On the Conditional Probabilities in PRA

Mathematical modeling of existing hazards and risks in a system such as aviation starts from identifying and evaluating significant numerical parameters by different procedures. The chosen criteria and the expression of the optimized model for risk analysis process will show the efficiency of the mo...

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Main Author: Casandra Venera BALAN
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: National Institute for Aerospace Research “Elie Carafoli” - INCAS 2016-09-01
Series:INCAS Bulletin
Subjects:
Online Access:http://bulletin.incas.ro/files/balan_v_casandra__vol_8_iss_3.pdf
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author Casandra Venera BALAN
author_facet Casandra Venera BALAN
author_sort Casandra Venera BALAN
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description Mathematical modeling of existing hazards and risks in a system such as aviation starts from identifying and evaluating significant numerical parameters by different procedures. The chosen criteria and the expression of the optimized model for risk analysis process will show the efficiency of the modality to evaluate risk and continuous management. An important result achieved will be to ensure compliance with the quality requirements and levels of safety. Quantitative description of risk, knowing the particularities of the system, the study of interdependencies, restrictions and limitations, create a complete picture of the analyzed elements. The mathematical model thus defined can be complex, difficult to analyze, but the results will present an accurate picture of the addressed problem, removing information and data that are insignificant or redundant.
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spelling doaj.art-6db2a227a17742079440a822fc4268b12022-12-22T03:47:43ZengNational Institute for Aerospace Research “Elie Carafoli” - INCASINCAS Bulletin2066-82012247-45282016-09-01833910.13111/2066-8201.2016.8.3.1On the Conditional Probabilities in PRACasandra Venera BALAN0“POLITEHNICA” University of Bucharest, Aerospace Engineering Department, Polizu Street 1-7, sector 1, Bucharest 011061, Romania, casandra.pietreanu@yahoo.comMathematical modeling of existing hazards and risks in a system such as aviation starts from identifying and evaluating significant numerical parameters by different procedures. The chosen criteria and the expression of the optimized model for risk analysis process will show the efficiency of the modality to evaluate risk and continuous management. An important result achieved will be to ensure compliance with the quality requirements and levels of safety. Quantitative description of risk, knowing the particularities of the system, the study of interdependencies, restrictions and limitations, create a complete picture of the analyzed elements. The mathematical model thus defined can be complex, difficult to analyze, but the results will present an accurate picture of the addressed problem, removing information and data that are insignificant or redundant.http://bulletin.incas.ro/files/balan_v_casandra__vol_8_iss_3.pdfProbabilistic risk assessmentconditional probabilitiesBayes theoremUAV
spellingShingle Casandra Venera BALAN
On the Conditional Probabilities in PRA
INCAS Bulletin
Probabilistic risk assessment
conditional probabilities
Bayes theorem
UAV
title On the Conditional Probabilities in PRA
title_full On the Conditional Probabilities in PRA
title_fullStr On the Conditional Probabilities in PRA
title_full_unstemmed On the Conditional Probabilities in PRA
title_short On the Conditional Probabilities in PRA
title_sort on the conditional probabilities in pra
topic Probabilistic risk assessment
conditional probabilities
Bayes theorem
UAV
url http://bulletin.incas.ro/files/balan_v_casandra__vol_8_iss_3.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT casandravenerabalan ontheconditionalprobabilitiesinpra