A Novel Staging System to Forecast the Cancer-Specific Survival of Patients With Resected Gallbladder Cancer

Objective: Gallbladder cancer (GBC) is one of the most aggressive malignant tumors, and there is no effective and convenient method for predicting cancer-specific survival (CSS). We aim to develop a novel nomogram staging system based on the positive lymph node ratio (pLNR) for GBC patients.Methods:...

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Main Authors: Yongcong Yan, Jianhong Lin, Mengyu Zhang, Haohan Liu, Qianlei Zhou, Ruibin Chen, Kai Wen, Jie Wang, Zhiyu Xiao, Kai Mao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2020-07-01
Series:Frontiers in Oncology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fonc.2020.01281/full
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author Yongcong Yan
Yongcong Yan
Jianhong Lin
Jianhong Lin
Mengyu Zhang
Haohan Liu
Haohan Liu
Qianlei Zhou
Qianlei Zhou
Ruibin Chen
Ruibin Chen
Kai Wen
Kai Wen
Jie Wang
Zhiyu Xiao
Kai Mao
author_facet Yongcong Yan
Yongcong Yan
Jianhong Lin
Jianhong Lin
Mengyu Zhang
Haohan Liu
Haohan Liu
Qianlei Zhou
Qianlei Zhou
Ruibin Chen
Ruibin Chen
Kai Wen
Kai Wen
Jie Wang
Zhiyu Xiao
Kai Mao
author_sort Yongcong Yan
collection DOAJ
description Objective: Gallbladder cancer (GBC) is one of the most aggressive malignant tumors, and there is no effective and convenient method for predicting cancer-specific survival (CSS). We aim to develop a novel nomogram staging system based on the positive lymph node ratio (pLNR) for GBC patients.Methods:A total of 1,356 patients enrolled in the study. We evaluated the prognostic value of the pLNR and built a prognostic nomogram staging system based on the pLNR in the training cohort. The concordance index and calibration plots were used to evaluate model discrimination. The predictive accuracy and clinical value of the nomograms were measured by decision curve analysis (DCA). The CSS nomogram was further validated in an internal validation cohort.Results:The pLNR was an independent prognostic factor for CSS based on Cox regression analyses. A prognostic nomogram that combined T classification, pLNR, M classification, histologic grade, live metastasis, and tumor size was formulated with a c-index of 0.763 (95% CI, 0.728–0.798), while the c-indexes for the staging system of AJCC 8th, 7th, and 6th for CSS prediction were 0.718, 0.718, and 0.717, respectively. The calibration curves showed perfect agreement. The DCA showed that the nomogram provided substantial clinical value. The nomogram (the AUCs for 1, 3, and 5 years were 0.693, 0.716, and 0.726, respectively,) showed high prognostic accuracy.Conclusion:We have developed a formulated nomogram staging system based on the pLNR that allows more accurate individualized predictions of CSS for resected GBC patients than the AJCC staging systems.
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spelling doaj.art-6e415e4ec7e746d0b777de805c04f2502022-12-22T01:24:07ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Oncology2234-943X2020-07-011010.3389/fonc.2020.01281496746A Novel Staging System to Forecast the Cancer-Specific Survival of Patients With Resected Gallbladder CancerYongcong Yan0Yongcong Yan1Jianhong Lin2Jianhong Lin3Mengyu Zhang4Haohan Liu5Haohan Liu6Qianlei Zhou7Qianlei Zhou8Ruibin Chen9Ruibin Chen10Kai Wen11Kai Wen12Jie Wang13Zhiyu Xiao14Kai Mao15Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, ChinaGuangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Malignant Tumor Epigenetics and Gene Regulation, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, ChinaDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, ChinaGuangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Malignant Tumor Epigenetics and Gene Regulation, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, ChinaDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, ChinaDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, ChinaGuangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Malignant Tumor Epigenetics and Gene Regulation, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, ChinaDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, ChinaGuangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Malignant Tumor Epigenetics and Gene Regulation, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, ChinaDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, ChinaGuangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Malignant Tumor Epigenetics and Gene Regulation, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, ChinaDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, ChinaGuangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Malignant Tumor Epigenetics and Gene Regulation, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, ChinaDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, ChinaDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, ChinaDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, ChinaObjective: Gallbladder cancer (GBC) is one of the most aggressive malignant tumors, and there is no effective and convenient method for predicting cancer-specific survival (CSS). We aim to develop a novel nomogram staging system based on the positive lymph node ratio (pLNR) for GBC patients.Methods:A total of 1,356 patients enrolled in the study. We evaluated the prognostic value of the pLNR and built a prognostic nomogram staging system based on the pLNR in the training cohort. The concordance index and calibration plots were used to evaluate model discrimination. The predictive accuracy and clinical value of the nomograms were measured by decision curve analysis (DCA). The CSS nomogram was further validated in an internal validation cohort.Results:The pLNR was an independent prognostic factor for CSS based on Cox regression analyses. A prognostic nomogram that combined T classification, pLNR, M classification, histologic grade, live metastasis, and tumor size was formulated with a c-index of 0.763 (95% CI, 0.728–0.798), while the c-indexes for the staging system of AJCC 8th, 7th, and 6th for CSS prediction were 0.718, 0.718, and 0.717, respectively. The calibration curves showed perfect agreement. The DCA showed that the nomogram provided substantial clinical value. The nomogram (the AUCs for 1, 3, and 5 years were 0.693, 0.716, and 0.726, respectively,) showed high prognostic accuracy.Conclusion:We have developed a formulated nomogram staging system based on the pLNR that allows more accurate individualized predictions of CSS for resected GBC patients than the AJCC staging systems.https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fonc.2020.01281/fullgallbladder cancerpositive lymph node ratiocancer-specific survivalnomogramdecision curve analysissurveillance
spellingShingle Yongcong Yan
Yongcong Yan
Jianhong Lin
Jianhong Lin
Mengyu Zhang
Haohan Liu
Haohan Liu
Qianlei Zhou
Qianlei Zhou
Ruibin Chen
Ruibin Chen
Kai Wen
Kai Wen
Jie Wang
Zhiyu Xiao
Kai Mao
A Novel Staging System to Forecast the Cancer-Specific Survival of Patients With Resected Gallbladder Cancer
Frontiers in Oncology
gallbladder cancer
positive lymph node ratio
cancer-specific survival
nomogram
decision curve analysis
surveillance
title A Novel Staging System to Forecast the Cancer-Specific Survival of Patients With Resected Gallbladder Cancer
title_full A Novel Staging System to Forecast the Cancer-Specific Survival of Patients With Resected Gallbladder Cancer
title_fullStr A Novel Staging System to Forecast the Cancer-Specific Survival of Patients With Resected Gallbladder Cancer
title_full_unstemmed A Novel Staging System to Forecast the Cancer-Specific Survival of Patients With Resected Gallbladder Cancer
title_short A Novel Staging System to Forecast the Cancer-Specific Survival of Patients With Resected Gallbladder Cancer
title_sort novel staging system to forecast the cancer specific survival of patients with resected gallbladder cancer
topic gallbladder cancer
positive lymph node ratio
cancer-specific survival
nomogram
decision curve analysis
surveillance
url https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fonc.2020.01281/full
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