Local support of climate change policies in Germany over time

Political conflicts about energy and climate change policies often have local implications, yet little is known about local public opinion towards these policies. Here, we estimate support towards 26 climate change mitigation policies for 402 German counties and for up to four points of time using m...

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Main Authors: Sebastian Levi, Ingo Wolf, Stephan Sommer, Peter D Howe
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2023-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acd406
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author Sebastian Levi
Ingo Wolf
Stephan Sommer
Peter D Howe
author_facet Sebastian Levi
Ingo Wolf
Stephan Sommer
Peter D Howe
author_sort Sebastian Levi
collection DOAJ
description Political conflicts about energy and climate change policies often have local implications, yet little is known about local public opinion towards these policies. Here, we estimate support towards 26 climate change mitigation policies for 402 German counties and for up to four points of time using multilevel regression and poststratification. We find that local support for climate policies varies by up to 60 percentage points across German counties with large disparities between the rural and urban population. While support for the expansion of wind power plants and solar power plants have converged over the last years, attitudes on the phase-out of coal power have polarized across regions. Using a spatial panel analysis, we find that support for the expansion of wind and solar plants correlate with the actual development of solar and wind capacities in these regions. Moreover, the spread of climate policy opinion is strongly determined by spatial diffusion as change in one region positively influences the trajectory of policy opinion among its neighbors.
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spelling doaj.art-6dd041ab3840479b8b75ea9bcdade9da2023-08-09T15:15:52ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262023-01-0118606404610.1088/1748-9326/acd406Local support of climate change policies in Germany over timeSebastian Levi0Ingo Wolf1Stephan Sommer2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0864-7795Peter D Howe3https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1555-3746Centre for Sustainability, Hertie School , Berlin, GermanyResearch Institute for Sustainability – Helmholtz Centre Potsdam , Potsdam, GermanyBochum University of Applied Sciences; RWI—Leibniz Institute for Economic Research , Bochum, GermanyDepartment of Environment and Society, Utah State University , Logan, UT, United States of AmericaPolitical conflicts about energy and climate change policies often have local implications, yet little is known about local public opinion towards these policies. Here, we estimate support towards 26 climate change mitigation policies for 402 German counties and for up to four points of time using multilevel regression and poststratification. We find that local support for climate policies varies by up to 60 percentage points across German counties with large disparities between the rural and urban population. While support for the expansion of wind power plants and solar power plants have converged over the last years, attitudes on the phase-out of coal power have polarized across regions. Using a spatial panel analysis, we find that support for the expansion of wind and solar plants correlate with the actual development of solar and wind capacities in these regions. Moreover, the spread of climate policy opinion is strongly determined by spatial diffusion as change in one region positively influences the trajectory of policy opinion among its neighbors.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acd406support climate policylocal area estimationspatial disparities
spellingShingle Sebastian Levi
Ingo Wolf
Stephan Sommer
Peter D Howe
Local support of climate change policies in Germany over time
Environmental Research Letters
support climate policy
local area estimation
spatial disparities
title Local support of climate change policies in Germany over time
title_full Local support of climate change policies in Germany over time
title_fullStr Local support of climate change policies in Germany over time
title_full_unstemmed Local support of climate change policies in Germany over time
title_short Local support of climate change policies in Germany over time
title_sort local support of climate change policies in germany over time
topic support climate policy
local area estimation
spatial disparities
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acd406
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AT stephansommer localsupportofclimatechangepoliciesingermanyovertime
AT peterdhowe localsupportofclimatechangepoliciesingermanyovertime