A review of and perspectives on global change modeling for Northern Eurasia
Northern Eurasia is made up of a complex and diverse set of physical, ecological, climatic and human systems, which provide important ecosystem services including the storage of substantial stocks of carbon in its terrestrial ecosystems. At the same time, the region has experienced dramatic climate...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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IOP Publishing
2017-01-01
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| Series: | Environmental Research Letters |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa7aae |
| _version_ | 1797748209217437696 |
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| author | Erwan Monier David W Kicklighter Andrei P Sokolov Qianlai Zhuang Irina N Sokolik Richard Lawford Martin Kappas Sergey V Paltsev Pavel Ya Groisman |
| author_facet | Erwan Monier David W Kicklighter Andrei P Sokolov Qianlai Zhuang Irina N Sokolik Richard Lawford Martin Kappas Sergey V Paltsev Pavel Ya Groisman |
| author_sort | Erwan Monier |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Northern Eurasia is made up of a complex and diverse set of physical, ecological, climatic and human systems, which provide important ecosystem services including the storage of substantial stocks of carbon in its terrestrial ecosystems. At the same time, the region has experienced dramatic climate change, natural disturbances and changes in land management practices over the past century. For these reasons, Northern Eurasia is both a critical region to understand and a complex system with substantial challenges for the modeling community. This review is designed to highlight the state of past and ongoing efforts of the research community to understand and model these environmental, socioeconomic, and climatic changes. We further aim to provide perspectives on the future direction of global change modeling to improve our understanding of the role of Northern Eurasia in the coupled human–Earth system. Modeling efforts have shown that environmental and socioeconomic changes in Northern Eurasia can have major impacts on biodiversity, ecosystems services, environmental sustainability, and the carbon cycle of the region, and beyond. These impacts have the potential to feedback onto and alter the global Earth system. We find that past and ongoing studies have largely focused on specific components of Earth system dynamics and have not systematically examined their feedbacks to the global Earth system and to society. We identify the crucial role of Earth system models in advancing our understanding of feedbacks within the region and with the global system. We further argue for the need for integrated assessment models (IAMs), a suite of models that couple human activity models to Earth system models, which are key to address many emerging issues that require a representation of the coupled human–Earth system. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-12T16:01:37Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-68290f506ddf4968bdf4702a69fc937b |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1748-9326 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-12T16:01:37Z |
| publishDate | 2017-01-01 |
| publisher | IOP Publishing |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Environmental Research Letters |
| spelling | doaj.art-68290f506ddf4968bdf4702a69fc937b2023-08-09T14:35:09ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262017-01-0112808300110.1088/1748-9326/aa7aaeA review of and perspectives on global change modeling for Northern EurasiaErwan Monier0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5533-6570David W Kicklighter1Andrei P Sokolov2Qianlai Zhuang3Irina N Sokolik4Richard Lawford5Martin Kappas6Sergey V Paltsev7Pavel Ya Groisman8Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change , Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States of America; Author to whom any correspondence should be addressed.The Ecosystems Center , Marine Biological Laboratory, Woods Hole, MA, United States of AmericaJoint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change , Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States of AmericaDepartment of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences , Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, United States of AmericaSchool of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences , Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, United States of AmericaMorgan State University , Baltimore, MD, United States of AmericaDepartment of Cartography , GIS and Remote Sensing, Georg-August-Universität Göttingen, Göttingen, GermanyJoint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change , Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States of AmericaNorth Carolina State University at National Centers for Environment Information , NOAA, Asheville, NC, United States of America; P. P. Shirshov Institute for Oceanology , RAS, Moscow, RussiaNorthern Eurasia is made up of a complex and diverse set of physical, ecological, climatic and human systems, which provide important ecosystem services including the storage of substantial stocks of carbon in its terrestrial ecosystems. At the same time, the region has experienced dramatic climate change, natural disturbances and changes in land management practices over the past century. For these reasons, Northern Eurasia is both a critical region to understand and a complex system with substantial challenges for the modeling community. This review is designed to highlight the state of past and ongoing efforts of the research community to understand and model these environmental, socioeconomic, and climatic changes. We further aim to provide perspectives on the future direction of global change modeling to improve our understanding of the role of Northern Eurasia in the coupled human–Earth system. Modeling efforts have shown that environmental and socioeconomic changes in Northern Eurasia can have major impacts on biodiversity, ecosystems services, environmental sustainability, and the carbon cycle of the region, and beyond. These impacts have the potential to feedback onto and alter the global Earth system. We find that past and ongoing studies have largely focused on specific components of Earth system dynamics and have not systematically examined their feedbacks to the global Earth system and to society. We identify the crucial role of Earth system models in advancing our understanding of feedbacks within the region and with the global system. We further argue for the need for integrated assessment models (IAMs), a suite of models that couple human activity models to Earth system models, which are key to address many emerging issues that require a representation of the coupled human–Earth system.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa7aaeglobal changeNorthern EurasiaNEESPIEarth system modelintegrated assessment modelcoupled human–Earth system |
| spellingShingle | Erwan Monier David W Kicklighter Andrei P Sokolov Qianlai Zhuang Irina N Sokolik Richard Lawford Martin Kappas Sergey V Paltsev Pavel Ya Groisman A review of and perspectives on global change modeling for Northern Eurasia Environmental Research Letters global change Northern Eurasia NEESPI Earth system model integrated assessment model coupled human–Earth system |
| title | A review of and perspectives on global change modeling for Northern Eurasia |
| title_full | A review of and perspectives on global change modeling for Northern Eurasia |
| title_fullStr | A review of and perspectives on global change modeling for Northern Eurasia |
| title_full_unstemmed | A review of and perspectives on global change modeling for Northern Eurasia |
| title_short | A review of and perspectives on global change modeling for Northern Eurasia |
| title_sort | review of and perspectives on global change modeling for northern eurasia |
| topic | global change Northern Eurasia NEESPI Earth system model integrated assessment model coupled human–Earth system |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa7aae |
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