Remaining Useful Life Prediction of MOSFETs via the Takagi–Sugeno Framework

The paper presents a new method of predicting the remaining useful life of technical devices. The proposed soft computing approach bridges the gap between analytical and data-driven health prognostic approaches. Whilst the former ones are based on the classical exponential shape of degradation, the...

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Main Authors: Marcin Witczak, Marcin Mrugalski, Bogdan Lipiec
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-04-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/8/2135
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author Marcin Witczak
Marcin Mrugalski
Bogdan Lipiec
author_facet Marcin Witczak
Marcin Mrugalski
Bogdan Lipiec
author_sort Marcin Witczak
collection DOAJ
description The paper presents a new method of predicting the remaining useful life of technical devices. The proposed soft computing approach bridges the gap between analytical and data-driven health prognostic approaches. Whilst the former ones are based on the classical exponential shape of degradation, the latter ones learn the degradation behavior from the observed historical data. As a result of the proposed fusion, a practical method for calculating components’ remaining useful life is proposed. Contrarily to the approaches presented in the literature, the proposed ensemble of analytical and data-driven approaches forms the uncertainty interval containing an expected remaining useful life. In particular, a Takagi–Sugeno multiple models-based framework is used as a data-driven approach while an exponential curve fitting on-line approach serves as an analytical one. Unlike conventional data-driven methods, the proposed approach is designed on the basis of the historical data that apart from learning is also applied to support the diagnostic decisions. Finally, the entire scheme is used to predict power Metal Oxide Field Effect Transistors’ (MOSFETs) health status. The status of the currently operating MOSFET is determined taking into consideration the knowledge obtained from the preceding MOSFETs, which went through the run-to-failure process. Finally, the proposed approach is validated with the application of real data obtained from the NASA Ames Prognostics Data Repository.
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spelling doaj.art-6bf990c19eef4c3289993f0210725c382023-11-21T15:05:36ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732021-04-01148213510.3390/en14082135Remaining Useful Life Prediction of MOSFETs via the Takagi–Sugeno FrameworkMarcin Witczak0Marcin Mrugalski1Bogdan Lipiec2Institute of Control and Computation Engineering, University of Zielona Góra, 65-246 Zielona Góra, PolandInstitute of Control and Computation Engineering, University of Zielona Góra, 65-246 Zielona Góra, PolandInstitute of Control and Computation Engineering, University of Zielona Góra, 65-246 Zielona Góra, PolandThe paper presents a new method of predicting the remaining useful life of technical devices. The proposed soft computing approach bridges the gap between analytical and data-driven health prognostic approaches. Whilst the former ones are based on the classical exponential shape of degradation, the latter ones learn the degradation behavior from the observed historical data. As a result of the proposed fusion, a practical method for calculating components’ remaining useful life is proposed. Contrarily to the approaches presented in the literature, the proposed ensemble of analytical and data-driven approaches forms the uncertainty interval containing an expected remaining useful life. In particular, a Takagi–Sugeno multiple models-based framework is used as a data-driven approach while an exponential curve fitting on-line approach serves as an analytical one. Unlike conventional data-driven methods, the proposed approach is designed on the basis of the historical data that apart from learning is also applied to support the diagnostic decisions. Finally, the entire scheme is used to predict power Metal Oxide Field Effect Transistors’ (MOSFETs) health status. The status of the currently operating MOSFET is determined taking into consideration the knowledge obtained from the preceding MOSFETs, which went through the run-to-failure process. Finally, the proposed approach is validated with the application of real data obtained from the NASA Ames Prognostics Data Repository.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/8/2135remaining useful lifesoft computingTakagi–Sugenodegradation modelingprediction
spellingShingle Marcin Witczak
Marcin Mrugalski
Bogdan Lipiec
Remaining Useful Life Prediction of MOSFETs via the Takagi–Sugeno Framework
Energies
remaining useful life
soft computing
Takagi–Sugeno
degradation modeling
prediction
title Remaining Useful Life Prediction of MOSFETs via the Takagi–Sugeno Framework
title_full Remaining Useful Life Prediction of MOSFETs via the Takagi–Sugeno Framework
title_fullStr Remaining Useful Life Prediction of MOSFETs via the Takagi–Sugeno Framework
title_full_unstemmed Remaining Useful Life Prediction of MOSFETs via the Takagi–Sugeno Framework
title_short Remaining Useful Life Prediction of MOSFETs via the Takagi–Sugeno Framework
title_sort remaining useful life prediction of mosfets via the takagi sugeno framework
topic remaining useful life
soft computing
Takagi–Sugeno
degradation modeling
prediction
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/8/2135
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AT marcinmrugalski remainingusefullifepredictionofmosfetsviathetakagisugenoframework
AT bogdanlipiec remainingusefullifepredictionofmosfetsviathetakagisugenoframework