Técnicas de Prospecção: Um Estudo Comparativo

Future technologies may affect a company’s business, and prediction of such technologies is an important step in the planning process, especially regarding cutting-edge technology industries. The objective of this paper is to develop a comparative theoretical study on key techniques aimed at predi...

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Main Authors: Dálcio Roberto dos Reis, Ticiana Braga de Vincenzi, Fabricio Palermo Pupo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Associação Nacional de Pós-Graduação e Pesquisa em Administração (ANPAD) 2016-03-01
Series:RAC: Revista de Administração Contemporânea
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.anpad.org.br/periodicos/arq_pdf/a_1689.pdf
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author Dálcio Roberto dos Reis
Ticiana Braga de Vincenzi
Fabricio Palermo Pupo
author_facet Dálcio Roberto dos Reis
Ticiana Braga de Vincenzi
Fabricio Palermo Pupo
author_sort Dálcio Roberto dos Reis
collection DOAJ
description Future technologies may affect a company’s business, and prediction of such technologies is an important step in the planning process, especially regarding cutting-edge technology industries. The objective of this paper is to develop a comparative theoretical study on key techniques aimed at predicting future technologies, evaluated according to six criteria: operation costs; required number of people; required time to obtain results; operation complexity, that is, ease of implementing techniques; analysis type (subjective or objective), wherein quantitative techniques are considered more objective; and reliability of results (consistency and replicability). Thus, this study provides parameters to assist companies in selecting the most suitable prospective techniques, according to their needs. The research methodology is qualitative, and the study scope is a descriptive analysis using bibliographic and documentary research as data collection methods. The conclusion is that it is advantageous to use several methods simultaneously, providing higher efficiency and producing better assessments. Finally, it is hoped that this article launches a debate on the assigned criteria for techniques used to predict future technologies.
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spelling doaj.art-6b1d31672fdd4e38aaecd2f376aed05c2023-09-02T23:10:30ZengAssociação Nacional de Pós-Graduação e Pesquisa em Administração (ANPAD)RAC: Revista de Administração Contemporânea1415-65551982-78492016-03-0120213515310.1590/1982-7849rac2016140016Técnicas de Prospecção: Um Estudo ComparativoDálcio Roberto dos Reis0Ticiana Braga de Vincenzi1Fabricio Palermo Pupo2Universidade PositivoUniversidade PositivoUniversidade PositivoFuture technologies may affect a company’s business, and prediction of such technologies is an important step in the planning process, especially regarding cutting-edge technology industries. The objective of this paper is to develop a comparative theoretical study on key techniques aimed at predicting future technologies, evaluated according to six criteria: operation costs; required number of people; required time to obtain results; operation complexity, that is, ease of implementing techniques; analysis type (subjective or objective), wherein quantitative techniques are considered more objective; and reliability of results (consistency and replicability). Thus, this study provides parameters to assist companies in selecting the most suitable prospective techniques, according to their needs. The research methodology is qualitative, and the study scope is a descriptive analysis using bibliographic and documentary research as data collection methods. The conclusion is that it is advantageous to use several methods simultaneously, providing higher efficiency and producing better assessments. Finally, it is hoped that this article launches a debate on the assigned criteria for techniques used to predict future technologies.http://www.anpad.org.br/periodicos/arq_pdf/a_1689.pdfpredictive methods and techniques; scenarios; forecast; future studies.
spellingShingle Dálcio Roberto dos Reis
Ticiana Braga de Vincenzi
Fabricio Palermo Pupo
Técnicas de Prospecção: Um Estudo Comparativo
RAC: Revista de Administração Contemporânea
predictive methods and techniques; scenarios; forecast; future studies.
title Técnicas de Prospecção: Um Estudo Comparativo
title_full Técnicas de Prospecção: Um Estudo Comparativo
title_fullStr Técnicas de Prospecção: Um Estudo Comparativo
title_full_unstemmed Técnicas de Prospecção: Um Estudo Comparativo
title_short Técnicas de Prospecção: Um Estudo Comparativo
title_sort tecnicas de prospeccao um estudo comparativo
topic predictive methods and techniques; scenarios; forecast; future studies.
url http://www.anpad.org.br/periodicos/arq_pdf/a_1689.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT dalciorobertodosreis tecnicasdeprospeccaoumestudocomparativo
AT ticianabragadevincenzi tecnicasdeprospeccaoumestudocomparativo
AT fabriciopalermopupo tecnicasdeprospeccaoumestudocomparativo