Bearing failure diagnosis and prognostics modeling in plants for industrial purpose

Abstract When condition-based maintenance (CBM) is combined with proper decision support systems, it leads to enhanced utilization of resources and increased productivity which tends towards business efficiency. The forecasting of the future condition, the remaining operating life, or probability of...

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Main Authors: Henry Ogbemudia Omoregbee, Bright Aghogho Edward, Mabel Usunobun Olanipekun
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2023-03-01
Series:Journal of Engineering and Applied Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s44147-023-00183-y
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author Henry Ogbemudia Omoregbee
Bright Aghogho Edward
Mabel Usunobun Olanipekun
author_facet Henry Ogbemudia Omoregbee
Bright Aghogho Edward
Mabel Usunobun Olanipekun
author_sort Henry Ogbemudia Omoregbee
collection DOAJ
description Abstract When condition-based maintenance (CBM) is combined with proper decision support systems, it leads to enhanced utilization of resources and increased productivity which tends towards business efficiency. The forecasting of the future condition, the remaining operating life, or probability of stable system behavior, based on data from acquired condition monitoring is referred to as prognosis which is an important part of the CBM process. Despite auto-regression integrated moving average (ARIMA) time series modeling, being long established and dating back to the 1960s, it has surged through new advances over the years and is now recognized as a major forecasting technique. Its application is therefore investigated here in the context of the FEMTO–ST Institute (Franche-Comté Électronique Mécanique Thermique et Optique-Sciences et Technologies) bearing dataset. The work discussed in this article uses a time series approach which contributes to modeling and forecasting the remaining useful life (RUL) of bearings in plants, thereby helping to prevent catastrophic failure before it occurs. The motivation for this paper lies in the approach used in structuring the ARIMA models, thereby adding value in its application by first ensuring the stationarity of the time series signal by using the Dickey-Fuller Test, which then makes forecasting easy and accurate. The result obtained here using ARIMA is compared to the results obtained in the literature where neural network regression (NNR) was used as part of the FEMTO competition. We checked by contrasting our observations with the NNR observations obtained as well as the experimental results from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)
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spelling doaj.art-66e727532d0f48fbb775dcb585f47f562023-03-22T11:20:40ZengSpringerOpenJournal of Engineering and Applied Science1110-19032536-95122023-03-0170111710.1186/s44147-023-00183-yBearing failure diagnosis and prognostics modeling in plants for industrial purposeHenry Ogbemudia Omoregbee0Bright Aghogho Edward1Mabel Usunobun Olanipekun2Mechanical Engineering Department, University of LagosDepartment of Mechanical Engineering, Federal University of Petroleum Resources EffurunDepartment of Electrical Engineering, Pretoria, Tshwane University of TechnologyAbstract When condition-based maintenance (CBM) is combined with proper decision support systems, it leads to enhanced utilization of resources and increased productivity which tends towards business efficiency. The forecasting of the future condition, the remaining operating life, or probability of stable system behavior, based on data from acquired condition monitoring is referred to as prognosis which is an important part of the CBM process. Despite auto-regression integrated moving average (ARIMA) time series modeling, being long established and dating back to the 1960s, it has surged through new advances over the years and is now recognized as a major forecasting technique. Its application is therefore investigated here in the context of the FEMTO–ST Institute (Franche-Comté Électronique Mécanique Thermique et Optique-Sciences et Technologies) bearing dataset. The work discussed in this article uses a time series approach which contributes to modeling and forecasting the remaining useful life (RUL) of bearings in plants, thereby helping to prevent catastrophic failure before it occurs. The motivation for this paper lies in the approach used in structuring the ARIMA models, thereby adding value in its application by first ensuring the stationarity of the time series signal by using the Dickey-Fuller Test, which then makes forecasting easy and accurate. The result obtained here using ARIMA is compared to the results obtained in the literature where neural network regression (NNR) was used as part of the FEMTO competition. We checked by contrasting our observations with the NNR observations obtained as well as the experimental results from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)https://doi.org/10.1186/s44147-023-00183-yARIMA modelArtificial intelligence (AI)Condition-based maintenance (CBM)Dickey-Fuller TestForecastingNaive model
spellingShingle Henry Ogbemudia Omoregbee
Bright Aghogho Edward
Mabel Usunobun Olanipekun
Bearing failure diagnosis and prognostics modeling in plants for industrial purpose
Journal of Engineering and Applied Science
ARIMA model
Artificial intelligence (AI)
Condition-based maintenance (CBM)
Dickey-Fuller Test
Forecasting
Naive model
title Bearing failure diagnosis and prognostics modeling in plants for industrial purpose
title_full Bearing failure diagnosis and prognostics modeling in plants for industrial purpose
title_fullStr Bearing failure diagnosis and prognostics modeling in plants for industrial purpose
title_full_unstemmed Bearing failure diagnosis and prognostics modeling in plants for industrial purpose
title_short Bearing failure diagnosis and prognostics modeling in plants for industrial purpose
title_sort bearing failure diagnosis and prognostics modeling in plants for industrial purpose
topic ARIMA model
Artificial intelligence (AI)
Condition-based maintenance (CBM)
Dickey-Fuller Test
Forecasting
Naive model
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s44147-023-00183-y
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AT brightaghoghoedward bearingfailurediagnosisandprognosticsmodelinginplantsforindustrialpurpose
AT mabelusunobunolanipekun bearingfailurediagnosisandprognosticsmodelinginplantsforindustrialpurpose