Development of a Weighting Procedure for Geomechanical Risk Assessment

Underground mining is one of the riskiest industries. It is well established that the investigation of geomechanical parameters at the design stage of an underground mine provides the approximate rock mass characteristics, which are associated with some risks in the design. From a realistic risk ass...

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Main Authors: Ali Mortazavi, Nursultan Kuzembayev
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-09-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/18/6517
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author Ali Mortazavi
Nursultan Kuzembayev
author_facet Ali Mortazavi
Nursultan Kuzembayev
author_sort Ali Mortazavi
collection DOAJ
description Underground mining is one of the riskiest industries. It is well established that the investigation of geomechanical parameters at the design stage of an underground mine provides the approximate rock mass characteristics, which are associated with some risks in the design. From a realistic risk assessment point of view, it is essential to classify risky design parameters as relevant to risk groups and determine a suitable weighting strategy for risk-prone elements aiming at risk assessment. Therefore, a realistic weighting procedure is an essential step in making realistic design decisions to increase the safety of mining operations and economic vitality. This study aimed to develop a realistic weighting procedure to assess and compare various geomechanical parameters that pose a risk to opening stability. In this research, sub-level stoping mining methods, which are commonly used in the Kazakhstan mining industry, were selected to test the developed weighting algorithm. In this study, the risk-prone geomechanical parameters for the chosen mining method were defined, and a weighting procedure was developed using the Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP) method. The proposed methodology was verified against available data from the Ridder–Sokolny underground mine, and the analysis results showed good agreement with actual observations in the mine. The obtained preliminary results show that FAHP is a reliable method for weighting geomechanical parameters and can be used as an input in any geomechanical risk assessment practice.
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spelling doaj.art-6b9502b132f14616ae96a76116fb12c72023-11-23T16:01:04ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732022-09-011518651710.3390/en15186517Development of a Weighting Procedure for Geomechanical Risk AssessmentAli Mortazavi0Nursultan Kuzembayev1School of Mining & Geosciences, Nazarbayev University, 53 Kabanbay Batyr Ave., Nur-Sultan 010000, KazakhstanSchool of Mining & Geosciences, Nazarbayev University, 53 Kabanbay Batyr Ave., Nur-Sultan 010000, KazakhstanUnderground mining is one of the riskiest industries. It is well established that the investigation of geomechanical parameters at the design stage of an underground mine provides the approximate rock mass characteristics, which are associated with some risks in the design. From a realistic risk assessment point of view, it is essential to classify risky design parameters as relevant to risk groups and determine a suitable weighting strategy for risk-prone elements aiming at risk assessment. Therefore, a realistic weighting procedure is an essential step in making realistic design decisions to increase the safety of mining operations and economic vitality. This study aimed to develop a realistic weighting procedure to assess and compare various geomechanical parameters that pose a risk to opening stability. In this research, sub-level stoping mining methods, which are commonly used in the Kazakhstan mining industry, were selected to test the developed weighting algorithm. In this study, the risk-prone geomechanical parameters for the chosen mining method were defined, and a weighting procedure was developed using the Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP) method. The proposed methodology was verified against available data from the Ridder–Sokolny underground mine, and the analysis results showed good agreement with actual observations in the mine. The obtained preliminary results show that FAHP is a reliable method for weighting geomechanical parameters and can be used as an input in any geomechanical risk assessment practice.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/18/6517geomechanics designweighting proceduregeotechnical risk assessmentunderground mining
spellingShingle Ali Mortazavi
Nursultan Kuzembayev
Development of a Weighting Procedure for Geomechanical Risk Assessment
Energies
geomechanics design
weighting procedure
geotechnical risk assessment
underground mining
title Development of a Weighting Procedure for Geomechanical Risk Assessment
title_full Development of a Weighting Procedure for Geomechanical Risk Assessment
title_fullStr Development of a Weighting Procedure for Geomechanical Risk Assessment
title_full_unstemmed Development of a Weighting Procedure for Geomechanical Risk Assessment
title_short Development of a Weighting Procedure for Geomechanical Risk Assessment
title_sort development of a weighting procedure for geomechanical risk assessment
topic geomechanics design
weighting procedure
geotechnical risk assessment
underground mining
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/18/6517
work_keys_str_mv AT alimortazavi developmentofaweightingprocedureforgeomechanicalriskassessment
AT nursultankuzembayev developmentofaweightingprocedureforgeomechanicalriskassessment