Multivariable analysis to determine risk factors associated with abortion in mares

Risk factors associated with equine reproductive efficiency have been identified along with those associated specifically with early pregnancy loss (EPL). In contrast, no studies have reported risk factors associated with abortion (loss between days 70 and 300 post-cover). Given the causes of aborti...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: J M Roach, J C Arango-Sabogal, K C Smith, A K Foote, K L Verheyen, A M de Mestre
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Bioscientifica 2022-12-01
Series:Reproduction and Fertility
Subjects:
Online Access:https://raf.bioscientifica.com/view/journals/raf/3/4/RAF-22-0087.xml
_version_ 1811292784243507200
author J M Roach
J C Arango-Sabogal
K C Smith
A K Foote
K L Verheyen
A M de Mestre
author_facet J M Roach
J C Arango-Sabogal
K C Smith
A K Foote
K L Verheyen
A M de Mestre
author_sort J M Roach
collection DOAJ
description Risk factors associated with equine reproductive efficiency have been identified along with those associated specifically with early pregnancy loss (EPL). In contrast, no studies have reported risk factors associated with abortion (loss between days 70 and 300 post-cover). Given the causes of abortion differ from those of EPL, likely too will the risk factors. A retrospective cohort study was carried out to identify risk factors associated with abortion in UK- and Irish-based Thoroughbreds, collecting data on 20 exposure variables over a 5-year period. A generalized linear mixed model was utilized to evaluate the associations between exposure variables and abortion, with clustering of observations accounted for at the mare and farm level. Variables with a likelihood ratio test (LRT) P value < 0.2 were entered into the model in a forward stepwise approach. Pregnancy outcome was available on 4439 pregnancies from 2510 mares. Having had two or more prior abortions (odds ratio (OR): 7.91, 95% CI: 2.86, 21.88), conceiving on the second or subsequent covered estrous cycle (OR: 1.84, 95% CI: 1.22, 2.78) and conceiving multiple conceptuses (OR: 1.68, 95% CI: 1.02, 2.76) were associated with an increased risk of abortion compared to null parous, first estrous cycle covers and singleton conceptions, respectively. Increasing paternal age (OR: 0.95, 95% CI: 0.90, 0.99) was associated with a decreasing risk of abortion. Mare and farm variance were not significant in the final model, LRT P = 0.43. These findings provide evidence-based data to inform Thoroughbred breeding management practices to help mitigate abortion risk.
first_indexed 2024-04-13T04:50:39Z
format Article
id doaj.art-6b513b11b48746afbb2259eb02e781b2
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2633-8386
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-13T04:50:39Z
publishDate 2022-12-01
publisher Bioscientifica
record_format Article
series Reproduction and Fertility
spelling doaj.art-6b513b11b48746afbb2259eb02e781b22022-12-22T03:01:40ZengBioscientificaReproduction and Fertility2633-83862022-12-0134301312https://doi.org/10.1530/RAF-22-0087Multivariable analysis to determine risk factors associated with abortion in maresJ M Roach0J C Arango-Sabogal1K C Smith2A K Foote3K L Verheyen4A M de Mestre5Comparative Biomedical Sciences, Royal Veterinary College, Hawkshead Lane, Hatfield, UKPathobiology and Population Sciences, Royal Veterinary College, Hawkshead Lane, Hatfield, UKPathobiology and Population Sciences, Royal Veterinary College, Hawkshead Lane, Hatfield, UKRossdales Laboratories, Newmarket, UKPathobiology and Population Sciences, Royal Veterinary College, Hawkshead Lane, Hatfield, UKComparative Biomedical Sciences, Royal Veterinary College, Hawkshead Lane, Hatfield, UKRisk factors associated with equine reproductive efficiency have been identified along with those associated specifically with early pregnancy loss (EPL). In contrast, no studies have reported risk factors associated with abortion (loss between days 70 and 300 post-cover). Given the causes of abortion differ from those of EPL, likely too will the risk factors. A retrospective cohort study was carried out to identify risk factors associated with abortion in UK- and Irish-based Thoroughbreds, collecting data on 20 exposure variables over a 5-year period. A generalized linear mixed model was utilized to evaluate the associations between exposure variables and abortion, with clustering of observations accounted for at the mare and farm level. Variables with a likelihood ratio test (LRT) P value < 0.2 were entered into the model in a forward stepwise approach. Pregnancy outcome was available on 4439 pregnancies from 2510 mares. Having had two or more prior abortions (odds ratio (OR): 7.91, 95% CI: 2.86, 21.88), conceiving on the second or subsequent covered estrous cycle (OR: 1.84, 95% CI: 1.22, 2.78) and conceiving multiple conceptuses (OR: 1.68, 95% CI: 1.02, 2.76) were associated with an increased risk of abortion compared to null parous, first estrous cycle covers and singleton conceptions, respectively. Increasing paternal age (OR: 0.95, 95% CI: 0.90, 0.99) was associated with a decreasing risk of abortion. Mare and farm variance were not significant in the final model, LRT P = 0.43. These findings provide evidence-based data to inform Thoroughbred breeding management practices to help mitigate abortion risk.https://raf.bioscientifica.com/view/journals/raf/3/4/RAF-22-0087.xmlmareabortionpregnancyhorserisk factor
spellingShingle J M Roach
J C Arango-Sabogal
K C Smith
A K Foote
K L Verheyen
A M de Mestre
Multivariable analysis to determine risk factors associated with abortion in mares
Reproduction and Fertility
mare
abortion
pregnancy
horse
risk factor
title Multivariable analysis to determine risk factors associated with abortion in mares
title_full Multivariable analysis to determine risk factors associated with abortion in mares
title_fullStr Multivariable analysis to determine risk factors associated with abortion in mares
title_full_unstemmed Multivariable analysis to determine risk factors associated with abortion in mares
title_short Multivariable analysis to determine risk factors associated with abortion in mares
title_sort multivariable analysis to determine risk factors associated with abortion in mares
topic mare
abortion
pregnancy
horse
risk factor
url https://raf.bioscientifica.com/view/journals/raf/3/4/RAF-22-0087.xml
work_keys_str_mv AT jmroach multivariableanalysistodetermineriskfactorsassociatedwithabortioninmares
AT jcarangosabogal multivariableanalysistodetermineriskfactorsassociatedwithabortioninmares
AT kcsmith multivariableanalysistodetermineriskfactorsassociatedwithabortioninmares
AT akfoote multivariableanalysistodetermineriskfactorsassociatedwithabortioninmares
AT klverheyen multivariableanalysistodetermineriskfactorsassociatedwithabortioninmares
AT amdemestre multivariableanalysistodetermineriskfactorsassociatedwithabortioninmares