Robust Bayesian Regression with Synthetic Posterior Distributions

Although linear regression models are fundamental tools in statistical science, the estimation results can be sensitive to outliers. While several robust methods have been proposed in frequentist frameworks, statistical inference is not necessarily straightforward. We here propose a Bayesian approac...

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Main Authors: Shintaro Hashimoto, Shonosuke Sugasawa
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-06-01
Series:Entropy
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/22/6/661
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author Shintaro Hashimoto
Shonosuke Sugasawa
author_facet Shintaro Hashimoto
Shonosuke Sugasawa
author_sort Shintaro Hashimoto
collection DOAJ
description Although linear regression models are fundamental tools in statistical science, the estimation results can be sensitive to outliers. While several robust methods have been proposed in frequentist frameworks, statistical inference is not necessarily straightforward. We here propose a Bayesian approach to robust inference on linear regression models using synthetic posterior distributions based on <i>γ</i>-divergence, which enables us to naturally assess the uncertainty of the estimation through the posterior distribution. We also consider the use of shrinkage priors for the regression coefficients to carry out robust Bayesian variable selection and estimation simultaneously. We develop an efficient posterior computation algorithm by adopting the Bayesian bootstrap within Gibbs sampling. The performance of the proposed method is illustrated through simulation studies and applications to famous datasets.
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spelling doaj.art-6e4f9a03860148c6a994676c55dfd0e92023-11-20T03:53:01ZengMDPI AGEntropy1099-43002020-06-0122666110.3390/e22060661Robust Bayesian Regression with Synthetic Posterior DistributionsShintaro Hashimoto0Shonosuke Sugasawa1Department of Mathematics, Hiroshima University, Hiroshima 739-8521, JapanCenter for Spatial Information Science, The University of Tokyo, Chiba 277-8568, JapanAlthough linear regression models are fundamental tools in statistical science, the estimation results can be sensitive to outliers. While several robust methods have been proposed in frequentist frameworks, statistical inference is not necessarily straightforward. We here propose a Bayesian approach to robust inference on linear regression models using synthetic posterior distributions based on <i>γ</i>-divergence, which enables us to naturally assess the uncertainty of the estimation through the posterior distribution. We also consider the use of shrinkage priors for the regression coefficients to carry out robust Bayesian variable selection and estimation simultaneously. We develop an efficient posterior computation algorithm by adopting the Bayesian bootstrap within Gibbs sampling. The performance of the proposed method is illustrated through simulation studies and applications to famous datasets.https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/22/6/661Bayesian bootstrapBayesian lassodivergenceGibbs samplinglinear regression
spellingShingle Shintaro Hashimoto
Shonosuke Sugasawa
Robust Bayesian Regression with Synthetic Posterior Distributions
Entropy
Bayesian bootstrap
Bayesian lasso
divergence
Gibbs sampling
linear regression
title Robust Bayesian Regression with Synthetic Posterior Distributions
title_full Robust Bayesian Regression with Synthetic Posterior Distributions
title_fullStr Robust Bayesian Regression with Synthetic Posterior Distributions
title_full_unstemmed Robust Bayesian Regression with Synthetic Posterior Distributions
title_short Robust Bayesian Regression with Synthetic Posterior Distributions
title_sort robust bayesian regression with synthetic posterior distributions
topic Bayesian bootstrap
Bayesian lasso
divergence
Gibbs sampling
linear regression
url https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/22/6/661
work_keys_str_mv AT shintarohashimoto robustbayesianregressionwithsyntheticposteriordistributions
AT shonosukesugasawa robustbayesianregressionwithsyntheticposteriordistributions