2021–2022 monitoring, early warning, and forecasting of global infectious diseases

Background: COVID-19 has had a considerable impact on society since 2019, and the disease has high mortality and infection rates. There has been a particular focus on how to best manage COVID-19 and how to analyze and predict the epidemic status of infectious diseases in general.MethodsThe present s...

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Main Authors: Jie Luan, Jianbo Ba, Bin Liu, Xiongli Xu, Dong Shu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. 2022-12-01
Series:Journal of Biosafety and Biosecurity
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2588933822000061
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author Jie Luan
Jianbo Ba
Bin Liu
Xiongli Xu
Dong Shu
author_facet Jie Luan
Jianbo Ba
Bin Liu
Xiongli Xu
Dong Shu
author_sort Jie Luan
collection DOAJ
description Background: COVID-19 has had a considerable impact on society since 2019, and the disease has high mortality and infection rates. There has been a particular focus on how to best manage COVID-19 and how to analyze and predict the epidemic status of infectious diseases in general.MethodsThe present study analyzed the COVID-19 epidemic patterns and made predictions of future trends based on the statistics obtained from a global infectious disease network data monitoring and early warning system (OBN, http://27.115.41.130:8888/OBN/). The development trends of other major infectious diseases were also examined.ResultsThe global COVID-19 pandemic showed periodic increases throughout 2021. At present, there is a high incidence in European countries, especially in Eastern Europe, followed by in Africa. The risk of contracting COVID-19 was divided into high, medium–high, medium, medium–low, and low grades depending on the stage of the epidemic in each examined region over the current period. The occurrence and prevalence of major infectious diseases throughout the world did not significantly change in 2021.ConclusionsThe COVID-19 pandemic has strongly impacted people’s lives and the economy. The effects of global infectious diseases can be ameliorated by strengthening monitoring and early warning systems and by facilitating the international exchange of information.
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spelling doaj.art-688ba5bdebe9476abfa0254f1ab9e9ec2023-01-25T04:16:01ZengKeAi Communications Co., Ltd.Journal of Biosafety and Biosecurity2588-93382022-12-0142981042021–2022 monitoring, early warning, and forecasting of global infectious diseasesJie Luan0Jianbo Ba1Bin Liu2Xiongli Xu3Dong Shu4Naval Medical Center of PLA, 880 Xiangyin Road, Yangpu District, Shanghai, ChinaCorresponding author.; Naval Medical Center of PLA, 880 Xiangyin Road, Yangpu District, Shanghai, ChinaNaval Medical Center of PLA, 880 Xiangyin Road, Yangpu District, Shanghai, ChinaNaval Medical Center of PLA, 880 Xiangyin Road, Yangpu District, Shanghai, ChinaNaval Medical Center of PLA, 880 Xiangyin Road, Yangpu District, Shanghai, ChinaBackground: COVID-19 has had a considerable impact on society since 2019, and the disease has high mortality and infection rates. There has been a particular focus on how to best manage COVID-19 and how to analyze and predict the epidemic status of infectious diseases in general.MethodsThe present study analyzed the COVID-19 epidemic patterns and made predictions of future trends based on the statistics obtained from a global infectious disease network data monitoring and early warning system (OBN, http://27.115.41.130:8888/OBN/). The development trends of other major infectious diseases were also examined.ResultsThe global COVID-19 pandemic showed periodic increases throughout 2021. At present, there is a high incidence in European countries, especially in Eastern Europe, followed by in Africa. The risk of contracting COVID-19 was divided into high, medium–high, medium, medium–low, and low grades depending on the stage of the epidemic in each examined region over the current period. The occurrence and prevalence of major infectious diseases throughout the world did not significantly change in 2021.ConclusionsThe COVID-19 pandemic has strongly impacted people’s lives and the economy. The effects of global infectious diseases can be ameliorated by strengthening monitoring and early warning systems and by facilitating the international exchange of information.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2588933822000061COVID-19EpidemicStatus and development trendPredict
spellingShingle Jie Luan
Jianbo Ba
Bin Liu
Xiongli Xu
Dong Shu
2021–2022 monitoring, early warning, and forecasting of global infectious diseases
Journal of Biosafety and Biosecurity
COVID-19
Epidemic
Status and development trend
Predict
title 2021–2022 monitoring, early warning, and forecasting of global infectious diseases
title_full 2021–2022 monitoring, early warning, and forecasting of global infectious diseases
title_fullStr 2021–2022 monitoring, early warning, and forecasting of global infectious diseases
title_full_unstemmed 2021–2022 monitoring, early warning, and forecasting of global infectious diseases
title_short 2021–2022 monitoring, early warning, and forecasting of global infectious diseases
title_sort 2021 2022 monitoring early warning and forecasting of global infectious diseases
topic COVID-19
Epidemic
Status and development trend
Predict
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2588933822000061
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