Quantitative Assessment Model for the Effects of Drought Mitigation on Regional Agriculture Based on an Expectation Index of Drought Mitigation Effects

The extent of water deficit and drought loss mitigation, through human activities such as defense, mitigation, and resistance to drought risk, is revealed by its effects on agriculture. To analyze the distribution regularities of the effects of drought mitigation on agriculture and to provide better...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Yuliang Zhang, Juliang Jin, Shangming Jiang, Shaowei Ning, Yuliang Zhou, Zhiyong Wu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2019-03-01
Series:Water
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/11/3/464
_version_ 1811278431896207360
author Yuliang Zhang
Juliang Jin
Shangming Jiang
Shaowei Ning
Yuliang Zhou
Zhiyong Wu
author_facet Yuliang Zhang
Juliang Jin
Shangming Jiang
Shaowei Ning
Yuliang Zhou
Zhiyong Wu
author_sort Yuliang Zhang
collection DOAJ
description The extent of water deficit and drought loss mitigation, through human activities such as defense, mitigation, and resistance to drought risk, is revealed by its effects on agriculture. To analyze the distribution regularities of the effects of drought mitigation on agriculture and to provide better insight on drought mitigation actions, an expectation index of drought mitigation effects (EDRE) was formulated based on the definitions of the drought system. The crop yield when no drought mitigation measures were implemented was calculated via tests and simulations, and expectations of drought-related yield loss with and without drought mitigation measures (EDRL and EDRM, respectively) were calculated in the drought loss risk assessment model. Then, a quantitative assessment model for the effects of drought mitigation on regional agriculture was built. Using a case study from the Huaibei Plain in the Anhui Province of China, it was found that drought mitigation effects decrease gradually from North to South. Moreover, small values of drought mitigation effects correspond to large EDRM and small EDRL values. It is necessary to urgently improve drought mitigation measures in locations where EDRE is small and EDRL is large, or where EDRE is small and EDRM is large. The main drought mitigation measures were identified through correlation analysis. Additionally, the adaptation of drought mitigation measures to local conditions leads to a spatial distribution regularity.
first_indexed 2024-04-13T00:35:44Z
format Article
id doaj.art-6de1d29e8feb45b38afde9865d258e81
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2073-4441
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-13T00:35:44Z
publishDate 2019-03-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Water
spelling doaj.art-6de1d29e8feb45b38afde9865d258e812022-12-22T03:10:20ZengMDPI AGWater2073-44412019-03-0111346410.3390/w11030464w11030464Quantitative Assessment Model for the Effects of Drought Mitigation on Regional Agriculture Based on an Expectation Index of Drought Mitigation EffectsYuliang Zhang0Juliang Jin1Shangming Jiang2Shaowei Ning3Yuliang Zhou4Zhiyong Wu5College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, ChinaSchool of Civil Engineering, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009, ChinaKey Laboratory of Water Conservancy and Water Resources of Anhui Province, Water Resources Research Institute of Anhui Province and Huaihe River Commission, MWR, Hefei 230088, ChinaSchool of Civil Engineering, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009, ChinaSchool of Civil Engineering, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009, ChinaCollege of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, ChinaThe extent of water deficit and drought loss mitigation, through human activities such as defense, mitigation, and resistance to drought risk, is revealed by its effects on agriculture. To analyze the distribution regularities of the effects of drought mitigation on agriculture and to provide better insight on drought mitigation actions, an expectation index of drought mitigation effects (EDRE) was formulated based on the definitions of the drought system. The crop yield when no drought mitigation measures were implemented was calculated via tests and simulations, and expectations of drought-related yield loss with and without drought mitigation measures (EDRL and EDRM, respectively) were calculated in the drought loss risk assessment model. Then, a quantitative assessment model for the effects of drought mitigation on regional agriculture was built. Using a case study from the Huaibei Plain in the Anhui Province of China, it was found that drought mitigation effects decrease gradually from North to South. Moreover, small values of drought mitigation effects correspond to large EDRM and small EDRL values. It is necessary to urgently improve drought mitigation measures in locations where EDRE is small and EDRL is large, or where EDRE is small and EDRM is large. The main drought mitigation measures were identified through correlation analysis. Additionally, the adaptation of drought mitigation measures to local conditions leads to a spatial distribution regularity.http://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/11/3/464drought mitigation effects assessmentcrop yield loss ratedrought mitigation effects expectation indexcrop water production functiondrought loss risk assessmentinformation diffusionHuaibei Plain in Anhui Province
spellingShingle Yuliang Zhang
Juliang Jin
Shangming Jiang
Shaowei Ning
Yuliang Zhou
Zhiyong Wu
Quantitative Assessment Model for the Effects of Drought Mitigation on Regional Agriculture Based on an Expectation Index of Drought Mitigation Effects
Water
drought mitigation effects assessment
crop yield loss rate
drought mitigation effects expectation index
crop water production function
drought loss risk assessment
information diffusion
Huaibei Plain in Anhui Province
title Quantitative Assessment Model for the Effects of Drought Mitigation on Regional Agriculture Based on an Expectation Index of Drought Mitigation Effects
title_full Quantitative Assessment Model for the Effects of Drought Mitigation on Regional Agriculture Based on an Expectation Index of Drought Mitigation Effects
title_fullStr Quantitative Assessment Model for the Effects of Drought Mitigation on Regional Agriculture Based on an Expectation Index of Drought Mitigation Effects
title_full_unstemmed Quantitative Assessment Model for the Effects of Drought Mitigation on Regional Agriculture Based on an Expectation Index of Drought Mitigation Effects
title_short Quantitative Assessment Model for the Effects of Drought Mitigation on Regional Agriculture Based on an Expectation Index of Drought Mitigation Effects
title_sort quantitative assessment model for the effects of drought mitigation on regional agriculture based on an expectation index of drought mitigation effects
topic drought mitigation effects assessment
crop yield loss rate
drought mitigation effects expectation index
crop water production function
drought loss risk assessment
information diffusion
Huaibei Plain in Anhui Province
url http://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/11/3/464
work_keys_str_mv AT yuliangzhang quantitativeassessmentmodelfortheeffectsofdroughtmitigationonregionalagriculturebasedonanexpectationindexofdroughtmitigationeffects
AT juliangjin quantitativeassessmentmodelfortheeffectsofdroughtmitigationonregionalagriculturebasedonanexpectationindexofdroughtmitigationeffects
AT shangmingjiang quantitativeassessmentmodelfortheeffectsofdroughtmitigationonregionalagriculturebasedonanexpectationindexofdroughtmitigationeffects
AT shaoweining quantitativeassessmentmodelfortheeffectsofdroughtmitigationonregionalagriculturebasedonanexpectationindexofdroughtmitigationeffects
AT yuliangzhou quantitativeassessmentmodelfortheeffectsofdroughtmitigationonregionalagriculturebasedonanexpectationindexofdroughtmitigationeffects
AT zhiyongwu quantitativeassessmentmodelfortheeffectsofdroughtmitigationonregionalagriculturebasedonanexpectationindexofdroughtmitigationeffects