Bayesian Augmented Clinical Trials in TB Therapeutic Vaccination

We propose a Bayesian hierarchical method for combining in silico and in vivo data onto an augmented clinical trial with binary end points. The joint posterior distribution from the in silico experiment is treated as a prior, weighted by a measure of compatibility of the shared characteristics with...

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Main Authors: Dimitrios Kiagias, Giulia Russo, Giuseppe Sgroi, Francesco Pappalardo, Miguel A. Juárez
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2021-10-01
Series:Frontiers in Medical Technology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmedt.2021.719380/full
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author Dimitrios Kiagias
Giulia Russo
Giuseppe Sgroi
Francesco Pappalardo
Miguel A. Juárez
author_facet Dimitrios Kiagias
Giulia Russo
Giuseppe Sgroi
Francesco Pappalardo
Miguel A. Juárez
author_sort Dimitrios Kiagias
collection DOAJ
description We propose a Bayesian hierarchical method for combining in silico and in vivo data onto an augmented clinical trial with binary end points. The joint posterior distribution from the in silico experiment is treated as a prior, weighted by a measure of compatibility of the shared characteristics with the in vivo data. We also formalise the contribution and impact of in silico information in the augmented trial. We illustrate our approach to inference with in silico data from the UISS-TB simulator, a bespoke simulator of virtual patients with tuberculosis infection, and synthetic physical patients from a clinical trial.
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spelling doaj.art-6af8969e2d9b47448a046cb073d743462022-12-21T22:37:05ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Medical Technology2673-31292021-10-01310.3389/fmedt.2021.719380719380Bayesian Augmented Clinical Trials in TB Therapeutic VaccinationDimitrios Kiagias0Giulia Russo1Giuseppe Sgroi2Francesco Pappalardo3Miguel A. Juárez4School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, United KingdomDepartment of Drug Sciences, University of Catania, Catania, ItalyDepartment of Mathematics and Computer Science, University of Catania, Catania, ItalyDepartment of Drug Sciences, University of Catania, Catania, ItalySchool of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, United KingdomWe propose a Bayesian hierarchical method for combining in silico and in vivo data onto an augmented clinical trial with binary end points. The joint posterior distribution from the in silico experiment is treated as a prior, weighted by a measure of compatibility of the shared characteristics with the in vivo data. We also formalise the contribution and impact of in silico information in the augmented trial. We illustrate our approach to inference with in silico data from the UISS-TB simulator, a bespoke simulator of virtual patients with tuberculosis infection, and synthetic physical patients from a clinical trial.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmedt.2021.719380/fullBayesian hierarchical modelclinical trialsinformation sharingin silico experimentspower priortuberculosis
spellingShingle Dimitrios Kiagias
Giulia Russo
Giuseppe Sgroi
Francesco Pappalardo
Miguel A. Juárez
Bayesian Augmented Clinical Trials in TB Therapeutic Vaccination
Frontiers in Medical Technology
Bayesian hierarchical model
clinical trials
information sharing
in silico experiments
power prior
tuberculosis
title Bayesian Augmented Clinical Trials in TB Therapeutic Vaccination
title_full Bayesian Augmented Clinical Trials in TB Therapeutic Vaccination
title_fullStr Bayesian Augmented Clinical Trials in TB Therapeutic Vaccination
title_full_unstemmed Bayesian Augmented Clinical Trials in TB Therapeutic Vaccination
title_short Bayesian Augmented Clinical Trials in TB Therapeutic Vaccination
title_sort bayesian augmented clinical trials in tb therapeutic vaccination
topic Bayesian hierarchical model
clinical trials
information sharing
in silico experiments
power prior
tuberculosis
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmedt.2021.719380/full
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AT francescopappalardo bayesianaugmentedclinicaltrialsintbtherapeuticvaccination
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