Establishing a set of macroeconomic factors explaining variation over time of performance in business sectors

With increasing competitiveness of companies and business sectors in the domestic markets of Lithuania, economic units are frequently confronted with the lack of methods for more detailed analysis of external factors explaining the variation over time of corporate financial indicators. The analysis...

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Main Authors: Audrius Dzikevičius, Svetlana Šaranda
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Vilnius Gediminas Technical University 2016-06-01
Series:Business: Theory and Practice
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journals.vgtu.lt/index.php/BTP/article/view/8218
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author Audrius Dzikevičius
Svetlana Šaranda
author_facet Audrius Dzikevičius
Svetlana Šaranda
author_sort Audrius Dzikevičius
collection DOAJ
description With increasing competitiveness of companies and business sectors in the domestic markets of Lithuania, economic units are frequently confronted with the lack of methods for more detailed analysis of external factors explaining the variation over time of corporate financial indicators. The analysis or forecasting of financial indicators is usually linked with the development of a stock market or undertaken to estimate the probability of bankruptcy. However, there is a lack of studies aimed at identifying links between macroeconomic factors and financial performance indicators and explaining their variation over time. To serve that purpose, the factors of the macroeconomic environment that are most significant for certain economic activities have been identified and analysed to enable explaining the variation over time patterns of corporate financial indicators. The analysis covers economic performance, i.e. financial performance indicators and their links with macroeconomic factors, in 89 business sectors of Lithuania at a three-digit level of NACE 2 ed. The findings of the research indicate that the unemployment level in the country, the volume of export and import and the GDP are the most important macroeconomic factors that can be used to forecast different profitability, financial leverage, liquidity and other financial performance indicators of individual business sectors or companies. The research has not unfolded any significant differences between business sectors therefore the above factors are considered generic macroeconomic factors enabling to explain financial performance indicators of the 89 business sectors. Hence, special attention has to be paid to identifying and analysing specific factors and assessing the causal link. When established, the set of such factors provides a framework for building of a model to forecast business sector financial indicators.
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spelling doaj.art-6a78723c1bb548b2a83adca433b1e54b2024-02-02T16:47:47ZengVilnius Gediminas Technical UniversityBusiness: Theory and Practice1648-06271822-42022016-06-0117210.3846/btp.2016.629Establishing a set of macroeconomic factors explaining variation over time of performance in business sectorsAudrius Dzikevičius0Svetlana Šaranda1Vilnius Gediminas Technical UniversityVilnius Gediminas Technical UniversityWith increasing competitiveness of companies and business sectors in the domestic markets of Lithuania, economic units are frequently confronted with the lack of methods for more detailed analysis of external factors explaining the variation over time of corporate financial indicators. The analysis or forecasting of financial indicators is usually linked with the development of a stock market or undertaken to estimate the probability of bankruptcy. However, there is a lack of studies aimed at identifying links between macroeconomic factors and financial performance indicators and explaining their variation over time. To serve that purpose, the factors of the macroeconomic environment that are most significant for certain economic activities have been identified and analysed to enable explaining the variation over time patterns of corporate financial indicators. The analysis covers economic performance, i.e. financial performance indicators and their links with macroeconomic factors, in 89 business sectors of Lithuania at a three-digit level of NACE 2 ed. The findings of the research indicate that the unemployment level in the country, the volume of export and import and the GDP are the most important macroeconomic factors that can be used to forecast different profitability, financial leverage, liquidity and other financial performance indicators of individual business sectors or companies. The research has not unfolded any significant differences between business sectors therefore the above factors are considered generic macroeconomic factors enabling to explain financial performance indicators of the 89 business sectors. Hence, special attention has to be paid to identifying and analysing specific factors and assessing the causal link. When established, the set of such factors provides a framework for building of a model to forecast business sector financial indicators.https://journals.vgtu.lt/index.php/BTP/article/view/8218external environmentmacroeconomic factorsfinancial situationfinancial indicatorsbusiness sectorcompetition
spellingShingle Audrius Dzikevičius
Svetlana Šaranda
Establishing a set of macroeconomic factors explaining variation over time of performance in business sectors
Business: Theory and Practice
external environment
macroeconomic factors
financial situation
financial indicators
business sector
competition
title Establishing a set of macroeconomic factors explaining variation over time of performance in business sectors
title_full Establishing a set of macroeconomic factors explaining variation over time of performance in business sectors
title_fullStr Establishing a set of macroeconomic factors explaining variation over time of performance in business sectors
title_full_unstemmed Establishing a set of macroeconomic factors explaining variation over time of performance in business sectors
title_short Establishing a set of macroeconomic factors explaining variation over time of performance in business sectors
title_sort establishing a set of macroeconomic factors explaining variation over time of performance in business sectors
topic external environment
macroeconomic factors
financial situation
financial indicators
business sector
competition
url https://journals.vgtu.lt/index.php/BTP/article/view/8218
work_keys_str_mv AT audriusdzikevicius establishingasetofmacroeconomicfactorsexplainingvariationovertimeofperformanceinbusinesssectors
AT svetlanasaranda establishingasetofmacroeconomicfactorsexplainingvariationovertimeofperformanceinbusinesssectors