Novel oral anticoagulants for the secondary prevention of cerebral ischemia: a network meta-analysis

Background: Novel oral anticoagulants (NOACs) have shown to be both safe and effective for ischemic stroke prevention in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). We conducted a network meta-analysis (NMA) using published data from secondary prevention subgroups of different phase III ra...

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Main Authors: Aristeidis H. Katsanos, Dimitris Mavridis, John Parissis, Spyridon Deftereos, Alexandra Frogoudaki, Agathi-Rosa Vrettou, Ignatios Ikonomidis, Maria Chondrogianni, Apostolos Safouris, Angeliki Filippatou, Konstantinos Voumvourakis, Nikos Triantafyllou, John Ellul, Theodore Karapanayiotides, Sotirios Giannopoulos, Anne W. Alexandrov, Andrei V. Alexandrov, Georgios Tsivgoulis
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SAGE Publishing 2016-09-01
Series:Therapeutic Advances in Neurological Disorders
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1177/1756285616659411
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author Aristeidis H. Katsanos
Dimitris Mavridis
John Parissis
Spyridon Deftereos
Alexandra Frogoudaki
Agathi-Rosa Vrettou
Ignatios Ikonomidis
Maria Chondrogianni
Apostolos Safouris
Angeliki Filippatou
Konstantinos Voumvourakis
Nikos Triantafyllou
John Ellul
Theodore Karapanayiotides
Sotirios Giannopoulos
Anne W. Alexandrov
Andrei V. Alexandrov
Georgios Tsivgoulis
author_facet Aristeidis H. Katsanos
Dimitris Mavridis
John Parissis
Spyridon Deftereos
Alexandra Frogoudaki
Agathi-Rosa Vrettou
Ignatios Ikonomidis
Maria Chondrogianni
Apostolos Safouris
Angeliki Filippatou
Konstantinos Voumvourakis
Nikos Triantafyllou
John Ellul
Theodore Karapanayiotides
Sotirios Giannopoulos
Anne W. Alexandrov
Andrei V. Alexandrov
Georgios Tsivgoulis
author_sort Aristeidis H. Katsanos
collection DOAJ
description Background: Novel oral anticoagulants (NOACs) have shown to be both safe and effective for ischemic stroke prevention in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). We conducted a network meta-analysis (NMA) using published data from secondary prevention subgroups of different phase III randomized clinical trials (RCTs) comparing individual NOACs with warfarin. Methods: Eligible studies were identified by searching MEDLINE and SCOPUS and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials databases. First, we conducted a pairwise meta-analysis for each pairwise comparison, and then we performed NMA to combine direct and indirect evidence for any given pair of treatments. The comparative effects of all NOACs against warfarin were ranked with the surface under the cumulative ranking (SUCRA) curve for each outcome. Results: We identified four RCTs (including 15,240 patients) comparing individual NOACs (apixaban, dabigatran, rivaroxaban) with warfarin. Using indirect evidence, dabigatran was related to a significantly lower risk of hemorrhagic stroke compared with rivaroxaban [risk ratio (RR) 0.28; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.11–0.75], while rivaroxaban was associated with a significantly lower risk of major gastrointestinal bleeding compared with dabigatran (RR 0.14; 95% CI 0.03–0.74). We also performed clustered ranking plot for the primary efficacy and safety endpoints to identify the treatment with the probably best benefit-to-risk ratio profile. Conclusions: The three NOACs showed differences in terms of safety and efficacy for secondary stroke prevention in NVAF. Our findings can serve only as hypothesis generation and require independent confirmation in head-to-head RCTs, owing to the sparse available evidence and increased uncertainty in both indirect effect estimates and ranking of treatments.
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spelling doaj.art-6ab252ea16d54439989822297fc322162022-12-21T19:43:29ZengSAGE PublishingTherapeutic Advances in Neurological Disorders1756-28561756-28642016-09-01910.1177/1756285616659411Novel oral anticoagulants for the secondary prevention of cerebral ischemia: a network meta-analysisAristeidis H. KatsanosDimitris MavridisJohn ParissisSpyridon DeftereosAlexandra FrogoudakiAgathi-Rosa VrettouIgnatios IkonomidisMaria ChondrogianniApostolos SafourisAngeliki FilippatouKonstantinos VoumvourakisNikos TriantafyllouJohn EllulTheodore KarapanayiotidesSotirios GiannopoulosAnne W. AlexandrovAndrei V. AlexandrovGeorgios TsivgoulisBackground: Novel oral anticoagulants (NOACs) have shown to be both safe and effective for ischemic stroke prevention in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). We conducted a network meta-analysis (NMA) using published data from secondary prevention subgroups of different phase III randomized clinical trials (RCTs) comparing individual NOACs with warfarin. Methods: Eligible studies were identified by searching MEDLINE and SCOPUS and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials databases. First, we conducted a pairwise meta-analysis for each pairwise comparison, and then we performed NMA to combine direct and indirect evidence for any given pair of treatments. The comparative effects of all NOACs against warfarin were ranked with the surface under the cumulative ranking (SUCRA) curve for each outcome. Results: We identified four RCTs (including 15,240 patients) comparing individual NOACs (apixaban, dabigatran, rivaroxaban) with warfarin. Using indirect evidence, dabigatran was related to a significantly lower risk of hemorrhagic stroke compared with rivaroxaban [risk ratio (RR) 0.28; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.11–0.75], while rivaroxaban was associated with a significantly lower risk of major gastrointestinal bleeding compared with dabigatran (RR 0.14; 95% CI 0.03–0.74). We also performed clustered ranking plot for the primary efficacy and safety endpoints to identify the treatment with the probably best benefit-to-risk ratio profile. Conclusions: The three NOACs showed differences in terms of safety and efficacy for secondary stroke prevention in NVAF. Our findings can serve only as hypothesis generation and require independent confirmation in head-to-head RCTs, owing to the sparse available evidence and increased uncertainty in both indirect effect estimates and ranking of treatments.https://doi.org/10.1177/1756285616659411
spellingShingle Aristeidis H. Katsanos
Dimitris Mavridis
John Parissis
Spyridon Deftereos
Alexandra Frogoudaki
Agathi-Rosa Vrettou
Ignatios Ikonomidis
Maria Chondrogianni
Apostolos Safouris
Angeliki Filippatou
Konstantinos Voumvourakis
Nikos Triantafyllou
John Ellul
Theodore Karapanayiotides
Sotirios Giannopoulos
Anne W. Alexandrov
Andrei V. Alexandrov
Georgios Tsivgoulis
Novel oral anticoagulants for the secondary prevention of cerebral ischemia: a network meta-analysis
Therapeutic Advances in Neurological Disorders
title Novel oral anticoagulants for the secondary prevention of cerebral ischemia: a network meta-analysis
title_full Novel oral anticoagulants for the secondary prevention of cerebral ischemia: a network meta-analysis
title_fullStr Novel oral anticoagulants for the secondary prevention of cerebral ischemia: a network meta-analysis
title_full_unstemmed Novel oral anticoagulants for the secondary prevention of cerebral ischemia: a network meta-analysis
title_short Novel oral anticoagulants for the secondary prevention of cerebral ischemia: a network meta-analysis
title_sort novel oral anticoagulants for the secondary prevention of cerebral ischemia a network meta analysis
url https://doi.org/10.1177/1756285616659411
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