Sensitivity Analysis of an OLS Multiple Regression Inference with Respect to Possible Linear Endogeneity in the Explanatory Variables, for Both Modest and for Extremely Large Samples

This work describes a versatile and readily-deployable sensitivity analysis of an ordinary least squares (OLS) inference with respect to possible endogeneity in the explanatory variables of the usual <i>k</i>-variate linear multiple regression model. This sensitivity analysis is based on...

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Main Authors: Richard A. Ashley, Christopher F. Parmeter
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-03-01
Series:Econometrics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1146/8/1/11
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author Richard A. Ashley
Christopher F. Parmeter
author_facet Richard A. Ashley
Christopher F. Parmeter
author_sort Richard A. Ashley
collection DOAJ
description This work describes a versatile and readily-deployable sensitivity analysis of an ordinary least squares (OLS) inference with respect to possible endogeneity in the explanatory variables of the usual <i>k</i>-variate linear multiple regression model. This sensitivity analysis is based on a derivation of the sampling distribution of the OLS parameter estimator, extended to the setting where some, or all, of the explanatory variables are endogenous. In exchange for restricting attention to possible endogeneity which is solely linear in nature&#8212;the most typical case&#8212;no additional model assumptions must be made, beyond the usual ones for a model with stochastic regressors. The sensitivity analysis quantifies the sensitivity of hypothesis test rejection <i>p</i>-values and/or estimated confidence intervals to such endogeneity, enabling an informed judgment as to whether any selected inference is &#8220;robust&#8221; versus &#8220;fragile.&#8221; The usefulness of this sensitivity analysis&#8212;as a &#8220;screen&#8221; for potential endogeneity issues&#8212;is illustrated with an example from the empirical growth literature. This example is extended to an extremely large sample, so as to illustrate how this sensitivity analysis can be applied to parameter confidence intervals in the context of massive datasets, as in &#8220;big data&#8221;.
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spelling doaj.art-6c15cd96a41346d1901a26e7584fbfa32022-12-22T04:22:10ZengMDPI AGEconometrics2225-11462020-03-01811110.3390/econometrics8010011econometrics8010011Sensitivity Analysis of an OLS Multiple Regression Inference with Respect to Possible Linear Endogeneity in the Explanatory Variables, for Both Modest and for Extremely Large SamplesRichard A. Ashley0Christopher F. Parmeter1Department of Economics, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Blacksburg, VA 24060, USADepartment of Economics, University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL 33146, USAThis work describes a versatile and readily-deployable sensitivity analysis of an ordinary least squares (OLS) inference with respect to possible endogeneity in the explanatory variables of the usual <i>k</i>-variate linear multiple regression model. This sensitivity analysis is based on a derivation of the sampling distribution of the OLS parameter estimator, extended to the setting where some, or all, of the explanatory variables are endogenous. In exchange for restricting attention to possible endogeneity which is solely linear in nature&#8212;the most typical case&#8212;no additional model assumptions must be made, beyond the usual ones for a model with stochastic regressors. The sensitivity analysis quantifies the sensitivity of hypothesis test rejection <i>p</i>-values and/or estimated confidence intervals to such endogeneity, enabling an informed judgment as to whether any selected inference is &#8220;robust&#8221; versus &#8220;fragile.&#8221; The usefulness of this sensitivity analysis&#8212;as a &#8220;screen&#8221; for potential endogeneity issues&#8212;is illustrated with an example from the empirical growth literature. This example is extended to an extremely large sample, so as to illustrate how this sensitivity analysis can be applied to parameter confidence intervals in the context of massive datasets, as in &#8220;big data&#8221;.https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1146/8/1/11robustnessexogeneitymultiple regressioninferenceinstrumental variableslarge samplesbig data
spellingShingle Richard A. Ashley
Christopher F. Parmeter
Sensitivity Analysis of an OLS Multiple Regression Inference with Respect to Possible Linear Endogeneity in the Explanatory Variables, for Both Modest and for Extremely Large Samples
Econometrics
robustness
exogeneity
multiple regression
inference
instrumental variables
large samples
big data
title Sensitivity Analysis of an OLS Multiple Regression Inference with Respect to Possible Linear Endogeneity in the Explanatory Variables, for Both Modest and for Extremely Large Samples
title_full Sensitivity Analysis of an OLS Multiple Regression Inference with Respect to Possible Linear Endogeneity in the Explanatory Variables, for Both Modest and for Extremely Large Samples
title_fullStr Sensitivity Analysis of an OLS Multiple Regression Inference with Respect to Possible Linear Endogeneity in the Explanatory Variables, for Both Modest and for Extremely Large Samples
title_full_unstemmed Sensitivity Analysis of an OLS Multiple Regression Inference with Respect to Possible Linear Endogeneity in the Explanatory Variables, for Both Modest and for Extremely Large Samples
title_short Sensitivity Analysis of an OLS Multiple Regression Inference with Respect to Possible Linear Endogeneity in the Explanatory Variables, for Both Modest and for Extremely Large Samples
title_sort sensitivity analysis of an ols multiple regression inference with respect to possible linear endogeneity in the explanatory variables for both modest and for extremely large samples
topic robustness
exogeneity
multiple regression
inference
instrumental variables
large samples
big data
url https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1146/8/1/11
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