New Possible Earthquake Precursor and Initial Area for Satellite Monitoring
We propose a new possible earthquake precursor, a coastal water jet originating from shallow water gas seeps and colored by sediments, lifted from increased gas seeps emissions, preceding some earthquakes with offshore epicenters along the Bulgarian Black Sea coast and M ≥ 3. The new possible earthq...
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Frontiers Media S.A.
2021-02-01
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Online Access: | https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/feart.2020.586283/full |
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author | Atanas Vasilev Milen Tsekov Petar Petsinski Konstantin Gerilowski Violeta Slabakova Dimitar Trukhchev Emil Botev Orlin Dimitrov Nikolai Dobrev Dimitar Parlichev |
author_facet | Atanas Vasilev Milen Tsekov Petar Petsinski Konstantin Gerilowski Violeta Slabakova Dimitar Trukhchev Emil Botev Orlin Dimitrov Nikolai Dobrev Dimitar Parlichev |
author_sort | Atanas Vasilev |
collection | DOAJ |
description | We propose a new possible earthquake precursor, a coastal water jet originating from shallow water gas seeps and colored by sediments, lifted from increased gas seeps emissions, preceding some earthquakes with offshore epicenters along the Bulgarian Black Sea coast and M ≥ 3. The new possible earthquake precursor is site specific and may be observed in shallow coastal water regions where active faults are accompanied by hydrocarbon gas seeps. We point out to a region where it can be easily detected by direct observation and satellite remote sensing, Zelenka methane seeps (ZMS), near the Bulgarian Black Sea coast. The ZMS activation is related to the tectonic stress and fracturing preceding and accompanying the earthquakes in the Shabla-Kaliakra-Balchik region along the northern part of the Bulgarian Black Sea coast. We also propose an earthquake forecasting experiment, based on the following four hypotheses: 1) The change of the methane emission of shallow horizons is related to crustal strain changes preceding earthquakes in the region; 2) extreme change of the activity of underwater methane seepages appears immediately before nearby earthquakes; 3) shallow water methane seepages activity can be monitored by remote sensing; 4) satellites can register effects from an extreme increase in their emissions. The proposed earthquake forecasting experiment is based on the monitoring of methane seepages activity in the ZMS area by direct observation and remote sensing which may provide indication for preparatory earthquake activity preceding offshore earthquakes in the region. |
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issn | 2296-6463 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-12-13T16:42:05Z |
publishDate | 2021-02-01 |
publisher | Frontiers Media S.A. |
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series | Frontiers in Earth Science |
spelling | doaj.art-6d329fba68fa4f96baaccd7901666cb12022-12-21T23:38:15ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Earth Science2296-64632021-02-01810.3389/feart.2020.586283586283New Possible Earthquake Precursor and Initial Area for Satellite MonitoringAtanas Vasilev0Milen Tsekov1Petar Petsinski2Konstantin Gerilowski3Violeta Slabakova4Dimitar Trukhchev5Emil Botev6Orlin Dimitrov7Nikolai Dobrev8Dimitar Parlichev9Institute of Oceanology, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Varna, BulgariaDepartment of Meteorology and Geophysics, Faculty of Physics, Sofia University “St. Kliment Ohridski”, Sofia, BulgariaInstitute of Oceanology, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Varna, BulgariaInstitute of Environmental Physics, University of Bremen, Bremen, GermanyInstitute of Oceanology, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Varna, BulgariaInstitute of Metal Science, equipment, and technologies with Center for Hydro- and -Aerodynamics “Acad. A. Balevski”, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Varna, BulgariaNational Institute of Geophysics, Geodesy and Geography, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Sofia, BulgariaInstitute of Oceanology, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Varna, BulgariaGeological Institute, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Sofia, BulgariaInstitute of Oceanology, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Varna, BulgariaWe propose a new possible earthquake precursor, a coastal water jet originating from shallow water gas seeps and colored by sediments, lifted from increased gas seeps emissions, preceding some earthquakes with offshore epicenters along the Bulgarian Black Sea coast and M ≥ 3. The new possible earthquake precursor is site specific and may be observed in shallow coastal water regions where active faults are accompanied by hydrocarbon gas seeps. We point out to a region where it can be easily detected by direct observation and satellite remote sensing, Zelenka methane seeps (ZMS), near the Bulgarian Black Sea coast. The ZMS activation is related to the tectonic stress and fracturing preceding and accompanying the earthquakes in the Shabla-Kaliakra-Balchik region along the northern part of the Bulgarian Black Sea coast. We also propose an earthquake forecasting experiment, based on the following four hypotheses: 1) The change of the methane emission of shallow horizons is related to crustal strain changes preceding earthquakes in the region; 2) extreme change of the activity of underwater methane seepages appears immediately before nearby earthquakes; 3) shallow water methane seepages activity can be monitored by remote sensing; 4) satellites can register effects from an extreme increase in their emissions. The proposed earthquake forecasting experiment is based on the monitoring of methane seepages activity in the ZMS area by direct observation and remote sensing which may provide indication for preparatory earthquake activity preceding offshore earthquakes in the region.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/feart.2020.586283/fullearthquake precursormethaneseepsactive faultssatellite imagesBlack Sea |
spellingShingle | Atanas Vasilev Milen Tsekov Petar Petsinski Konstantin Gerilowski Violeta Slabakova Dimitar Trukhchev Emil Botev Orlin Dimitrov Nikolai Dobrev Dimitar Parlichev New Possible Earthquake Precursor and Initial Area for Satellite Monitoring Frontiers in Earth Science earthquake precursor methane seeps active faults satellite images Black Sea |
title | New Possible Earthquake Precursor and Initial Area for Satellite Monitoring |
title_full | New Possible Earthquake Precursor and Initial Area for Satellite Monitoring |
title_fullStr | New Possible Earthquake Precursor and Initial Area for Satellite Monitoring |
title_full_unstemmed | New Possible Earthquake Precursor and Initial Area for Satellite Monitoring |
title_short | New Possible Earthquake Precursor and Initial Area for Satellite Monitoring |
title_sort | new possible earthquake precursor and initial area for satellite monitoring |
topic | earthquake precursor methane seeps active faults satellite images Black Sea |
url | https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/feart.2020.586283/full |
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