Spatio‐temporal expand‐and‐squeeze networks for crowd flow prediction in metropolis

The use of deep learning methods to predict traffic flow in transportation systems has become a hot research project. The existing predictive model method faces problems such as long calculation time and difficult data pre‐processing, especially for the prediction effect of high traffic area. In thi...

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Main Authors: Bing Yang, Yan Kang, Hao Li, Yachuan Zhang, Yan Yang, Lan Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2020-05-01
Series:IET Intelligent Transport Systems
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1049/iet-its.2019.0377
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author Bing Yang
Yan Kang
Hao Li
Yachuan Zhang
Yan Yang
Lan Zhang
author_facet Bing Yang
Yan Kang
Hao Li
Yachuan Zhang
Yan Yang
Lan Zhang
author_sort Bing Yang
collection DOAJ
description The use of deep learning methods to predict traffic flow in transportation systems has become a hot research project. The existing predictive model method faces problems such as long calculation time and difficult data pre‐processing, especially for the prediction effect of high traffic area. In this study, the authors propose a novel framework ST‐ESNet, spatio‐temporal expand‐and‐squeeze networks, that designs several effective strategies for considering the complexity, non‐linearity and uncertainty of traffic flow, and better captures traffic flow characteristics to adapt to the dynamic characteristics of traffic trajectory, traffic duration and traffic flow. Specially, we use extend‐and‐squeeze process rather than squeeze‐and‐extend process during the normal residual unit to capture farther spatial dependence among regions. Specifically, inverted residual and deformed convolution structures are utilised in the expanding process, and the convolution with stride 2 is utilised in the squeeze process. Furthermore, image feature scaling is used in each residual unit to obtain more fine‐grained surface information, which improves the ability of the model to capture dynamic spatial dependence features. Finally, they use stochastic weight averaging to obtain an integration model. In summary, they propose a new predictive model ST‐ESNet. The experimental results show that the authors’ proposed network model has better prediction performance compared with the state‐of‐the‐art model.
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spelling doaj.art-6884f6d362dc481bb54c6f1d6f33a9d22022-12-22T03:08:21ZengWileyIET Intelligent Transport Systems1751-956X1751-95782020-05-0114531332210.1049/iet-its.2019.0377Spatio‐temporal expand‐and‐squeeze networks for crowd flow prediction in metropolisBing Yang0Yan Kang1Hao Li2Yachuan Zhang3Yan Yang4Lan Zhang5Department of Software EngineeringSchool of Software, Yunnan UniversityKunmingPeople's Republic of ChinaDepartment of Software EngineeringSchool of Software, Yunnan UniversityKunmingPeople's Republic of ChinaDepartment of Network EngineeringSchool of Software, Yunnan UniversityKunmingPeople's Republic of ChinaDepartment of Software EngineeringSchool of Software, Yunnan UniversityKunmingPeople's Republic of ChinaDepartment of Software EngineeringSchool of Software, Yunnan UniversityKunmingPeople's Republic of ChinaDepartment of Software EngineeringSchool of Software, Yunnan UniversityKunmingPeople's Republic of ChinaThe use of deep learning methods to predict traffic flow in transportation systems has become a hot research project. The existing predictive model method faces problems such as long calculation time and difficult data pre‐processing, especially for the prediction effect of high traffic area. In this study, the authors propose a novel framework ST‐ESNet, spatio‐temporal expand‐and‐squeeze networks, that designs several effective strategies for considering the complexity, non‐linearity and uncertainty of traffic flow, and better captures traffic flow characteristics to adapt to the dynamic characteristics of traffic trajectory, traffic duration and traffic flow. Specially, we use extend‐and‐squeeze process rather than squeeze‐and‐extend process during the normal residual unit to capture farther spatial dependence among regions. Specifically, inverted residual and deformed convolution structures are utilised in the expanding process, and the convolution with stride 2 is utilised in the squeeze process. Furthermore, image feature scaling is used in each residual unit to obtain more fine‐grained surface information, which improves the ability of the model to capture dynamic spatial dependence features. Finally, they use stochastic weight averaging to obtain an integration model. In summary, they propose a new predictive model ST‐ESNet. The experimental results show that the authors’ proposed network model has better prediction performance compared with the state‐of‐the‐art model.https://doi.org/10.1049/iet-its.2019.0377crowd flow predictiondeep learning methodstraffic flow characteristicstraffic trajectorytraffic durationinverted residual convolution structures
spellingShingle Bing Yang
Yan Kang
Hao Li
Yachuan Zhang
Yan Yang
Lan Zhang
Spatio‐temporal expand‐and‐squeeze networks for crowd flow prediction in metropolis
IET Intelligent Transport Systems
crowd flow prediction
deep learning methods
traffic flow characteristics
traffic trajectory
traffic duration
inverted residual convolution structures
title Spatio‐temporal expand‐and‐squeeze networks for crowd flow prediction in metropolis
title_full Spatio‐temporal expand‐and‐squeeze networks for crowd flow prediction in metropolis
title_fullStr Spatio‐temporal expand‐and‐squeeze networks for crowd flow prediction in metropolis
title_full_unstemmed Spatio‐temporal expand‐and‐squeeze networks for crowd flow prediction in metropolis
title_short Spatio‐temporal expand‐and‐squeeze networks for crowd flow prediction in metropolis
title_sort spatio temporal expand and squeeze networks for crowd flow prediction in metropolis
topic crowd flow prediction
deep learning methods
traffic flow characteristics
traffic trajectory
traffic duration
inverted residual convolution structures
url https://doi.org/10.1049/iet-its.2019.0377
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