Climate variability and nonstationary dynamics of Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in Japan.
<h4>Background</h4>A stationary association between climate factors and epidemics of Mycoplasma pneumoniae (M. pneumoniae) pneumonia has been widely assumed. However, it is unclear whether elements of the local climate that are relevant to M. pneumoniae pneumonia transmission have statio...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Public Library of Science (PLoS)
2014-01-01
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| Series: | PLoS ONE |
| Online Access: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/24740102/?tool=EBI |
| _version_ | 1819240614177275904 |
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| author | Daisuke Onozuka Luis Fernando Chaves |
| author_facet | Daisuke Onozuka Luis Fernando Chaves |
| author_sort | Daisuke Onozuka |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | <h4>Background</h4>A stationary association between climate factors and epidemics of Mycoplasma pneumoniae (M. pneumoniae) pneumonia has been widely assumed. However, it is unclear whether elements of the local climate that are relevant to M. pneumoniae pneumonia transmission have stationary signatures of climate factors on their dynamics over different time scales.<h4>Methods</h4>We performed a cross-wavelet coherency analysis to assess the patterns of association between monthly M. pneumoniae cases in Fukuoka, Japan, from 2000 to 2012 and indices for the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) and El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO).<h4>Results</h4>Monthly M. pneumoniae cases were strongly associated with the dynamics of both the IOD and ENSO for the 1-2-year periodic mode in 2005-2007 and 2010-2011. This association was non-stationary and appeared to have a major influence on the synchrony of M. pneumoniae epidemics.<h4>Conclusions</h4>Our results call for the consideration of non-stationary, possibly non-linear, patterns of association between M. pneumoniae cases and climatic factors in early warning systems. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-23T14:10:49Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-680b3dda31644e4f90ccb1064b93859e |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1932-6203 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-23T14:10:49Z |
| publishDate | 2014-01-01 |
| publisher | Public Library of Science (PLoS) |
| record_format | Article |
| series | PLoS ONE |
| spelling | doaj.art-680b3dda31644e4f90ccb1064b93859e2022-12-21T17:44:02ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032014-01-0194e9544710.1371/journal.pone.0095447Climate variability and nonstationary dynamics of Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in Japan.Daisuke OnozukaLuis Fernando Chaves<h4>Background</h4>A stationary association between climate factors and epidemics of Mycoplasma pneumoniae (M. pneumoniae) pneumonia has been widely assumed. However, it is unclear whether elements of the local climate that are relevant to M. pneumoniae pneumonia transmission have stationary signatures of climate factors on their dynamics over different time scales.<h4>Methods</h4>We performed a cross-wavelet coherency analysis to assess the patterns of association between monthly M. pneumoniae cases in Fukuoka, Japan, from 2000 to 2012 and indices for the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) and El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO).<h4>Results</h4>Monthly M. pneumoniae cases were strongly associated with the dynamics of both the IOD and ENSO for the 1-2-year periodic mode in 2005-2007 and 2010-2011. This association was non-stationary and appeared to have a major influence on the synchrony of M. pneumoniae epidemics.<h4>Conclusions</h4>Our results call for the consideration of non-stationary, possibly non-linear, patterns of association between M. pneumoniae cases and climatic factors in early warning systems.https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/24740102/?tool=EBI |
| spellingShingle | Daisuke Onozuka Luis Fernando Chaves Climate variability and nonstationary dynamics of Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in Japan. PLoS ONE |
| title | Climate variability and nonstationary dynamics of Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in Japan. |
| title_full | Climate variability and nonstationary dynamics of Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in Japan. |
| title_fullStr | Climate variability and nonstationary dynamics of Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in Japan. |
| title_full_unstemmed | Climate variability and nonstationary dynamics of Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in Japan. |
| title_short | Climate variability and nonstationary dynamics of Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in Japan. |
| title_sort | climate variability and nonstationary dynamics of mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in japan |
| url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/24740102/?tool=EBI |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT daisukeonozuka climatevariabilityandnonstationarydynamicsofmycoplasmapneumoniaepneumoniainjapan AT luisfernandochaves climatevariabilityandnonstationarydynamicsofmycoplasmapneumoniaepneumoniainjapan |