Supporting COVID-19 policy-making with a predictive epidemiological multi-model warning system

Bicher, Zuba et al. consolidate the output of three epidemiological models to perform weekly forecasts of COVID-19 cases and required hospital beds. The predictions are more accurate than the individual models and enable planning of health care and COVID-19 interventions by national decision-makers.

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Martin Bicher, Martin Zuba, Lukas Rainer, Florian Bachner, Claire Rippinger, Herwig Ostermann, Nikolas Popper, Stefan Thurner, Peter Klimek
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2022-12-01
Series:Communications Medicine
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s43856-022-00219-z
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author Martin Bicher
Martin Zuba
Lukas Rainer
Florian Bachner
Claire Rippinger
Herwig Ostermann
Nikolas Popper
Stefan Thurner
Peter Klimek
author_facet Martin Bicher
Martin Zuba
Lukas Rainer
Florian Bachner
Claire Rippinger
Herwig Ostermann
Nikolas Popper
Stefan Thurner
Peter Klimek
author_sort Martin Bicher
collection DOAJ
description Bicher, Zuba et al. consolidate the output of three epidemiological models to perform weekly forecasts of COVID-19 cases and required hospital beds. The predictions are more accurate than the individual models and enable planning of health care and COVID-19 interventions by national decision-makers.
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spelling doaj.art-6d0a4c023e804445bbbbe468030b36462022-12-22T04:18:48ZengNature PortfolioCommunications Medicine2730-664X2022-12-012111110.1038/s43856-022-00219-zSupporting COVID-19 policy-making with a predictive epidemiological multi-model warning systemMartin Bicher0Martin Zuba1Lukas Rainer2Florian Bachner3Claire Rippinger4Herwig Ostermann5Nikolas Popper6Stefan Thurner7Peter Klimek8Institute of Information Systems Engineering, TU WienAustrian National Public Health InstituteAustrian National Public Health InstituteAustrian National Public Health Institutedwh simulation services, dwh GmbHAustrian National Public Health InstituteInstitute of Information Systems Engineering, TU WienSection for Science of Complex Systems, Medical University of ViennaSection for Science of Complex Systems, Medical University of ViennaBicher, Zuba et al. consolidate the output of three epidemiological models to perform weekly forecasts of COVID-19 cases and required hospital beds. The predictions are more accurate than the individual models and enable planning of health care and COVID-19 interventions by national decision-makers.https://doi.org/10.1038/s43856-022-00219-z
spellingShingle Martin Bicher
Martin Zuba
Lukas Rainer
Florian Bachner
Claire Rippinger
Herwig Ostermann
Nikolas Popper
Stefan Thurner
Peter Klimek
Supporting COVID-19 policy-making with a predictive epidemiological multi-model warning system
Communications Medicine
title Supporting COVID-19 policy-making with a predictive epidemiological multi-model warning system
title_full Supporting COVID-19 policy-making with a predictive epidemiological multi-model warning system
title_fullStr Supporting COVID-19 policy-making with a predictive epidemiological multi-model warning system
title_full_unstemmed Supporting COVID-19 policy-making with a predictive epidemiological multi-model warning system
title_short Supporting COVID-19 policy-making with a predictive epidemiological multi-model warning system
title_sort supporting covid 19 policy making with a predictive epidemiological multi model warning system
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s43856-022-00219-z
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