COMPARISON OF THE EFFECTIVENESS OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS METHODS: SMA, WMA, EMA, EWMA, AND KALMAN FILTER FOR DATA ANALYSIS

In time series analysis, signal processing, and financial analysis, simple moving average (SMA), weighted moving average (WMA), exponential moving average (EMA), exponential weighted moving average (EWMA), and Kalman filter are widely used methods. Each method has its own strengths and weaknesses,...

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Main Authors: Volodymyr Lotysh, Larysa Gumeniuk, Pavlo Humeniuk
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Lublin University of Technology 2023-09-01
Series:Informatyka, Automatyka, Pomiary w Gospodarce i Ochronie Środowiska
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ph.pollub.pl/index.php/iapgos/article/view/3652
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author Volodymyr Lotysh
Larysa Gumeniuk
Pavlo Humeniuk
author_facet Volodymyr Lotysh
Larysa Gumeniuk
Pavlo Humeniuk
author_sort Volodymyr Lotysh
collection DOAJ
description In time series analysis, signal processing, and financial analysis, simple moving average (SMA), weighted moving average (WMA), exponential moving average (EMA), exponential weighted moving average (EWMA), and Kalman filter are widely used methods. Each method has its own strengths and weaknesses, and the choice of method depends on the specific application and data characteristics. It is important for researchers and practitioners to understand the properties and limitations of these methods in order to make informed decisions when analyzing time series data. This study investigates the effectiveness of time series analysis methods using data modeled with a known exponential function with overlaid random noise. This approach allows for control of the underlying trend in the data while introducing the variability characteristic of real-world data. The relationships were written using scripts for the construction of dependencies, and graphical interpretation of the results is provided.
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spelling doaj.art-6d232bc34c3f4d0d9f42637743aad2302023-09-30T18:29:56ZengLublin University of TechnologyInformatyka, Automatyka, Pomiary w Gospodarce i Ochronie Środowiska2083-01572391-67612023-09-0113310.35784/iapgos.3652COMPARISON OF THE EFFECTIVENESS OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS METHODS: SMA, WMA, EMA, EWMA, AND KALMAN FILTER FOR DATA ANALYSISVolodymyr Lotysh0Larysa Gumeniuk1Pavlo Humeniuk2Lutsk National Technical UniversityLutsk National Technical UniversityLutsk National Technical University In time series analysis, signal processing, and financial analysis, simple moving average (SMA), weighted moving average (WMA), exponential moving average (EMA), exponential weighted moving average (EWMA), and Kalman filter are widely used methods. Each method has its own strengths and weaknesses, and the choice of method depends on the specific application and data characteristics. It is important for researchers and practitioners to understand the properties and limitations of these methods in order to make informed decisions when analyzing time series data. This study investigates the effectiveness of time series analysis methods using data modeled with a known exponential function with overlaid random noise. This approach allows for control of the underlying trend in the data while introducing the variability characteristic of real-world data. The relationships were written using scripts for the construction of dependencies, and graphical interpretation of the results is provided. https://ph.pollub.pl/index.php/iapgos/article/view/3652data analysismodelingmoving averageKalman filter
spellingShingle Volodymyr Lotysh
Larysa Gumeniuk
Pavlo Humeniuk
COMPARISON OF THE EFFECTIVENESS OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS METHODS: SMA, WMA, EMA, EWMA, AND KALMAN FILTER FOR DATA ANALYSIS
Informatyka, Automatyka, Pomiary w Gospodarce i Ochronie Środowiska
data analysis
modeling
moving average
Kalman filter
title COMPARISON OF THE EFFECTIVENESS OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS METHODS: SMA, WMA, EMA, EWMA, AND KALMAN FILTER FOR DATA ANALYSIS
title_full COMPARISON OF THE EFFECTIVENESS OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS METHODS: SMA, WMA, EMA, EWMA, AND KALMAN FILTER FOR DATA ANALYSIS
title_fullStr COMPARISON OF THE EFFECTIVENESS OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS METHODS: SMA, WMA, EMA, EWMA, AND KALMAN FILTER FOR DATA ANALYSIS
title_full_unstemmed COMPARISON OF THE EFFECTIVENESS OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS METHODS: SMA, WMA, EMA, EWMA, AND KALMAN FILTER FOR DATA ANALYSIS
title_short COMPARISON OF THE EFFECTIVENESS OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS METHODS: SMA, WMA, EMA, EWMA, AND KALMAN FILTER FOR DATA ANALYSIS
title_sort comparison of the effectiveness of time series analysis methods sma wma ema ewma and kalman filter for data analysis
topic data analysis
modeling
moving average
Kalman filter
url https://ph.pollub.pl/index.php/iapgos/article/view/3652
work_keys_str_mv AT volodymyrlotysh comparisonoftheeffectivenessoftimeseriesanalysismethodssmawmaemaewmaandkalmanfilterfordataanalysis
AT larysagumeniuk comparisonoftheeffectivenessoftimeseriesanalysismethodssmawmaemaewmaandkalmanfilterfordataanalysis
AT pavlohumeniuk comparisonoftheeffectivenessoftimeseriesanalysismethodssmawmaemaewmaandkalmanfilterfordataanalysis