The relationship between political instability and stock market performance: An analysis of the MSCI index in the case of Pakistan.

The stock market is the barometer of the economy that reflects the overall health and direction of the economic development and is affected by different factors including social, environmental and political. It is important to investigate the effect of the political instability on the stock market p...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Zhiying Mai, Hassan Mujtaba Nawaz Saleem, Muhammad Kamran
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2023-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0292284&type=printable
_version_ 1826938209170358272
author Zhiying Mai
Hassan Mujtaba Nawaz Saleem
Muhammad Kamran
author_facet Zhiying Mai
Hassan Mujtaba Nawaz Saleem
Muhammad Kamran
author_sort Zhiying Mai
collection DOAJ
description The stock market is the barometer of the economy that reflects the overall health and direction of the economic development and is affected by different factors including social, environmental and political. It is important to investigate the effect of the political instability on the stock market performance, especially on emerging economies. Therefore, we aim to study the relationship between political instability and stock market performance in Pakistan. To meet our objectives, we used past data from 1996 to 2021. Data are collected from the DataStream data base. MSCI indices are used as the proxy for the Stock market performance of the selected country. World governance six indicators are used in the study as the explanatory variable concentrating the political instability index as the main explanatory variable. Regression analysis is used but two-way robustness analysis was done for the accuracy of the findings through GMM methods and taking GDP as another endogenous variable. Our findings shows that the political stability has significant positive impact on the stock market performance while, political instability has negative impact on stock market performance. Moreover, other governance indicators has a significant positive impact on performance. However, political instability disrupts the operations and economical activities that leads to decrease the investor confidence and also decrease the foreign investment with the increment of the risk in the country. Moreover, our study has some implications for investors to develop the diversified portfolio to minimize the risk and policy makers can increase their foreign direct investment within the economy by controlling the political instability.
first_indexed 2024-03-11T15:48:59Z
format Article
id doaj.art-67d4abd48649422d8cc733e4f148ecd7
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1932-6203
language English
last_indexed 2025-02-17T18:53:06Z
publishDate 2023-01-01
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
record_format Article
series PLoS ONE
spelling doaj.art-67d4abd48649422d8cc733e4f148ecd72024-12-11T05:31:34ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032023-01-011810e029228410.1371/journal.pone.0292284The relationship between political instability and stock market performance: An analysis of the MSCI index in the case of Pakistan.Zhiying MaiHassan Mujtaba Nawaz SaleemMuhammad KamranThe stock market is the barometer of the economy that reflects the overall health and direction of the economic development and is affected by different factors including social, environmental and political. It is important to investigate the effect of the political instability on the stock market performance, especially on emerging economies. Therefore, we aim to study the relationship between political instability and stock market performance in Pakistan. To meet our objectives, we used past data from 1996 to 2021. Data are collected from the DataStream data base. MSCI indices are used as the proxy for the Stock market performance of the selected country. World governance six indicators are used in the study as the explanatory variable concentrating the political instability index as the main explanatory variable. Regression analysis is used but two-way robustness analysis was done for the accuracy of the findings through GMM methods and taking GDP as another endogenous variable. Our findings shows that the political stability has significant positive impact on the stock market performance while, political instability has negative impact on stock market performance. Moreover, other governance indicators has a significant positive impact on performance. However, political instability disrupts the operations and economical activities that leads to decrease the investor confidence and also decrease the foreign investment with the increment of the risk in the country. Moreover, our study has some implications for investors to develop the diversified portfolio to minimize the risk and policy makers can increase their foreign direct investment within the economy by controlling the political instability.https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0292284&type=printable
spellingShingle Zhiying Mai
Hassan Mujtaba Nawaz Saleem
Muhammad Kamran
The relationship between political instability and stock market performance: An analysis of the MSCI index in the case of Pakistan.
PLoS ONE
title The relationship between political instability and stock market performance: An analysis of the MSCI index in the case of Pakistan.
title_full The relationship between political instability and stock market performance: An analysis of the MSCI index in the case of Pakistan.
title_fullStr The relationship between political instability and stock market performance: An analysis of the MSCI index in the case of Pakistan.
title_full_unstemmed The relationship between political instability and stock market performance: An analysis of the MSCI index in the case of Pakistan.
title_short The relationship between political instability and stock market performance: An analysis of the MSCI index in the case of Pakistan.
title_sort relationship between political instability and stock market performance an analysis of the msci index in the case of pakistan
url https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0292284&type=printable
work_keys_str_mv AT zhiyingmai therelationshipbetweenpoliticalinstabilityandstockmarketperformanceananalysisofthemsciindexinthecaseofpakistan
AT hassanmujtabanawazsaleem therelationshipbetweenpoliticalinstabilityandstockmarketperformanceananalysisofthemsciindexinthecaseofpakistan
AT muhammadkamran therelationshipbetweenpoliticalinstabilityandstockmarketperformanceananalysisofthemsciindexinthecaseofpakistan
AT zhiyingmai relationshipbetweenpoliticalinstabilityandstockmarketperformanceananalysisofthemsciindexinthecaseofpakistan
AT hassanmujtabanawazsaleem relationshipbetweenpoliticalinstabilityandstockmarketperformanceananalysisofthemsciindexinthecaseofpakistan
AT muhammadkamran relationshipbetweenpoliticalinstabilityandstockmarketperformanceananalysisofthemsciindexinthecaseofpakistan