Industrial decarbonization pathways: The example of the German glass industry

Mitigating anthropogenic climate change and achieving the Paris climate goals is one of the greatest challenges of the twenty-first century. To meet the Paris climate goals, sector-specific transformation pathways need to be defined. The different transformation pathways are used to hypothetically q...

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Main Authors: Michael Zier, Noah Pflugradt, Peter Stenzel, Leander Kotzur, Detlef Stolten
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-01-01
Series:Energy Conversion and Management: X
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590174522001593
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author Michael Zier
Noah Pflugradt
Peter Stenzel
Leander Kotzur
Detlef Stolten
author_facet Michael Zier
Noah Pflugradt
Peter Stenzel
Leander Kotzur
Detlef Stolten
author_sort Michael Zier
collection DOAJ
description Mitigating anthropogenic climate change and achieving the Paris climate goals is one of the greatest challenges of the twenty-first century. To meet the Paris climate goals, sector-specific transformation pathways need to be defined. The different transformation pathways are used to hypothetically quantify whether a defined climate target is achievable or not. For this reason, a bottom-up model was developed to assess the extent of selected industrial decarbonization options compared to conventionally used technologies from an emissions perspective. Thereby, the bottom-up model is used to analyze the German container and flat glass industries as an example. The results show that no transformation pathway can be compatible with the 1.5 °C based strict carbon dioxide budget target. Even the best case scenario exceeds the 1.5 °C based target by approximately + 200 %. The 2 °C based loose carbon dioxide budget target is only achievable via fuel switching, the complete phase-out from natural gas to renewable energy carriers. Furthermore, the results of hydrogen for flat glass production demonstrate that missing investments in renewable energy carriers may lead to the non-compliance with actually achievable 2 °C based carbon dioxide budget targets. In conclusion, the phase-out from natural gas to renewable energies should be executed at the end of the life of any existing furnace, and process emissions should be avoided in the long term to contribute to 1.5 °C based strict carbon dioxide budget target.
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spelling doaj.art-6ae9d4b365ca4a6db8aaf17004efd44d2022-12-22T03:48:53ZengElsevierEnergy Conversion and Management: X2590-17452023-01-0117100336Industrial decarbonization pathways: The example of the German glass industryMichael Zier0Noah Pflugradt1Peter Stenzel2Leander Kotzur3Detlef Stolten4Institute of Techno-economic Systems Analysis (IEK-3), Forschungszentrum Jülich GmbH, Wilhelm-Johnen-Str., Jülich D-52428, Germany; Jülich-Aachen Research Alliance, JARA-Energy, Jülich, Aachen, Germany; Corresponding author.Institute of Techno-economic Systems Analysis (IEK-3), Forschungszentrum Jülich GmbH, Wilhelm-Johnen-Str., Jülich D-52428, Germany; Jülich-Aachen Research Alliance, JARA-Energy, Jülich, Aachen, GermanyCologne Institute for Renewable Energy (CIRE), Technische Hochschule Köln, Betzdorfer Straße 2, Cologne 50679, GermanyInstitute of Techno-economic Systems Analysis (IEK-3), Forschungszentrum Jülich GmbH, Wilhelm-Johnen-Str., Jülich D-52428, Germany; Jülich-Aachen Research Alliance, JARA-Energy, Jülich, Aachen, GermanyInstitute of Techno-economic Systems Analysis (IEK-3), Forschungszentrum Jülich GmbH, Wilhelm-Johnen-Str., Jülich D-52428, Germany; Jülich-Aachen Research Alliance, JARA-Energy, Jülich, Aachen, Germany; Chair for Fuel Cells, RWTH Aachen University, c/o Institute of Techno-economic Systems Analysis (IEK-3), Forschungszentrum Jülich GmbH, Wilhelm-Johnen-Str., Jülich D-52428, GermanyMitigating anthropogenic climate change and achieving the Paris climate goals is one of the greatest challenges of the twenty-first century. To meet the Paris climate goals, sector-specific transformation pathways need to be defined. The different transformation pathways are used to hypothetically quantify whether a defined climate target is achievable or not. For this reason, a bottom-up model was developed to assess the extent of selected industrial decarbonization options compared to conventionally used technologies from an emissions perspective. Thereby, the bottom-up model is used to analyze the German container and flat glass industries as an example. The results show that no transformation pathway can be compatible with the 1.5 °C based strict carbon dioxide budget target. Even the best case scenario exceeds the 1.5 °C based target by approximately + 200 %. The 2 °C based loose carbon dioxide budget target is only achievable via fuel switching, the complete phase-out from natural gas to renewable energy carriers. Furthermore, the results of hydrogen for flat glass production demonstrate that missing investments in renewable energy carriers may lead to the non-compliance with actually achievable 2 °C based carbon dioxide budget targets. In conclusion, the phase-out from natural gas to renewable energies should be executed at the end of the life of any existing furnace, and process emissions should be avoided in the long term to contribute to 1.5 °C based strict carbon dioxide budget target.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590174522001593CO2 budgetCO2 reduction targetsIndustrial transformation pathwaysFuel switchGlass industryDecarbonization
spellingShingle Michael Zier
Noah Pflugradt
Peter Stenzel
Leander Kotzur
Detlef Stolten
Industrial decarbonization pathways: The example of the German glass industry
Energy Conversion and Management: X
CO2 budget
CO2 reduction targets
Industrial transformation pathways
Fuel switch
Glass industry
Decarbonization
title Industrial decarbonization pathways: The example of the German glass industry
title_full Industrial decarbonization pathways: The example of the German glass industry
title_fullStr Industrial decarbonization pathways: The example of the German glass industry
title_full_unstemmed Industrial decarbonization pathways: The example of the German glass industry
title_short Industrial decarbonization pathways: The example of the German glass industry
title_sort industrial decarbonization pathways the example of the german glass industry
topic CO2 budget
CO2 reduction targets
Industrial transformation pathways
Fuel switch
Glass industry
Decarbonization
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590174522001593
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