Assessing the Impact of Trade Barriers on Energy Use in Turbulent Times: Current Conditions and Future Outlook for Greece

This paper develops a multi-sector computable general equilibrium (CGE) model with specific features for Greece and the non-EU Rest of the World (RoW). The novelty of this work stems from the lack of energy-focused CGE models for Greece in the current literature. The study’s objective is to determin...

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Main Authors: Gerassimos Bertsatos, Nicholas Tsounis
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-08-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/15/5806
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author Gerassimos Bertsatos
Nicholas Tsounis
author_facet Gerassimos Bertsatos
Nicholas Tsounis
author_sort Gerassimos Bertsatos
collection DOAJ
description This paper develops a multi-sector computable general equilibrium (CGE) model with specific features for Greece and the non-EU Rest of the World (RoW). The novelty of this work stems from the lack of energy-focused CGE models for Greece in the current literature. The study’s objective is to determine how the Greek economy would react if a 30% import tariff and a quota of 67% on energy imports and 35% on remaining imports were implemented. Furthermore, if quotas and tariffs are in force, the Greek economy will initiate countermeasures by increasing investment in renewable energies through substitution and a 35% subsidy. To quantify this, the 2015 Input-Output (I-O) table for Greece and the non-EU RoW was used. To offer a better understanding, the 36 production sectors have been divided into Agriculture, Energy, Manufacturing, and Services. The quota scenario resulted in a reduction in all sectors in domestic production in terms of output and domestic uses, with some sectors experiencing around a 30% reduction. Renewable energy investments, on the other hand, have proven to be effective for domestic production, increasing output and domestic uses by (6.561%) and (7.886%), respectively. In terms of import tariffs, prices have increased, resulting in a significant decrease in household consumption that exceeds 30% in several sectors. Finally, policy recommendations for addressing these trade barriers and Greece’s renewable energy opportunities are proposed.
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spelling doaj.art-66fa686ab164451fbc570e5de3fc43212023-11-18T22:53:04ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732023-08-011615580610.3390/en16155806Assessing the Impact of Trade Barriers on Energy Use in Turbulent Times: Current Conditions and Future Outlook for GreeceGerassimos Bertsatos0Nicholas Tsounis1Laboratory of Applied Economics, Department of Economics, University of Western Macedonia, 521 00 Kastoria, GreeceLaboratory of Applied Economics, Department of Economics, University of Western Macedonia, 521 00 Kastoria, GreeceThis paper develops a multi-sector computable general equilibrium (CGE) model with specific features for Greece and the non-EU Rest of the World (RoW). The novelty of this work stems from the lack of energy-focused CGE models for Greece in the current literature. The study’s objective is to determine how the Greek economy would react if a 30% import tariff and a quota of 67% on energy imports and 35% on remaining imports were implemented. Furthermore, if quotas and tariffs are in force, the Greek economy will initiate countermeasures by increasing investment in renewable energies through substitution and a 35% subsidy. To quantify this, the 2015 Input-Output (I-O) table for Greece and the non-EU RoW was used. To offer a better understanding, the 36 production sectors have been divided into Agriculture, Energy, Manufacturing, and Services. The quota scenario resulted in a reduction in all sectors in domestic production in terms of output and domestic uses, with some sectors experiencing around a 30% reduction. Renewable energy investments, on the other hand, have proven to be effective for domestic production, increasing output and domestic uses by (6.561%) and (7.886%), respectively. In terms of import tariffs, prices have increased, resulting in a significant decrease in household consumption that exceeds 30% in several sectors. Finally, policy recommendations for addressing these trade barriers and Greece’s renewable energy opportunities are proposed.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/15/5806Greecenon-EU RoWCGE modelInput-Output tableCES functionelasticities of substitution
spellingShingle Gerassimos Bertsatos
Nicholas Tsounis
Assessing the Impact of Trade Barriers on Energy Use in Turbulent Times: Current Conditions and Future Outlook for Greece
Energies
Greece
non-EU RoW
CGE model
Input-Output table
CES function
elasticities of substitution
title Assessing the Impact of Trade Barriers on Energy Use in Turbulent Times: Current Conditions and Future Outlook for Greece
title_full Assessing the Impact of Trade Barriers on Energy Use in Turbulent Times: Current Conditions and Future Outlook for Greece
title_fullStr Assessing the Impact of Trade Barriers on Energy Use in Turbulent Times: Current Conditions and Future Outlook for Greece
title_full_unstemmed Assessing the Impact of Trade Barriers on Energy Use in Turbulent Times: Current Conditions and Future Outlook for Greece
title_short Assessing the Impact of Trade Barriers on Energy Use in Turbulent Times: Current Conditions and Future Outlook for Greece
title_sort assessing the impact of trade barriers on energy use in turbulent times current conditions and future outlook for greece
topic Greece
non-EU RoW
CGE model
Input-Output table
CES function
elasticities of substitution
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/15/5806
work_keys_str_mv AT gerassimosbertsatos assessingtheimpactoftradebarriersonenergyuseinturbulenttimescurrentconditionsandfutureoutlookforgreece
AT nicholastsounis assessingtheimpactoftradebarriersonenergyuseinturbulenttimescurrentconditionsandfutureoutlookforgreece