Statistical forecasting when creating the quick technique of determining a level of regulatory and adaptive status of the human body

In order to improve the existing incremental principle of determining the cardiac and respiratory rhythm synchronization (CRS) range the 'quick technique' of determining the index of regulatory-adaptive status (IRAS) of the human body has been proposed. In order to reduce the number of sam...

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Main Authors: L. V. Polischuk, S. V. Usatikov, T. V. Shkirya, V. M. Pokrovskii
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Ministry of Healthcare of the Russian Federation. “Kuban State Medical University” 2014-12-01
Series:Кубанский научный медицинский вестник
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ksma.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/242
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author L. V. Polischuk
S. V. Usatikov
T. V. Shkirya
V. M. Pokrovskii
author_facet L. V. Polischuk
S. V. Usatikov
T. V. Shkirya
V. M. Pokrovskii
author_sort L. V. Polischuk
collection DOAJ
description In order to improve the existing incremental principle of determining the cardiac and respiratory rhythm synchronization (CRS) range the 'quick technique' of determining the index of regulatory-adaptive status (IRAS) of the human body has been proposed. In order to reduce the number of samples we proposed to apply the statistical forecast of regulatory and adaptive status (RAS) (from 'high' to 'low') on the basis of its least-consuming measurements or by fixing the CRS parameters. The following factors/arguments have been examined as the basis of the forecast: the minimum boundary of the synchronization range, duration of evolution synchronization at the minimum boundary, the following categories also have been taken into account: initial respiratory rate, initial heart rate, age, height, weight, gender, menstrual cycle phase, diastolic and systolic blood pressure values. Linear discriminant analysis and neural network (NN) classification techniques - multilayer perceptron and network of radial basis function type have been analyzed. Neural network classification has shown the best accuracy. Assessment of accuracy and confidence level of the forecast has been performed. On the basis of the NN-classification RAS level has been proposed curtailed incremental definition of IRAS technique: possible to complete the examination in 1 stage (probability 70%), 2 stages (probability 90%), or 3 (control) stages (samples), it is depending on the subject's observed RAS level.
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spelling doaj.art-6baaa46ccdf24cbc83a2228029400fb02025-03-02T10:05:24ZrusMinistry of Healthcare of the Russian Federation. “Kuban State Medical University”Кубанский научный медицинский вестник1608-62282541-95442014-12-0166570242Statistical forecasting when creating the quick technique of determining a level of regulatory and adaptive status of the human bodyL. V. Polischuk0S. V. Usatikov1T. V. Shkirya2V. M. Pokrovskii3ГБОУ ВПО КубГМУ Минздрава РФФГБОУ ВПО КубГТУ Минобрнауки РФФГБОУ ВПО КубГТУ Минобрнауки РФГБОУ ВПО КубГМУ Минздрава РФIn order to improve the existing incremental principle of determining the cardiac and respiratory rhythm synchronization (CRS) range the 'quick technique' of determining the index of regulatory-adaptive status (IRAS) of the human body has been proposed. In order to reduce the number of samples we proposed to apply the statistical forecast of regulatory and adaptive status (RAS) (from 'high' to 'low') on the basis of its least-consuming measurements or by fixing the CRS parameters. The following factors/arguments have been examined as the basis of the forecast: the minimum boundary of the synchronization range, duration of evolution synchronization at the minimum boundary, the following categories also have been taken into account: initial respiratory rate, initial heart rate, age, height, weight, gender, menstrual cycle phase, diastolic and systolic blood pressure values. Linear discriminant analysis and neural network (NN) classification techniques - multilayer perceptron and network of radial basis function type have been analyzed. Neural network classification has shown the best accuracy. Assessment of accuracy and confidence level of the forecast has been performed. On the basis of the NN-classification RAS level has been proposed curtailed incremental definition of IRAS technique: possible to complete the examination in 1 stage (probability 70%), 2 stages (probability 90%), or 3 (control) stages (samples), it is depending on the subject's observed RAS level.https://ksma.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/242сердечно-дыхательный синхронизмэкспресс-методстатистическое прогнозированиеcardio-respiratory synchronismquick techniquestatistical forecasting
spellingShingle L. V. Polischuk
S. V. Usatikov
T. V. Shkirya
V. M. Pokrovskii
Statistical forecasting when creating the quick technique of determining a level of regulatory and adaptive status of the human body
Кубанский научный медицинский вестник
сердечно-дыхательный синхронизм
экспресс-метод
статистическое прогнозирование
cardio-respiratory synchronism
quick technique
statistical forecasting
title Statistical forecasting when creating the quick technique of determining a level of regulatory and adaptive status of the human body
title_full Statistical forecasting when creating the quick technique of determining a level of regulatory and adaptive status of the human body
title_fullStr Statistical forecasting when creating the quick technique of determining a level of regulatory and adaptive status of the human body
title_full_unstemmed Statistical forecasting when creating the quick technique of determining a level of regulatory and adaptive status of the human body
title_short Statistical forecasting when creating the quick technique of determining a level of regulatory and adaptive status of the human body
title_sort statistical forecasting when creating the quick technique of determining a level of regulatory and adaptive status of the human body
topic сердечно-дыхательный синхронизм
экспресс-метод
статистическое прогнозирование
cardio-respiratory synchronism
quick technique
statistical forecasting
url https://ksma.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/242
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