Effective Features and Hybrid Classifier for Rainfall Prediction

Rainfall prediction has emerged as a challenging time-series prediction problem in recent years. In this paper, we propose a novel rainfall prediction technique using effective feature indicators and a hybrid technique. Our proposed model consists of three phases, namely, layer model simulation, tra...

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Main Authors: B KavithaRani, A. Govardhan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer 2014-09-01
Series:International Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.atlantis-press.com/article/25868530.pdf
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author B KavithaRani
A. Govardhan
author_facet B KavithaRani
A. Govardhan
author_sort B KavithaRani
collection DOAJ
description Rainfall prediction has emerged as a challenging time-series prediction problem in recent years. In this paper, we propose a novel rainfall prediction technique using effective feature indicators and a hybrid technique. Our proposed model consists of three phases, namely, layer model simulation, training phase and testing phase. At the outset, the input rainfall dataset is preprocessed using the feature indicators. There are five feature indicators used in the preprocessing step namely, channel index (CI), ulcer index (UI), rate of change (ROC), relative strength index (RSI) and average directional movement index (ADX). Subsequently, feature matrices are formed based on the preprocessed rainfall data. Once the feature matrix is formed, the prediction is done based on the hybrid classifier. In the hybrid classifier, artificial bee colony algorithm is combined with the genetic algorithm for training the feed forward neural network. The performance of the algorithm is analyzed with the help of real datasets gathered from Rayalaseema, Aandhra and Telangana regions. Finally, from comparative analysis it is established that the proposed rainfall prediction yields better result (MAC=4.0672) when compared with Artificial Bee Colony with Neural Network.
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spelling doaj.art-6dbfe261ad4b4ec8a5041f37caddc45f2022-12-22T00:55:34ZengSpringerInternational Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems1875-68832014-09-017510.1080/18756891.2014.960234Effective Features and Hybrid Classifier for Rainfall PredictionB KavithaRaniA. GovardhanRainfall prediction has emerged as a challenging time-series prediction problem in recent years. In this paper, we propose a novel rainfall prediction technique using effective feature indicators and a hybrid technique. Our proposed model consists of three phases, namely, layer model simulation, training phase and testing phase. At the outset, the input rainfall dataset is preprocessed using the feature indicators. There are five feature indicators used in the preprocessing step namely, channel index (CI), ulcer index (UI), rate of change (ROC), relative strength index (RSI) and average directional movement index (ADX). Subsequently, feature matrices are formed based on the preprocessed rainfall data. Once the feature matrix is formed, the prediction is done based on the hybrid classifier. In the hybrid classifier, artificial bee colony algorithm is combined with the genetic algorithm for training the feed forward neural network. The performance of the algorithm is analyzed with the help of real datasets gathered from Rayalaseema, Aandhra and Telangana regions. Finally, from comparative analysis it is established that the proposed rainfall prediction yields better result (MAC=4.0672) when compared with Artificial Bee Colony with Neural Network.https://www.atlantis-press.com/article/25868530.pdfrainfall predictionhybrid classifierfeature indicatorABCgeneticFFNN
spellingShingle B KavithaRani
A. Govardhan
Effective Features and Hybrid Classifier for Rainfall Prediction
International Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems
rainfall prediction
hybrid classifier
feature indicator
ABC
genetic
FFNN
title Effective Features and Hybrid Classifier for Rainfall Prediction
title_full Effective Features and Hybrid Classifier for Rainfall Prediction
title_fullStr Effective Features and Hybrid Classifier for Rainfall Prediction
title_full_unstemmed Effective Features and Hybrid Classifier for Rainfall Prediction
title_short Effective Features and Hybrid Classifier for Rainfall Prediction
title_sort effective features and hybrid classifier for rainfall prediction
topic rainfall prediction
hybrid classifier
feature indicator
ABC
genetic
FFNN
url https://www.atlantis-press.com/article/25868530.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT bkavitharani effectivefeaturesandhybridclassifierforrainfallprediction
AT agovardhan effectivefeaturesandhybridclassifierforrainfallprediction