Impacts of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on Rice Production in Thailand during 1961-2016

The impacts of ENSO and its associated climate variability on Thailand’s rice production, area harvested and yield during 1961-2016 were examined. Analysis showed that year-to-year weather-related variations in Thailand’s rice production, area harvested and yield which accounted...

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Main Author: Atsamon Limsakul
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Mahidol University 2019-06-01
Series:Environment and Natural Resources Journal
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tci-thaijo.org/index.php/ennrj/article/view/194376/135260
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author Atsamon Limsakul
author_facet Atsamon Limsakul
author_sort Atsamon Limsakul
collection DOAJ
description The impacts of ENSO and its associated climate variability on Thailand’s rice production, area harvested and yield during 1961-2016 were examined. Analysis showed that year-to-year weather-related variations in Thailand’s rice production, area harvested and yield which accounted for about one third of total interannual variance tended to vary in response to the phase reversals of ENSO events, with large decreases occurred during El Niño events. Rice production, area harvested and yield also exhibited lower (higher) than normal during the years when Thailand experienced deficit (excess) rainfall and lower (greater) number of rainy days. These results in combination with the previous studies suggest that ENSO exerts its influence on rice production and yield in Thailand via inducing anomalies in rainfall and temperature. Another noteworthy finding wasthe asymmetrical ENSO-Thailand’s rice production relationship. Significant decline was observed only during El Niño events, highlighting a much greater influence of El Niño events on Thailand’s rice production, area harvested and yield than La Niña events. This observation provides additional evidence extending the previously reported asymmetry in the ENSO-rainfall relationship in Thailand to rice production and yield as well. Hence, the asymmetrical ENSO-rice relationship should be taken into account whendeveloping linearly predictive model.
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spelling doaj.art-6bff2696242c41cba9e902703abd61262022-12-22T00:45:21ZengMahidol UniversityEnvironment and Natural Resources Journal1686-54562408-23842019-06-01174304210.32526/ennrj.17.4.2019.29Impacts of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on Rice Production in Thailand during 1961-2016Atsamon Limsakul0Environmental Research and Training Center, Technopolis, Klong 5, Klong Luang, Pathumthani 12120, ThailandThe impacts of ENSO and its associated climate variability on Thailand’s rice production, area harvested and yield during 1961-2016 were examined. Analysis showed that year-to-year weather-related variations in Thailand’s rice production, area harvested and yield which accounted for about one third of total interannual variance tended to vary in response to the phase reversals of ENSO events, with large decreases occurred during El Niño events. Rice production, area harvested and yield also exhibited lower (higher) than normal during the years when Thailand experienced deficit (excess) rainfall and lower (greater) number of rainy days. These results in combination with the previous studies suggest that ENSO exerts its influence on rice production and yield in Thailand via inducing anomalies in rainfall and temperature. Another noteworthy finding wasthe asymmetrical ENSO-Thailand’s rice production relationship. Significant decline was observed only during El Niño events, highlighting a much greater influence of El Niño events on Thailand’s rice production, area harvested and yield than La Niña events. This observation provides additional evidence extending the previously reported asymmetry in the ENSO-rainfall relationship in Thailand to rice production and yield as well. Hence, the asymmetrical ENSO-rice relationship should be taken into account whendeveloping linearly predictive model.https://www.tci-thaijo.org/index.php/ennrj/article/view/194376/135260Rice productionEl Niño-Southern OscillationAsymmetryThailand
spellingShingle Atsamon Limsakul
Impacts of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on Rice Production in Thailand during 1961-2016
Environment and Natural Resources Journal
Rice production
El Niño-Southern Oscillation
Asymmetry
Thailand
title Impacts of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on Rice Production in Thailand during 1961-2016
title_full Impacts of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on Rice Production in Thailand during 1961-2016
title_fullStr Impacts of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on Rice Production in Thailand during 1961-2016
title_full_unstemmed Impacts of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on Rice Production in Thailand during 1961-2016
title_short Impacts of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on Rice Production in Thailand during 1961-2016
title_sort impacts of el nino southern oscillation enso on rice production in thailand during 1961 2016
topic Rice production
El Niño-Southern Oscillation
Asymmetry
Thailand
url https://www.tci-thaijo.org/index.php/ennrj/article/view/194376/135260
work_keys_str_mv AT atsamonlimsakul impactsofelninosouthernoscillationensoonriceproductioninthailandduring19612016