Statistical Post-Processing with Standardized Anomalies Based on a 1 km Gridded Analysis

Statistical post-processing is necessary to correct systematic errors of numerical weather prediction models, especially in complex terrains such as the Alps. However, this post-processing is usually applied on every grid point individually, which can be computationally expensive. We want to present...

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Main Authors: Markus Dabernig, Irene Schicker, Alexander Kann, Yong Wang, Moritz N. Lang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Borntraeger 2020-10-01
Series:Meteorologische Zeitschrift
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1127/metz/2020/1022
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author Markus Dabernig
Irene Schicker
Alexander Kann
Yong Wang
Moritz N. Lang
author_facet Markus Dabernig
Irene Schicker
Alexander Kann
Yong Wang
Moritz N. Lang
author_sort Markus Dabernig
collection DOAJ
description Statistical post-processing is necessary to correct systematic errors of numerical weather prediction models, especially in complex terrains such as the Alps. However, this post-processing is usually applied on every grid point individually, which can be computationally expensive. We want to present a method to forecast all grid points of a certain region simultaneously to expedite operational forecast times. The presented post-processing is part of the project SAPHIR, which provides forecasts from nowcasting up to +72 hours lead time with the same spatial resolution as the analysis. The used analysis is the Integrated Nowcasting through Comprehensive Analysis (INCA) system provided by ZAMG with a spatial resolution of 1 km. The post-processed variables are temperature, precipitation, wind and relative humidity. As a result highly resolved forecasts are presented with a similar performance to station-based forecasts.
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spelling doaj.art-6749e067902b4a00814532061a37b8b72022-12-21T18:38:33ZengBorntraegerMeteorologische Zeitschrift0941-29482020-10-0129426527510.1127/metz/2020/102293575Statistical Post-Processing with Standardized Anomalies Based on a 1 km Gridded AnalysisMarkus DabernigIrene SchickerAlexander KannYong WangMoritz N. LangStatistical post-processing is necessary to correct systematic errors of numerical weather prediction models, especially in complex terrains such as the Alps. However, this post-processing is usually applied on every grid point individually, which can be computationally expensive. We want to present a method to forecast all grid points of a certain region simultaneously to expedite operational forecast times. The presented post-processing is part of the project SAPHIR, which provides forecasts from nowcasting up to +72 hours lead time with the same spatial resolution as the analysis. The used analysis is the Integrated Nowcasting through Comprehensive Analysis (INCA) system provided by ZAMG with a spatial resolution of 1 km. The post-processed variables are temperature, precipitation, wind and relative humidity. As a result highly resolved forecasts are presented with a similar performance to station-based forecasts.http://dx.doi.org/10.1127/metz/2020/1022ensemble forecastspost-processingtemperatureprecipitationwind speedrelative humiditystandardized anomaliesgridded analysis
spellingShingle Markus Dabernig
Irene Schicker
Alexander Kann
Yong Wang
Moritz N. Lang
Statistical Post-Processing with Standardized Anomalies Based on a 1 km Gridded Analysis
Meteorologische Zeitschrift
ensemble forecasts
post-processing
temperature
precipitation
wind speed
relative humidity
standardized anomalies
gridded analysis
title Statistical Post-Processing with Standardized Anomalies Based on a 1 km Gridded Analysis
title_full Statistical Post-Processing with Standardized Anomalies Based on a 1 km Gridded Analysis
title_fullStr Statistical Post-Processing with Standardized Anomalies Based on a 1 km Gridded Analysis
title_full_unstemmed Statistical Post-Processing with Standardized Anomalies Based on a 1 km Gridded Analysis
title_short Statistical Post-Processing with Standardized Anomalies Based on a 1 km Gridded Analysis
title_sort statistical post processing with standardized anomalies based on a 1 km gridded analysis
topic ensemble forecasts
post-processing
temperature
precipitation
wind speed
relative humidity
standardized anomalies
gridded analysis
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1127/metz/2020/1022
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AT alexanderkann statisticalpostprocessingwithstandardizedanomaliesbasedona1kmgriddedanalysis
AT yongwang statisticalpostprocessingwithstandardizedanomaliesbasedona1kmgriddedanalysis
AT moritznlang statisticalpostprocessingwithstandardizedanomaliesbasedona1kmgriddedanalysis