The reliability of forecasts in transportation

Major problems of forecasting the economic characteristics of transportation (i.e. the amount of freight and passengers carried, the turnover rate of freight and passengers, etc. in transportation as a whole and in particular areas using various transport facilities) are demonstrated. Methods for pr...

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Main Authors: Mindaugas Mazūra, Olga Fadina
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Vilnius Gediminas Technical University 2002-12-01
Series:Transport
Subjects:
Online Access:http://localhost/journals.vgtu.lt/index.php/Transport/article/view/8766
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author Mindaugas Mazūra
Olga Fadina
author_facet Mindaugas Mazūra
Olga Fadina
author_sort Mindaugas Mazūra
collection DOAJ
description Major problems of forecasting the economic characteristics of transportation (i.e. the amount of freight and passengers carried, the turnover rate of freight and passengers, etc. in transportation as a whole and in particular areas using various transport facilities) are demonstrated. Methods for predicting the development of transportation based on multidimensional regression and correlation analysis and realizing mathematical models for choosing linear and nonlinear regression equations, more accurately approximating the empirical data, are presented. The research conducted has demonstrated that the most reliable forecasts may be made when the methods of choosing the proper non-linear regression equation described in Section 2 of the present paper are used. First Published Online: 19 Dec 2011
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spelling doaj.art-6aedd6be45654757ba49c0d72e85944d2022-12-21T23:17:58ZengVilnius Gediminas Technical UniversityTransport1648-41421648-34802002-12-0117610.3846/16483840.2002.10414046The reliability of forecasts in transportationMindaugas Mazūra0Olga Fadina1Vilnius Gediminas Technical University , Plytinės g. 27, LT-2040, Vilnius, LithuaniaVilnius Gediminas Technical University , Plytinės g. 27, LT-2040, Vilnius, LithuaniaMajor problems of forecasting the economic characteristics of transportation (i.e. the amount of freight and passengers carried, the turnover rate of freight and passengers, etc. in transportation as a whole and in particular areas using various transport facilities) are demonstrated. Methods for predicting the development of transportation based on multidimensional regression and correlation analysis and realizing mathematical models for choosing linear and nonlinear regression equations, more accurately approximating the empirical data, are presented. The research conducted has demonstrated that the most reliable forecasts may be made when the methods of choosing the proper non-linear regression equation described in Section 2 of the present paper are used. First Published Online: 19 Dec 2011http://localhost/journals.vgtu.lt/index.php/Transport/article/view/8766reliabilityforecastingmultidimensional regressioncorrelative analysismathematical modelsapproximation
spellingShingle Mindaugas Mazūra
Olga Fadina
The reliability of forecasts in transportation
Transport
reliability
forecasting
multidimensional regression
correlative analysis
mathematical models
approximation
title The reliability of forecasts in transportation
title_full The reliability of forecasts in transportation
title_fullStr The reliability of forecasts in transportation
title_full_unstemmed The reliability of forecasts in transportation
title_short The reliability of forecasts in transportation
title_sort reliability of forecasts in transportation
topic reliability
forecasting
multidimensional regression
correlative analysis
mathematical models
approximation
url http://localhost/journals.vgtu.lt/index.php/Transport/article/view/8766
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AT olgafadina thereliabilityofforecastsintransportation
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AT olgafadina reliabilityofforecastsintransportation