Convergence and divergence in mortality: A global study from 1990 to 2030.
An empirical question that has motivated demographers is whether there is convergence or divergence in mortality/longevity around the world. The epidemiological transition is the starting point for studying a global process of mortality convergence. This manuscript aims to provide an update on the c...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Public Library of Science (PLoS)
2024-01-01
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| Series: | PLoS ONE |
| Online Access: | https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0295842&type=printable |
| _version_ | 1827378187115429888 |
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| author | David Atance M Mercè Claramunt Xavier Varea Jose Manuel Aburto |
| author_facet | David Atance M Mercè Claramunt Xavier Varea Jose Manuel Aburto |
| author_sort | David Atance |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | An empirical question that has motivated demographers is whether there is convergence or divergence in mortality/longevity around the world. The epidemiological transition is the starting point for studying a global process of mortality convergence. This manuscript aims to provide an update on the concept of mortality convergence/divergence. We perform a comprehensive examination of nine different mortality indicators from a global perspective using clustering methods in the period 1990-2030. In addition, we include analyses of projections to provide insights into prospective trajectories of convergence clubs, a dimension unexplored in previous work. The results indicate that mortality convergence clubs of 194 countries by sex resemble the configuration of continents. These five clubs show a common steady upward trend in longevity indicators, accompanied by a progressive reduction in disparities between sexes and between groups of countries. Furthermore, this paper shows insights into the historical evolution of the convergence clubs in the period 1990-2020 and expands their scope to include projections of their expected future evolution in 2030. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-08T12:51:25Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-6792812f40054f2fbed601077580ad7b |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1932-6203 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-08T12:51:25Z |
| publishDate | 2024-01-01 |
| publisher | Public Library of Science (PLoS) |
| record_format | Article |
| series | PLoS ONE |
| spelling | doaj.art-6792812f40054f2fbed601077580ad7b2024-01-20T05:33:46ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032024-01-01191e029584210.1371/journal.pone.0295842Convergence and divergence in mortality: A global study from 1990 to 2030.David AtanceM Mercè ClaramuntXavier VareaJose Manuel AburtoAn empirical question that has motivated demographers is whether there is convergence or divergence in mortality/longevity around the world. The epidemiological transition is the starting point for studying a global process of mortality convergence. This manuscript aims to provide an update on the concept of mortality convergence/divergence. We perform a comprehensive examination of nine different mortality indicators from a global perspective using clustering methods in the period 1990-2030. In addition, we include analyses of projections to provide insights into prospective trajectories of convergence clubs, a dimension unexplored in previous work. The results indicate that mortality convergence clubs of 194 countries by sex resemble the configuration of continents. These five clubs show a common steady upward trend in longevity indicators, accompanied by a progressive reduction in disparities between sexes and between groups of countries. Furthermore, this paper shows insights into the historical evolution of the convergence clubs in the period 1990-2020 and expands their scope to include projections of their expected future evolution in 2030.https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0295842&type=printable |
| spellingShingle | David Atance M Mercè Claramunt Xavier Varea Jose Manuel Aburto Convergence and divergence in mortality: A global study from 1990 to 2030. PLoS ONE |
| title | Convergence and divergence in mortality: A global study from 1990 to 2030. |
| title_full | Convergence and divergence in mortality: A global study from 1990 to 2030. |
| title_fullStr | Convergence and divergence in mortality: A global study from 1990 to 2030. |
| title_full_unstemmed | Convergence and divergence in mortality: A global study from 1990 to 2030. |
| title_short | Convergence and divergence in mortality: A global study from 1990 to 2030. |
| title_sort | convergence and divergence in mortality a global study from 1990 to 2030 |
| url | https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0295842&type=printable |
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