-zFinancial markets’ deterministic aspects modeled by a low-dimensional equationGiuseppe Orlando0Michele Bufalo1Ruedi Stoop2Department of Economics and Finance, University of BariDepartment of Methods and Models for Economics, Territory and Finance, University of Rome “La Sapienza”Department of Physics and of Neuroinformatics, University and ETH of ZürichAbstract We ask whether empirical finance market data (Financial Stress Index, swap and equity, emerging and developed, corporate and government, short and long maturity), with their recently observed alternations between calm periods and financial turmoil, could be described by a low-dimensional deterministic model, or whether this requests a stochastic approach. We find that a deterministic model performs at least as well as one of the best stochastic models, but may offer additional insight into the essential mechanisms that drive financial markets.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-05765-z
spellingShingle Giuseppe Orlando
Michele Bufalo
Ruedi Stoop
Financial markets’ deterministic aspects modeled by a low-dimensional equation
Scientific Reports
title Financial markets’ deterministic aspects modeled by a low-dimensional equation
title_full Financial markets’ deterministic aspects modeled by a low-dimensional equation
title_fullStr Financial markets’ deterministic aspects modeled by a low-dimensional equation
title_full_unstemmed Financial markets’ deterministic aspects modeled by a low-dimensional equation
title_short Financial markets’ deterministic aspects modeled by a low-dimensional equation
title_sort financial markets deterministic aspects modeled by a low dimensional equation
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-05765-z
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