Candlestick Charting and Trading Volume: Evidence from Bursa Malaysia

Technical analysis is deemed to be a futile practice among academicians who propose efficient market hypothesis, typically the weak form market efficiency which strongly protests the application of past prices and trading volume data for prediction of future market movement. As candlestick charting...

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Main Authors: Chee-Ling Chin, Mohamad Jais, Sophee Sulong Balia, Ayoib Che Ahmad, Azlan Zainol Abidin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2016-12-01
Series:International Review of Management and Marketing
Online Access:http://mail.econjournals.com/index.php/irmm/article/view/3926
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author Chee-Ling Chin
Mohamad Jais
Sophee Sulong Balia
Ayoib Che Ahmad
Azlan Zainol Abidin
author_facet Chee-Ling Chin
Mohamad Jais
Sophee Sulong Balia
Ayoib Che Ahmad
Azlan Zainol Abidin
author_sort Chee-Ling Chin
collection DOAJ
description Technical analysis is deemed to be a futile practice among academicians who propose efficient market hypothesis, typically the weak form market efficiency which strongly protests the application of past prices and trading volume data for prediction of future market movement. As candlestick charting is one of the oldest technical indicators for short term investment, therefore this study examines the predictability of candlestick charting with combination to trading volume for Malaysian stock market within the period of 2000 to 2014. Skewness adjusted t-test is employed to test the statistical significance of candlestick returns. After taking into account the transaction costs and also out-of-sample test as robustness checking, the findings show that only bullish reversal patterns prior to trend are profitable for investors while most of the bearish reversal patterns have shown significant predictive power both before and after trend. The effective holding period for candlestick reversal patterns tend to accumulate around 10-day to 15-day holding period. Keywords: Efficient Market Hypothesis, Technical Analysis, Candlestick Charting, Reversal Patterns JEL Classifications: G11, G12, G14
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spelling doaj.art-6deedccbe5b04205bb286123f09cac122023-02-15T16:17:24ZengEconJournalsInternational Review of Management and Marketing2146-44052016-12-0168SCandlestick Charting and Trading Volume: Evidence from Bursa MalaysiaChee-Ling ChinMohamad JaisSophee Sulong BaliaAyoib Che AhmadAzlan Zainol Abidin Technical analysis is deemed to be a futile practice among academicians who propose efficient market hypothesis, typically the weak form market efficiency which strongly protests the application of past prices and trading volume data for prediction of future market movement. As candlestick charting is one of the oldest technical indicators for short term investment, therefore this study examines the predictability of candlestick charting with combination to trading volume for Malaysian stock market within the period of 2000 to 2014. Skewness adjusted t-test is employed to test the statistical significance of candlestick returns. After taking into account the transaction costs and also out-of-sample test as robustness checking, the findings show that only bullish reversal patterns prior to trend are profitable for investors while most of the bearish reversal patterns have shown significant predictive power both before and after trend. The effective holding period for candlestick reversal patterns tend to accumulate around 10-day to 15-day holding period. Keywords: Efficient Market Hypothesis, Technical Analysis, Candlestick Charting, Reversal Patterns JEL Classifications: G11, G12, G14 http://mail.econjournals.com/index.php/irmm/article/view/3926
spellingShingle Chee-Ling Chin
Mohamad Jais
Sophee Sulong Balia
Ayoib Che Ahmad
Azlan Zainol Abidin
Candlestick Charting and Trading Volume: Evidence from Bursa Malaysia
International Review of Management and Marketing
title Candlestick Charting and Trading Volume: Evidence from Bursa Malaysia
title_full Candlestick Charting and Trading Volume: Evidence from Bursa Malaysia
title_fullStr Candlestick Charting and Trading Volume: Evidence from Bursa Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed Candlestick Charting and Trading Volume: Evidence from Bursa Malaysia
title_short Candlestick Charting and Trading Volume: Evidence from Bursa Malaysia
title_sort candlestick charting and trading volume evidence from bursa malaysia
url http://mail.econjournals.com/index.php/irmm/article/view/3926
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