Association between triglyceride-glucose index and risk of incident diabetes: a secondary analysis based on a Chinese cohort study

Abstract Background Recent studies have suggested the triglyceride-glucose index (TyG index) may serve as a suitable substitute for insulin resistance. However, evidence for the relationship between TyG index and risk of diabetes remains limited. This study sought to explore the association of basel...

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Main Authors: Xiaoli Li, Guilong Li, Tiantian Cheng, Jing Liu, Guangyao Song, Huijuan Ma
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2020-11-01
Series:Lipids in Health and Disease
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12944-020-01403-7
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author Xiaoli Li
Guilong Li
Tiantian Cheng
Jing Liu
Guangyao Song
Huijuan Ma
author_facet Xiaoli Li
Guilong Li
Tiantian Cheng
Jing Liu
Guangyao Song
Huijuan Ma
author_sort Xiaoli Li
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Recent studies have suggested the triglyceride-glucose index (TyG index) may serve as a suitable substitute for insulin resistance. However, evidence for the relationship between TyG index and risk of diabetes remains limited. This study sought to explore the association of baseline TyG index with risk of developing diabetes in Chinese adults. Methods This retrospective cohort study was conducted using data from the health screening program in China. A total of 201,298 non-diabetic individuals were included. TyG index was calculated as Ln [fasting plasma glucose (mg/dL) × fasting triglyceride level (mg/dL) / 2]. Diabetes was defined as fasting plasma glucose ≥126 mg/dL and/or self-reported diabetes. Cox proportion-hazard model was employed to evaluate the independent impact of baseline TyG index on future diabetes risk. Sensitivity and subgroup analyses were implemented to verify the reliability of results. Notably, data were downloaded from the DATADRYAD website, and used only for secondary analyses. Results During an average follow-up of 3.12 years, among 201,298 individuals aged ≥20 years, 3389 subjects developed diabetes. After adjusting for potential confounders, elevated TyG index were independently correlated with greater risk of incident diabetes (hazard ratio (HR), 3.34; 95% confidence interval (CI), 3.11–3.60). Compared with the lowest quartile (Q1), increasing TyG index (Q2, Q3, and Q4) was related to increased HR estimates of incident diabetes [HR (95% CI), 1.83 (1.49–2.26); 3.29 (2.70–4.01), and 6.26 (5.15–7.60), respectively]. Moreover, a nonlinear relationship was observed between TyG index and risk of diabetes and the slope of the curve increased accompanying the rise of TyG index. Subgroup analysis revealed the positive association was stronger among subjects with age < 40 years, body mass index ≥18.5 kg/m2 and < 24 kg/m2, or systolic blood pressure < 140 mmHg, or in females. Conclusions Elevated TyG index is independently correlated with increased risk of incident diabetes in Chinese adults, indicating it may represent a reliable predictor of diabetes in high-risk populations.
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spelling doaj.art-69e904547b7142fca0fd63efa633de402022-12-22T00:33:47ZengBMCLipids in Health and Disease1476-511X2020-11-0119111110.1186/s12944-020-01403-7Association between triglyceride-glucose index and risk of incident diabetes: a secondary analysis based on a Chinese cohort studyXiaoli Li0Guilong Li1Tiantian Cheng2Jing Liu3Guangyao Song4Huijuan Ma5Department of Internal Medicine, Hebei Medical UniversityDepartment of Cardiology, Xingtai Third HospitalDepartment of Endocrinology and Metabolic Diseases, Hebei General HospitalDepartment of Endocrinology and Metabolic Diseases, Hebei General HospitalDepartment of Internal Medicine, Hebei Medical UniversityDepartment of Internal Medicine, Hebei Medical UniversityAbstract Background Recent studies have suggested the triglyceride-glucose index (TyG index) may serve as a suitable substitute for insulin resistance. However, evidence for the relationship between TyG index and risk of diabetes remains limited. This study sought to explore the association of baseline TyG index with risk of developing diabetes in Chinese adults. Methods This retrospective cohort study was conducted using data from the health screening program in China. A total of 201,298 non-diabetic individuals were included. TyG index was calculated as Ln [fasting plasma glucose (mg/dL) × fasting triglyceride level (mg/dL) / 2]. Diabetes was defined as fasting plasma glucose ≥126 mg/dL and/or self-reported diabetes. Cox proportion-hazard model was employed to evaluate the independent impact of baseline TyG index on future diabetes risk. Sensitivity and subgroup analyses were implemented to verify the reliability of results. Notably, data were downloaded from the DATADRYAD website, and used only for secondary analyses. Results During an average follow-up of 3.12 years, among 201,298 individuals aged ≥20 years, 3389 subjects developed diabetes. After adjusting for potential confounders, elevated TyG index were independently correlated with greater risk of incident diabetes (hazard ratio (HR), 3.34; 95% confidence interval (CI), 3.11–3.60). Compared with the lowest quartile (Q1), increasing TyG index (Q2, Q3, and Q4) was related to increased HR estimates of incident diabetes [HR (95% CI), 1.83 (1.49–2.26); 3.29 (2.70–4.01), and 6.26 (5.15–7.60), respectively]. Moreover, a nonlinear relationship was observed between TyG index and risk of diabetes and the slope of the curve increased accompanying the rise of TyG index. Subgroup analysis revealed the positive association was stronger among subjects with age < 40 years, body mass index ≥18.5 kg/m2 and < 24 kg/m2, or systolic blood pressure < 140 mmHg, or in females. Conclusions Elevated TyG index is independently correlated with increased risk of incident diabetes in Chinese adults, indicating it may represent a reliable predictor of diabetes in high-risk populations.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12944-020-01403-7Triglyceride-glucose indexIncident diabetesAssociationNonlinearityInsulin resistanceCohort study
spellingShingle Xiaoli Li
Guilong Li
Tiantian Cheng
Jing Liu
Guangyao Song
Huijuan Ma
Association between triglyceride-glucose index and risk of incident diabetes: a secondary analysis based on a Chinese cohort study
Lipids in Health and Disease
Triglyceride-glucose index
Incident diabetes
Association
Nonlinearity
Insulin resistance
Cohort study
title Association between triglyceride-glucose index and risk of incident diabetes: a secondary analysis based on a Chinese cohort study
title_full Association between triglyceride-glucose index and risk of incident diabetes: a secondary analysis based on a Chinese cohort study
title_fullStr Association between triglyceride-glucose index and risk of incident diabetes: a secondary analysis based on a Chinese cohort study
title_full_unstemmed Association between triglyceride-glucose index and risk of incident diabetes: a secondary analysis based on a Chinese cohort study
title_short Association between triglyceride-glucose index and risk of incident diabetes: a secondary analysis based on a Chinese cohort study
title_sort association between triglyceride glucose index and risk of incident diabetes a secondary analysis based on a chinese cohort study
topic Triglyceride-glucose index
Incident diabetes
Association
Nonlinearity
Insulin resistance
Cohort study
url http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12944-020-01403-7
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