Covariance resampling for particle filter – state and parameter estimation for soil hydrology

<p>Particle filters are becoming increasingly popular for state and parameter estimation in hydrology. One of their crucial parts is the resampling after the assimilation step. We introduce a resampling method that uses the full weighted covariance information calculated from the ensemble to g...

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Main Authors: D. Berg, H. H. Bauser, K. Roth
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2019-02-01
Series:Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Online Access:https://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/23/1163/2019/hess-23-1163-2019.pdf
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author D. Berg
D. Berg
H. H. Bauser
H. H. Bauser
K. Roth
K. Roth
author_facet D. Berg
D. Berg
H. H. Bauser
H. H. Bauser
K. Roth
K. Roth
author_sort D. Berg
collection DOAJ
description <p>Particle filters are becoming increasingly popular for state and parameter estimation in hydrology. One of their crucial parts is the resampling after the assimilation step. We introduce a resampling method that uses the full weighted covariance information calculated from the ensemble to generate new particles and effectively avoid filter degeneracy. The ensemble covariance contains information between observed and unobserved dimensions and is used to fill the gaps between them. The covariance resampling approximately conserves the first two statistical moments and partly maintains the structure of the estimated distribution in the retained ensemble. The effectiveness of this method is demonstrated with a synthetic case – an unsaturated soil consisting of two homogeneous layers – by assimilating time-domain reflectometry-like (TDR-like) measurements. Using this approach we can estimate state and parameters for a rough initial guess with 100 particles. The estimated states and parameters are tested with a forecast after the assimilation, which is found to be in good agreement with the synthetic truth.</p>
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spelling doaj.art-6c7c6baf1014487486afd317f78988632022-12-21T23:38:40ZengCopernicus PublicationsHydrology and Earth System Sciences1027-56061607-79382019-02-01231163117810.5194/hess-23-1163-2019Covariance resampling for particle filter – state and parameter estimation for soil hydrologyD. Berg0D. Berg1H. H. Bauser2H. H. Bauser3K. Roth4K. Roth5Institute of Environmental Physics (IUP), Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, GermanyHGS MathComp, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, GermanyInstitute of Environmental Physics (IUP), Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, GermanyHGS MathComp, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, GermanyInstitute of Environmental Physics (IUP), Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, GermanyInterdisciplinary Center for Scientific Computing (IWR), Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany<p>Particle filters are becoming increasingly popular for state and parameter estimation in hydrology. One of their crucial parts is the resampling after the assimilation step. We introduce a resampling method that uses the full weighted covariance information calculated from the ensemble to generate new particles and effectively avoid filter degeneracy. The ensemble covariance contains information between observed and unobserved dimensions and is used to fill the gaps between them. The covariance resampling approximately conserves the first two statistical moments and partly maintains the structure of the estimated distribution in the retained ensemble. The effectiveness of this method is demonstrated with a synthetic case – an unsaturated soil consisting of two homogeneous layers – by assimilating time-domain reflectometry-like (TDR-like) measurements. Using this approach we can estimate state and parameters for a rough initial guess with 100 particles. The estimated states and parameters are tested with a forecast after the assimilation, which is found to be in good agreement with the synthetic truth.</p>https://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/23/1163/2019/hess-23-1163-2019.pdf
spellingShingle D. Berg
D. Berg
H. H. Bauser
H. H. Bauser
K. Roth
K. Roth
Covariance resampling for particle filter – state and parameter estimation for soil hydrology
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
title Covariance resampling for particle filter – state and parameter estimation for soil hydrology
title_full Covariance resampling for particle filter – state and parameter estimation for soil hydrology
title_fullStr Covariance resampling for particle filter – state and parameter estimation for soil hydrology
title_full_unstemmed Covariance resampling for particle filter – state and parameter estimation for soil hydrology
title_short Covariance resampling for particle filter – state and parameter estimation for soil hydrology
title_sort covariance resampling for particle filter state and parameter estimation for soil hydrology
url https://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/23/1163/2019/hess-23-1163-2019.pdf
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