Construction of a Multi-Indicator Model for Abscess Prediction in Granulomatous Lobular Mastitis Using Inflammatory Indicators

Nan-Nan Du, Jia-Mei Feng, Shi-Jun Shao, Hua Wan, Xue-Qing Wu Breast Department, Shuguang Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, 200021, People’s Republic of ChinaCorrespondence: Xue-Qing Wu; Hua Wan, Breast Department, Shuguang Hospital Affiliated to Sh...

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Main Authors: Du NN, Feng JM, Shao SJ, Wan H, Wu XQ
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Dove Medical Press 2024-02-01
Series:Journal of Inflammation Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.dovepress.com/construction-of-a-multi-indicator-model-for-abscess-prediction-in-gran-peer-reviewed-fulltext-article-JIR
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author Du NN
Feng JM
Shao SJ
Wan H
Wu XQ
author_facet Du NN
Feng JM
Shao SJ
Wan H
Wu XQ
author_sort Du NN
collection DOAJ
description Nan-Nan Du, Jia-Mei Feng, Shi-Jun Shao, Hua Wan, Xue-Qing Wu Breast Department, Shuguang Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, 200021, People’s Republic of ChinaCorrespondence: Xue-Qing Wu; Hua Wan, Breast Department, Shuguang Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, 200021, People’s Republic of China, Tel +86 13817792022 ; +86 13611666266, Email snow_zi@hotmail.com; drwanhua@163.comBackground: Granulomatous lobular mastitis (GLM) is a chronic inflammatory breast disease, and abscess formation is a common complication of GLM. The process of abscess formation is accompanied by changes in multiple inflammatory markers. The present study aimed to construct a diagnosis model for the early of GLM abscess formation based on multiple inflammatory parameters.Methods: Based on the presence or absence of abscess formation on breast magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), 126 patients with GLM were categorised into an abscess group (85 patients) and a non-abscess group (41 patients). Demographic characteristics and the related laboratory results for the 9 inflammatory markers were collected. Logistics univariate analysis and collinearity test were used for selecting independent variables. A regression model to predict abscess formation was constructed using Logistics multivariate analysis.Results: The univariate and multivariate analysis showed that the N, ESR, IL-4, IL-10 and INF-α were independent diagnostic factors of abscess formation in GLM (P< 0. 05). The nomogram was drawn on the basis of the logistics regression model. The area under the curve (AUC) of the model was 0.890, which was significantly better than that of a single indicator and the sensitivity and specificity of the model were high (81.2% and 85.40%, respectively). These results predicted by the model were highly consistent with the actual diagnostic results. The results of this calibration curve indicated that the model had a good value and stability in predicting abscess formation in GLM. The decision curve analysis (DCA) demonstrated a satisfactory positive net benefit of the model.Conclusion: A predictive model for abscess formation in GLM based on inflammatory markers was constructed in our study, which may provide a new strategy for early diagnosis and treatment of the abscess stage of GLM.Keywords: granulomatous lobular mastitis, abscess formation, risk factors, inflammation, ROC curve, diagnostic model
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spelling doaj.art-6a4b52ff9344419cafe1aa7b3f84ce012024-02-01T17:59:28ZengDove Medical PressJournal of Inflammation Research1178-70312024-02-01Volume 1755356490110Construction of a Multi-Indicator Model for Abscess Prediction in Granulomatous Lobular Mastitis Using Inflammatory IndicatorsDu NNFeng JMShao SJWan HWu XQNan-Nan Du, Jia-Mei Feng, Shi-Jun Shao, Hua Wan, Xue-Qing Wu Breast Department, Shuguang Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, 200021, People’s Republic of ChinaCorrespondence: Xue-Qing Wu; Hua Wan, Breast Department, Shuguang Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, 200021, People’s Republic of China, Tel +86 13817792022 ; +86 13611666266, Email snow_zi@hotmail.com; drwanhua@163.comBackground: Granulomatous lobular mastitis (GLM) is a chronic inflammatory breast disease, and abscess formation is a common complication of GLM. The process of abscess formation is accompanied by changes in multiple inflammatory markers. The present study aimed to construct a diagnosis model for the early of GLM abscess formation based on multiple inflammatory parameters.Methods: Based on the presence or absence of abscess formation on breast magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), 126 patients with GLM were categorised into an abscess group (85 patients) and a non-abscess group (41 patients). Demographic characteristics and the related laboratory results for the 9 inflammatory markers were collected. Logistics univariate analysis and collinearity test were used for selecting independent variables. A regression model to predict abscess formation was constructed using Logistics multivariate analysis.Results: The univariate and multivariate analysis showed that the N, ESR, IL-4, IL-10 and INF-α were independent diagnostic factors of abscess formation in GLM (P< 0. 05). The nomogram was drawn on the basis of the logistics regression model. The area under the curve (AUC) of the model was 0.890, which was significantly better than that of a single indicator and the sensitivity and specificity of the model were high (81.2% and 85.40%, respectively). These results predicted by the model were highly consistent with the actual diagnostic results. The results of this calibration curve indicated that the model had a good value and stability in predicting abscess formation in GLM. The decision curve analysis (DCA) demonstrated a satisfactory positive net benefit of the model.Conclusion: A predictive model for abscess formation in GLM based on inflammatory markers was constructed in our study, which may provide a new strategy for early diagnosis and treatment of the abscess stage of GLM.Keywords: granulomatous lobular mastitis, abscess formation, risk factors, inflammation, ROC curve, diagnostic modelhttps://www.dovepress.com/construction-of-a-multi-indicator-model-for-abscess-prediction-in-gran-peer-reviewed-fulltext-article-JIRgranulomatous lobular mastitisabscess formationrisk factorsinflammationroc curvediagnostic model
spellingShingle Du NN
Feng JM
Shao SJ
Wan H
Wu XQ
Construction of a Multi-Indicator Model for Abscess Prediction in Granulomatous Lobular Mastitis Using Inflammatory Indicators
Journal of Inflammation Research
granulomatous lobular mastitis
abscess formation
risk factors
inflammation
roc curve
diagnostic model
title Construction of a Multi-Indicator Model for Abscess Prediction in Granulomatous Lobular Mastitis Using Inflammatory Indicators
title_full Construction of a Multi-Indicator Model for Abscess Prediction in Granulomatous Lobular Mastitis Using Inflammatory Indicators
title_fullStr Construction of a Multi-Indicator Model for Abscess Prediction in Granulomatous Lobular Mastitis Using Inflammatory Indicators
title_full_unstemmed Construction of a Multi-Indicator Model for Abscess Prediction in Granulomatous Lobular Mastitis Using Inflammatory Indicators
title_short Construction of a Multi-Indicator Model for Abscess Prediction in Granulomatous Lobular Mastitis Using Inflammatory Indicators
title_sort construction of a multi indicator model for abscess prediction in granulomatous lobular mastitis using inflammatory indicators
topic granulomatous lobular mastitis
abscess formation
risk factors
inflammation
roc curve
diagnostic model
url https://www.dovepress.com/construction-of-a-multi-indicator-model-for-abscess-prediction-in-gran-peer-reviewed-fulltext-article-JIR
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