Unit Root Test With One Endogenous Structural Break Evidence from Indonesian Time Series Data

This paper examines the robustness of the ADF (Augmented Dickey-Fuller) unit root test to the presence of one structural break. The ADF test results show one variables out of six to be stationary. To check their robustness, two separate additive outlier (AO) models are employed: one allowing for one...

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Main Author: Akhsyim Afandi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universitas Islam Indonesia 2009-06-01
Series:Economic Journal of Emerging Markets
Online Access:https://journal.uii.ac.id/JEP/article/view/522
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author Akhsyim Afandi
author_facet Akhsyim Afandi
author_sort Akhsyim Afandi
collection DOAJ
description This paper examines the robustness of the ADF (Augmented Dickey-Fuller) unit root test to the presence of one structural break. The ADF test results show one variables out of six to be stationary. To check their robustness, two separate additive outlier (AO) models are employed: one allowing for one endogenously-determined break in the intercept and the other in the trend. These two tests can not reject the unit root null hypothesis for all the vari-ables. However, when an innovational outlier (IO) model, that allows for one endogenously-determined break is estimated, the null hypothesis can be rejected for 3 more series. The estimated break dates mostly correspond to the 1998 financial crisis in Indonesia. Keywords: unit root; stationarity; structural break, additive & innovational outlier JEL classification: C1; C22
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spelling doaj.art-6ca762a3640d4f96a5837b98c376908c2022-12-22T02:39:31ZengUniversitas Islam IndonesiaEconomic Journal of Emerging Markets2086-31282502-180X2009-06-01113Unit Root Test With One Endogenous Structural Break Evidence from Indonesian Time Series DataAkhsyim AfandiThis paper examines the robustness of the ADF (Augmented Dickey-Fuller) unit root test to the presence of one structural break. The ADF test results show one variables out of six to be stationary. To check their robustness, two separate additive outlier (AO) models are employed: one allowing for one endogenously-determined break in the intercept and the other in the trend. These two tests can not reject the unit root null hypothesis for all the vari-ables. However, when an innovational outlier (IO) model, that allows for one endogenously-determined break is estimated, the null hypothesis can be rejected for 3 more series. The estimated break dates mostly correspond to the 1998 financial crisis in Indonesia. Keywords: unit root; stationarity; structural break, additive & innovational outlier JEL classification: C1; C22https://journal.uii.ac.id/JEP/article/view/522
spellingShingle Akhsyim Afandi
Unit Root Test With One Endogenous Structural Break Evidence from Indonesian Time Series Data
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets
title Unit Root Test With One Endogenous Structural Break Evidence from Indonesian Time Series Data
title_full Unit Root Test With One Endogenous Structural Break Evidence from Indonesian Time Series Data
title_fullStr Unit Root Test With One Endogenous Structural Break Evidence from Indonesian Time Series Data
title_full_unstemmed Unit Root Test With One Endogenous Structural Break Evidence from Indonesian Time Series Data
title_short Unit Root Test With One Endogenous Structural Break Evidence from Indonesian Time Series Data
title_sort unit root test with one endogenous structural break evidence from indonesian time series data
url https://journal.uii.ac.id/JEP/article/view/522
work_keys_str_mv AT akhsyimafandi unitroottestwithoneendogenousstructuralbreakevidencefromindonesiantimeseriesdata