Myopia, liquidity constraints and private consumption: the case of Cote d’Ivoire

In this paper, we estimate the behavior of private consumption in Cote d’Ivoire under the permanent income hypothesis using annual data for the period 1970–2016. The first objective is to test the validity of the permanent income hypothesis in Cote d’Ivoire. Our second concern is to investigate the...

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Main Author: Yaya Keho
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2019-01-01
Series:Cogent Economics & Finance
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2019.1608052
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author Yaya Keho
author_facet Yaya Keho
author_sort Yaya Keho
collection DOAJ
description In this paper, we estimate the behavior of private consumption in Cote d’Ivoire under the permanent income hypothesis using annual data for the period 1970–2016. The first objective is to test the validity of the permanent income hypothesis in Cote d’Ivoire. Our second concern is to investigate the reason explaining the rejection of this hypothesis. The data consists of real household consumption, real gross domestic product, and the real interest rate on deposits. The empirical analysis uses the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model proposed by Shin et al. This approach allows us to simultaneously test the short and long run nonlinearities through positive and negative partial sum decompositions of income. The results suggest that the absolute income hypothesis is valid rather than permanent income hypothesis. Also, there is evidence pointing to the rejection of the permanent income hypothesis-driven by the presence of liquidity constraints rather than myopia. As policy implications, the lending conditions of banks should be relaxed to increase the accessibility of households to credits. In addition, private consumption can be increased through income or consumption tax reductions.
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spelling doaj.art-67a17fbc023143efbf001c0e6a94ad512022-12-21T19:56:59ZengTaylor & Francis GroupCogent Economics & Finance2332-20392019-01-017110.1080/23322039.2019.16080521608052Myopia, liquidity constraints and private consumption: the case of Cote d’IvoireYaya Keho0Ecole Nationale Supérieure de Statistique et d’Economie Appliquée (ENSEA)In this paper, we estimate the behavior of private consumption in Cote d’Ivoire under the permanent income hypothesis using annual data for the period 1970–2016. The first objective is to test the validity of the permanent income hypothesis in Cote d’Ivoire. Our second concern is to investigate the reason explaining the rejection of this hypothesis. The data consists of real household consumption, real gross domestic product, and the real interest rate on deposits. The empirical analysis uses the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model proposed by Shin et al. This approach allows us to simultaneously test the short and long run nonlinearities through positive and negative partial sum decompositions of income. The results suggest that the absolute income hypothesis is valid rather than permanent income hypothesis. Also, there is evidence pointing to the rejection of the permanent income hypothesis-driven by the presence of liquidity constraints rather than myopia. As policy implications, the lending conditions of banks should be relaxed to increase the accessibility of households to credits. In addition, private consumption can be increased through income or consumption tax reductions.http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2019.1608052consumption functionpermanent income hypothesisabsolute income hypothesisliquidity constraintscote d’ivoire
spellingShingle Yaya Keho
Myopia, liquidity constraints and private consumption: the case of Cote d’Ivoire
Cogent Economics & Finance
consumption function
permanent income hypothesis
absolute income hypothesis
liquidity constraints
cote d’ivoire
title Myopia, liquidity constraints and private consumption: the case of Cote d’Ivoire
title_full Myopia, liquidity constraints and private consumption: the case of Cote d’Ivoire
title_fullStr Myopia, liquidity constraints and private consumption: the case of Cote d’Ivoire
title_full_unstemmed Myopia, liquidity constraints and private consumption: the case of Cote d’Ivoire
title_short Myopia, liquidity constraints and private consumption: the case of Cote d’Ivoire
title_sort myopia liquidity constraints and private consumption the case of cote d ivoire
topic consumption function
permanent income hypothesis
absolute income hypothesis
liquidity constraints
cote d’ivoire
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2019.1608052
work_keys_str_mv AT yayakeho myopialiquidityconstraintsandprivateconsumptionthecaseofcotedivoire