An interesting parameter deduced from confirmed infection number in COVID-19 epidemic

In controlling outbreaks of COVID-19, the number of daily confirmed infected cases is useful in deducing parameters to determine emergency management actions such as locking down the cities. However, complicated mathematical models with ordinary differential equations are involved. Resources includi...

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Main Authors: Chow CL, Cheng CH, Chow WK
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: KIMS Foundation and Research Center 2023-12-01
Series:Journal of Medical and Scientific Research
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.jmsronline.com/archive-article/Parameter-confirmed-infection-number-COVID-19-epidemic
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author Chow CL
Cheng CH
Chow WK
author_facet Chow CL
Cheng CH
Chow WK
author_sort Chow CL
collection DOAJ
description In controlling outbreaks of COVID-19, the number of daily confirmed infected cases is useful in deducing parameters to determine emergency management actions such as locking down the cities. However, complicated mathematical models with ordinary differential equations are involved. Resources including manpower and data accessibility are needed. The parameters deduced are always challenged by stakeholders, particularly those from servicing and tourist industry. A simple parameter is proposed to describe the extent of infection by estimating the transient daily infection number divided by the time. The daily infection number in Hong Kong is used to illustrate the approach. This will not require large-scale long-term observation and mathematical modeling or computation.
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spelling doaj.art-67d3553fa480483a832e7badadca51722024-01-02T05:03:07ZengKIMS Foundation and Research CenterJournal of Medical and Scientific Research2321-13262394-112X2023-12-0111426726910.17727/JMSR.2023/11-49An interesting parameter deduced from confirmed infection number in COVID-19 epidemicChow CL0Cheng CH1Chow WK2Department of Architecture and Civil Engineering, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, ChinaDepartment of Architecture and Civil Engineering, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, ChinaDepartment of Building Environment and Energy Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, ChinaIn controlling outbreaks of COVID-19, the number of daily confirmed infected cases is useful in deducing parameters to determine emergency management actions such as locking down the cities. However, complicated mathematical models with ordinary differential equations are involved. Resources including manpower and data accessibility are needed. The parameters deduced are always challenged by stakeholders, particularly those from servicing and tourist industry. A simple parameter is proposed to describe the extent of infection by estimating the transient daily infection number divided by the time. The daily infection number in Hong Kong is used to illustrate the approach. This will not require large-scale long-term observation and mathematical modeling or computation.http://www.jmsronline.com/archive-article/Parameter-confirmed-infection-number-COVID-19-epidemiccovid-19infection numberparameter
spellingShingle Chow CL
Cheng CH
Chow WK
An interesting parameter deduced from confirmed infection number in COVID-19 epidemic
Journal of Medical and Scientific Research
covid-19
infection number
parameter
title An interesting parameter deduced from confirmed infection number in COVID-19 epidemic
title_full An interesting parameter deduced from confirmed infection number in COVID-19 epidemic
title_fullStr An interesting parameter deduced from confirmed infection number in COVID-19 epidemic
title_full_unstemmed An interesting parameter deduced from confirmed infection number in COVID-19 epidemic
title_short An interesting parameter deduced from confirmed infection number in COVID-19 epidemic
title_sort interesting parameter deduced from confirmed infection number in covid 19 epidemic
topic covid-19
infection number
parameter
url http://www.jmsronline.com/archive-article/Parameter-confirmed-infection-number-COVID-19-epidemic
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