COVID-19′s First Wave: Examination of Impact on Food Purchasing Behaviour in the Eurozone

COVID-19 has had a negative impact on the living conditions of people in all countries worldwide. With a devastating economic crisis where many families are finding it difficult to pay bills and make ends meet, increases in prices of food basket staples can be very worrying. This study examines the...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Belén Gutiérrez-Villar, Rosa Melero-Bolaños, Mariano Carbonero-Ruz
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-05-01
Series:Foods
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2304-8158/10/6/1179
_version_ 1797532860872130560
author Belén Gutiérrez-Villar
Rosa Melero-Bolaños
Mariano Carbonero-Ruz
author_facet Belén Gutiérrez-Villar
Rosa Melero-Bolaños
Mariano Carbonero-Ruz
author_sort Belén Gutiérrez-Villar
collection DOAJ
description COVID-19 has had a negative impact on the living conditions of people in all countries worldwide. With a devastating economic crisis where many families are finding it difficult to pay bills and make ends meet, increases in prices of food basket staples can be very worrying. This study examines the relationship between the incidence of the pandemic during the first wave in 16 Eurozone countries with the variation experienced in food prices. We analysed the harmonised index of consumer food prices (included in HICP) and the classification of the degree of pandemic impact by country, the latter established with the index of deaths provided by the Johns Hopkins Center. The procedure used compared actual food prices during the first wave (March to June 2020) with those foreseeable in the absence of the pandemic. Time series analysis was used, dividing the research period into two phases. In both phases, the Holt–Winters model was applied for estimation and subsequent prediction. After a contrast using Kendall’s tau correlation index, it was concluded that in the countries with the highest death rates during the first wave, there was a higher increase in food prices than in the least affected countries of the Eurozone.
first_indexed 2024-03-10T11:06:23Z
format Article
id doaj.art-66929e6b84fa4ee3be485438a75549fb
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2304-8158
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-10T11:06:23Z
publishDate 2021-05-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Foods
spelling doaj.art-66929e6b84fa4ee3be485438a75549fb2023-11-21T21:06:08ZengMDPI AGFoods2304-81582021-05-01106117910.3390/foods10061179COVID-19′s First Wave: Examination of Impact on Food Purchasing Behaviour in the EurozoneBelén Gutiérrez-Villar0Rosa Melero-Bolaños1Mariano Carbonero-Ruz2Departamento de Gestión Empresarial, Universidad Loyola Andalucía, Escritor Castilla Aguayo 4, 14014 Córdoba, SpainDepartamento de Gestión Empresarial, Universidad Loyola Andalucía, Escritor Castilla Aguayo 4, 14014 Córdoba, SpainDepartamento de Métodos Cuantitativos, Universidad Loyola Andalucía, Escritor Castilla Aguayo 4, 14014 Córdoba, SpainCOVID-19 has had a negative impact on the living conditions of people in all countries worldwide. With a devastating economic crisis where many families are finding it difficult to pay bills and make ends meet, increases in prices of food basket staples can be very worrying. This study examines the relationship between the incidence of the pandemic during the first wave in 16 Eurozone countries with the variation experienced in food prices. We analysed the harmonised index of consumer food prices (included in HICP) and the classification of the degree of pandemic impact by country, the latter established with the index of deaths provided by the Johns Hopkins Center. The procedure used compared actual food prices during the first wave (March to June 2020) with those foreseeable in the absence of the pandemic. Time series analysis was used, dividing the research period into two phases. In both phases, the Holt–Winters model was applied for estimation and subsequent prediction. After a contrast using Kendall’s tau correlation index, it was concluded that in the countries with the highest death rates during the first wave, there was a higher increase in food prices than in the least affected countries of the Eurozone.https://www.mdpi.com/2304-8158/10/6/1179food pricesCOVID-19EurozoneHolt–Winters model
spellingShingle Belén Gutiérrez-Villar
Rosa Melero-Bolaños
Mariano Carbonero-Ruz
COVID-19′s First Wave: Examination of Impact on Food Purchasing Behaviour in the Eurozone
Foods
food prices
COVID-19
Eurozone
Holt–Winters model
title COVID-19′s First Wave: Examination of Impact on Food Purchasing Behaviour in the Eurozone
title_full COVID-19′s First Wave: Examination of Impact on Food Purchasing Behaviour in the Eurozone
title_fullStr COVID-19′s First Wave: Examination of Impact on Food Purchasing Behaviour in the Eurozone
title_full_unstemmed COVID-19′s First Wave: Examination of Impact on Food Purchasing Behaviour in the Eurozone
title_short COVID-19′s First Wave: Examination of Impact on Food Purchasing Behaviour in the Eurozone
title_sort covid 19 s first wave examination of impact on food purchasing behaviour in the eurozone
topic food prices
COVID-19
Eurozone
Holt–Winters model
url https://www.mdpi.com/2304-8158/10/6/1179
work_keys_str_mv AT belengutierrezvillar covid19sfirstwaveexaminationofimpactonfoodpurchasingbehaviourintheeurozone
AT rosamelerobolanos covid19sfirstwaveexaminationofimpactonfoodpurchasingbehaviourintheeurozone
AT marianocarboneroruz covid19sfirstwaveexaminationofimpactonfoodpurchasingbehaviourintheeurozone