Community Analysis of Global Financial Markets

We analyze the daily returns of stock market indices and currencies of 56 countries over the period of 2002–2012. We build a network model consisting of two layers, one being the stock market indices and the other the foreign exchange markets. Synchronous and lagged correlations are used as measures...

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Main Authors: Irena Vodenska, Alexander P. Becker, Di Zhou, Dror Y. Kenett, H. Eugene Stanley, Shlomo Havlin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2016-05-01
Series:Risks
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/4/2/13
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author Irena Vodenska
Alexander P. Becker
Di Zhou
Dror Y. Kenett
H. Eugene Stanley
Shlomo Havlin
author_facet Irena Vodenska
Alexander P. Becker
Di Zhou
Dror Y. Kenett
H. Eugene Stanley
Shlomo Havlin
author_sort Irena Vodenska
collection DOAJ
description We analyze the daily returns of stock market indices and currencies of 56 countries over the period of 2002–2012. We build a network model consisting of two layers, one being the stock market indices and the other the foreign exchange markets. Synchronous and lagged correlations are used as measures of connectivity and causality among different parts of the global economic system for two different time intervals: non-crisis (2002–2006) and crisis (2007–2012) periods. We study community formations within the network to understand the influences and vulnerabilities of specific countries or groups of countries. We observe different behavior of the cross correlations and communities for crisis vs. non-crisis periods. For example, the overall correlation of stock markets increases during crisis while the overall correlation in the foreign exchange market and the correlation between stock and foreign exchange markets decrease, which leads to different community structures. We observe that the euro, while being central during the relatively calm period, loses its dominant role during crisis. Furthermore we discover that the troubled Eurozone countries, Portugal, Italy, Greece and Spain, form their own cluster during the crisis period.
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spelling doaj.art-6c972ba5c44c4dbe93e81289bfbde5df2022-12-21T18:18:25ZengMDPI AGRisks2227-90912016-05-01421310.3390/risks4020013risks4020013Community Analysis of Global Financial MarketsIrena Vodenska0Alexander P. Becker1Di Zhou2Dror Y. Kenett3H. Eugene Stanley4Shlomo Havlin5Center for Polymer Studies and Department of Physics, Boston University, 590 Commonwealth Avenue, Boston, MA 02215, USACenter for Polymer Studies and Department of Physics, Boston University, 590 Commonwealth Avenue, Boston, MA 02215, USACenter for Polymer Studies and Department of Physics, Boston University, 590 Commonwealth Avenue, Boston, MA 02215, USACenter for Polymer Studies and Department of Physics, Boston University, 590 Commonwealth Avenue, Boston, MA 02215, USACenter for Polymer Studies and Department of Physics, Boston University, 590 Commonwealth Avenue, Boston, MA 02215, USADepartment of Physics, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan 52900, IsraelWe analyze the daily returns of stock market indices and currencies of 56 countries over the period of 2002–2012. We build a network model consisting of two layers, one being the stock market indices and the other the foreign exchange markets. Synchronous and lagged correlations are used as measures of connectivity and causality among different parts of the global economic system for two different time intervals: non-crisis (2002–2006) and crisis (2007–2012) periods. We study community formations within the network to understand the influences and vulnerabilities of specific countries or groups of countries. We observe different behavior of the cross correlations and communities for crisis vs. non-crisis periods. For example, the overall correlation of stock markets increases during crisis while the overall correlation in the foreign exchange market and the correlation between stock and foreign exchange markets decrease, which leads to different community structures. We observe that the euro, while being central during the relatively calm period, loses its dominant role during crisis. Furthermore we discover that the troubled Eurozone countries, Portugal, Italy, Greece and Spain, form their own cluster during the crisis period.http://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/4/2/13community structurecomplex networksfinancial markets
spellingShingle Irena Vodenska
Alexander P. Becker
Di Zhou
Dror Y. Kenett
H. Eugene Stanley
Shlomo Havlin
Community Analysis of Global Financial Markets
Risks
community structure
complex networks
financial markets
title Community Analysis of Global Financial Markets
title_full Community Analysis of Global Financial Markets
title_fullStr Community Analysis of Global Financial Markets
title_full_unstemmed Community Analysis of Global Financial Markets
title_short Community Analysis of Global Financial Markets
title_sort community analysis of global financial markets
topic community structure
complex networks
financial markets
url http://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/4/2/13
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AT drorykenett communityanalysisofglobalfinancialmarkets
AT heugenestanley communityanalysisofglobalfinancialmarkets
AT shlomohavlin communityanalysisofglobalfinancialmarkets