An Empirical Analysis of Industry Concentration Efficacy in the Prediction of Manufacturing Industries’ Stock Returns

The objective of this study is to investigate the impact of industry concentration on the average stock returns prediction, and propose a model to explain this relationship. Explanatory variables are the past one-year's Herfindahl-Hirschman Index of the industry concentration, industry size (ma...

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Bibliographic Details
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Allameh Tabataba'i University Press 2010-09-01
Series:مطالعات مدیریت بهبود و تحول
Subjects:
Online Access:https://jmsd.atu.ac.ir/article_3664_6439287171f470b0518d3b2fae71c12b.pdf
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Summary:The objective of this study is to investigate the impact of industry concentration on the average stock returns prediction, and propose a model to explain this relationship. Explanatory variables are the past one-year's Herfindahl-Hirschman Index of the industry concentration, industry size (market equity), book-to-market ratio, leverage, and systematic risk (beta); also the industry average return is as the dependent variable. The study covers the years 1381 to 1387 and uses 31 manufacturing industry-year observations. With respect to the factthat concentration index is industry specific, all of the dependent and independent variables in this research are evaluated at the industry level. To examine the research hypotheses, the Panel Data techniquewith Fixed Effect (weighted) and Generalized Least Squares (GLS) methods were employed. Results indicate that in Tehran Securities Exchange, there exists a significant relationship between industry concentration and the size and average stock returns. On the other hand, book-to-market ratio, leverage and systematic risk are not associated with annual industry stock returns.
ISSN:2251-8037
2476-5988