Post-Harvest Grain Storing and Hedging with Efficient Futures

This study simulates whether Kansas wheat, soybean, corn, and milo producers could have profitably used deferred futures plus historical basis cash price expectations for post-harvest unhedged and hedged grain storage decisions from 1985-97. The signaled storage decision is compared to a representat...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Terry L. Kastens, Kevin C. Dhuyvetter
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Western Agricultural Economics Association 1999-12-01
Series:Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/30800
_version_ 1818294097835720704
author Terry L. Kastens
Kevin C. Dhuyvetter
author_facet Terry L. Kastens
Kevin C. Dhuyvetter
author_sort Terry L. Kastens
collection DOAJ
description This study simulates whether Kansas wheat, soybean, corn, and milo producers could have profitably used deferred futures plus historical basis cash price expectations for post-harvest unhedged and hedged grain storage decisions from 1985-97. The signaled storage decision is compared to a representative Kansas producer whose crop sales mimic average Kansas marketings each year. Using 23 grain price locations, the simulations resulted in an 11 cents per bushel annual increase in grain storage profits for wheat, 27 cents for soybeans, -17 cents for corn, and -20 cents for milo; however, storage profit differences varied substantially across locations. Hedging tended to decrease risk, but not impact profitability.
first_indexed 2024-12-13T03:26:20Z
format Article
id doaj.art-69f450e1ff1f4ea1b40b3500f5d8ad0c
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1068-5502
2327-8285
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-13T03:26:20Z
publishDate 1999-12-01
publisher Western Agricultural Economics Association
record_format Article
series Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics
spelling doaj.art-69f450e1ff1f4ea1b40b3500f5d8ad0c2022-12-22T00:01:16ZengWestern Agricultural Economics AssociationJournal of Agricultural and Resource Economics1068-55022327-82851999-12-0124248250510.22004/ag.econ.3080030800Post-Harvest Grain Storing and Hedging with Efficient FuturesTerry L. KastensKevin C. DhuyvetterThis study simulates whether Kansas wheat, soybean, corn, and milo producers could have profitably used deferred futures plus historical basis cash price expectations for post-harvest unhedged and hedged grain storage decisions from 1985-97. The signaled storage decision is compared to a representative Kansas producer whose crop sales mimic average Kansas marketings each year. Using 23 grain price locations, the simulations resulted in an 11 cents per bushel annual increase in grain storage profits for wheat, 27 cents for soybeans, -17 cents for corn, and -20 cents for milo; however, storage profit differences varied substantially across locations. Hedging tended to decrease risk, but not impact profitability.https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/30800futureshedgingmarket efficiencystorage
spellingShingle Terry L. Kastens
Kevin C. Dhuyvetter
Post-Harvest Grain Storing and Hedging with Efficient Futures
Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics
futures
hedging
market efficiency
storage
title Post-Harvest Grain Storing and Hedging with Efficient Futures
title_full Post-Harvest Grain Storing and Hedging with Efficient Futures
title_fullStr Post-Harvest Grain Storing and Hedging with Efficient Futures
title_full_unstemmed Post-Harvest Grain Storing and Hedging with Efficient Futures
title_short Post-Harvest Grain Storing and Hedging with Efficient Futures
title_sort post harvest grain storing and hedging with efficient futures
topic futures
hedging
market efficiency
storage
url https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/30800
work_keys_str_mv AT terrylkastens postharvestgrainstoringandhedgingwithefficientfutures
AT kevincdhuyvetter postharvestgrainstoringandhedgingwithefficientfutures